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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 43 37 80
2 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 50 52 102
3 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 46 62 108
4 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 42 89 131
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 120 34 154
6 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 99 70 169
7 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 86 93 179
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 106 118 224
9 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 121 116 237
10 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 127 113 240
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 147 95 242
12 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 125 123 248
13 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 120 131 251
14 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 78 183 261
15 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 151 148 299
16 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 114 186 300
17 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 161 140 301
18 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 167 135 302
19 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 193 168 361
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 4 1 10 10 3 1 1 1 2 8 1 42 Nicolas Delfino '16 [1-11]
No Show [1-2, 5-11]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [3-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 6 3 4 1 1 5 2 3 7 7 4 43 Ian Markowitz '17
Chun Ting Justin Lai '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 5 9 3 3 2 8 6 5 1 1 3 46 Elizabeth Hays '17
Laura Roudebush '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 3 2 2 2 4 4 10 8 8 2 5 50 Ben Brough '19
Helen Payne '19
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos DNF 5 1 6 5 15 3 2 15 4 2 78 Robbie Culkin '19
Elizabeth Keenan '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 9 6 7 9 6 11 5 13 6 3 11 86 Dylan Rinker '16
Rachel Hunter '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 2 12 16 7 15 6 4 6 9 10 12 99 Kip Wanaselja '16
Annarose Leff '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 1 7 6 14 16 3 7 4 10 DNS 18 106 Geoffrey Brelsford '18
James Kerman '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 13 11 17 11 9 10 9 16 5 6 7 114 Alana Mcsween '17
Hayley Palmer '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 10 4 15 16 8 16 8 10 14 9 10 120 Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin '17
Elizabeth Connors '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 12 18 5 13 13 9 18 11 4 11 6 120 Tyler Hogan '17
Noah Stevenson '19
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 14 8 14 5 11 7 11 12 11 12 16 121 Alicia Ward '18
Lauren Orloff '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 15 15 12 4 7 13 13 9 16 13 8 125 Sarah Wyman '17 [1-11]
No Show [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Alexander Daniele '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 7 14 8 8 14 18 12 7 12 14 13 127 James Melvin '19
Conrad Esch '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 11 10 13 15 17 14 DNS DNS 3 5 19 147 Samuel Rohrbach '17 [1-4, 7-11]
Jason Barr '17 [5-6]
Christopher Steefel '18 [1-4, 7-11]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [5-6]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 8 19 11 17 12 12 15 DNS 13 15 9 151 Dallas Butler '17
Andrew Suarez '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 16 16 9 18 18 2 14 14 19 18 17 161 Thomas Garcia '19 [1-11]
Zoe Hessler '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Natalie Dao '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 17 13 18 12 10 17 17 15 18 16 14 167 Grant Lin '17 [1-11]
Young Jeong '19 [1-2, 5-11]
Lauren Hansen '17 [3-4]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 18 17 19 19 19 19 16 17 17 17 15 193 Joseph Naro '18
Ishita Singh '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 2 6 1 4 4 3 9 2 1 1 1 34 Eric Witte '17
Katheryn Bell '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 1 2 3 2 1 4 8 1 5 8 2 37 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Olivia Macdonald '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 5 1 7 3 5 2 2 6 10 3 8 52 Joseph Lausten '18
Haley Weber '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 9 3 2 1 2 1 18 11 2 2 11 62 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 8 5 5 6 6 5 10 5 13 4 3 70 Alexander Brocchini '17
Gabrielle Lange '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 10 9 4 8 3 12 5 17 3 12 6 89 Natalie Hopper '19
Robyn Gillum '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 7 4 6 12 8 7 1 8 8 DSQ 12 93 Belle Lemoine '19
Liam Chaffey '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 3 13 9 13 15 9 4 4 9 6 10 95 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-11]
Rachel Zhao '19 [1-6, 11]
Lauren Hansen '17 [7-10]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 12 8 13 10 12 11 11 3 12 7 14 113 Julian Weiswasser '19
Sarah Paull '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 11 10 8 5 9 10 14 7 11 18 13 116 Levi Matsushima '17
Kelsey Trammell '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 13 7 11 9 7 8 12 9 DNS 17 5 118 Liam Russell '17
Keiran Hansen '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 6 16 10 7 13 15 13 14 16 9 4 123 Ben Gerber '19
Grace Phillips '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 4 15 12 15 17 6 3 19 7 16 17 131 Keir Oxford Pope '19
Dan Ferenc Segedin '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 14 12 14 11 16 14 7 15 6 10 16 135 David Luu '17 [1-2, 11]
Jason Barr '17 [3-10]
Lauren Liu '17 [1-2, 11]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [3-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 19 17 18 14 10 19 17 10 4 5 7 140 Sara Stratte '16 [1-11]
Susan Bean '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Georgia Potter '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 16 11 DNS 17 14 13 6 16 15 11 9 148 Thomas Niemisto '17
Anthony Absy '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 15 18 15 18 11 17 15 13 14 13 19 168 Joseph Naro '18
Sovisal Sameth '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 17 14 16 19 18 18 19 12 18 14 18 183 No Show
Mary Flood '16
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 18 19 17 16 19 16 16 18 17 15 15 186 Michelle Moua '17
Sabrina Perell '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 12323232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 22424242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 3123123123123123123123123123123123
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 233333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103103
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1212121212121212121212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848484848
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292292292292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 13333333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 23434343434343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 12323232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 22424242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 3123123123123123123123123123123123
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 233333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103103103103103103
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1212121212121212121212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848484848
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292292292292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 13333333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 23434343434343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Helen Payne '19
Mustang 1 Joseph Lausten '18 Haley Weber '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Dylan Rinker '16 Rachel Hunter '19
Mustang 2 Belle Lemoine '19 Liam Chaffey '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Geoffrey Brelsford '18 James Kerman '17
Mustang 3 Liam Russell '17 Keiran Hansen '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Dallas Butler '17 Andrew Suarez '18
Mustang 4 Thomas Niemisto '17 Anthony Absy '19
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Alicia Ward '18 Lauren Orloff '16
Otters Levi Matsushima '17 Kelsey Trammell '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Robbie Culkin '19 Elizabeth Keenan '17
Broncos No Show Mary Flood '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ian Markowitz '17 Chun Ting Justin Lai '16
Bears 1 Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Olivia Macdonald '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Tyler Hogan '17 Noah Stevenson '19
Bears 2 Eric Witte '17 Katheryn Bell '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin '17 Elizabeth Connors '18
Bears 3 Keir Oxford Pope '19 Dan Ferenc Segedin '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Alana Mcsween '17 Hayley Palmer '17
Aggies 1 Michelle Moua '17 Sabrina Perell '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Joseph Naro '18 Ishita Singh '17
Aggies 2 Joseph Naro '18 Sovisal Sameth '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Sarah Wyman '17 [1-11] No Show [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Alexander Daniele '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Bruins 1 Ben Gerber '19 Grace Phillips '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Elizabeth Hays '17 Laura Roudebush '18
Bruins 2 Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Thomas Garcia '19 [1-11] Zoe Hessler '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Natalie Dao '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Bruins 3 Sara Stratte '16 [1-11] Susan Bean '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Georgia Potter '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 [1-11] No Show [1-2, 5-11]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [3-4]
Tritons 1 Natalie Hopper '19 Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 [1-4, 7-11]
Jason Barr '17 [5-6]		 Christopher Steefel '18 [1-4, 7-11]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [5-6]
Tritons 2 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-11] Rachel Zhao '19 [1-6, 11]
Lauren Hansen '17 [7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Grant Lin '17 [1-11] Young Jeong '19 [1-2, 5-11]
Lauren Hansen '17 [3-4]
Tritons 3 David Luu '17 [1-2, 11]
Jason Barr '17 [3-10]		 Lauren Liu '17 [1-2, 11]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [3-10]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz James Melvin '19 Conrad Esch '17
Banana Slug's 1 Julian Weiswasser '19 Sarah Paull '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Kip Wanaselja '16 Annarose Leff '18
Banana Slug's 2 Alexander Brocchini '17 Gabrielle Lange '18

Conditions — 03/05/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1014.4 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From S (177°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine3.3 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1014.4 hPa Rain0.11 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cal Poly: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.18 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Poly by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Cal Poly, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →