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Webb Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 79
2 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 116
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 119
4 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 155
5 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 200
6 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 237
7 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 251
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B 2 2 2 2 12 3 6 2 1 1 2 35 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos A 1 3 3 10 2 5 2 1 3 4 3 37 Julia Gowell '18
Colleen Roney '18
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A DNS 1 1 1 RAF 2 1 3 2 2 1 44 Maximilian Kuester '18
Giuditta Di Laghi '16
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 3 7 4 8 1 1 10 5 4 3 6 52 Anders Hudson '17
No Show
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 4 4 5 6 6 11 4 4 5 7 11 67 Benjamin Kempton '18
Edward Lane '19
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies A 5 6 6 5 5 4 9 6 7 8 7 68 Nicholas Brady '19
John Vrooman '19
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls B 7 8 9 4 7 6 3 8 10 6 4 72 Dante Iozzo '16
Lauren Abbondondolo '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos B 6 9 10 3 3 10 8 9 8 5 8 79 Anna Louise Devanny '17
Katherine Green '19
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls A 8 5 7 12 4 9 5 10 9 9 5 83 Rory Mess '16
Rachel Suitor '18
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 10 10 8 7 8 8 11 7 6 14 12 101 Patrick Mazzeo '18
Tyler Skelton '19
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps A 9 11 11 9 9 7 7 13 13 10 14 113 Jackson Dunitz '16
Maximilian Elefson '16
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies B 11 12 12 11 13 13 13 12 11 11 13 132 Benjamin Hayes '16
No Show
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 13 13 13 13 10 14 12 14 12 12 10 136 Kallie Brown '16
Alyssa Deraymond '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps B 12 14 14 14 11 12 14 11 14 13 9 138 Ben Graney Green '18
Marina Neal '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls33333333333
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11111111111
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates22222222222
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps44444444444
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos55555555555
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies66666666666
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe77777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1010101010101010101010
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains88888888888
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates99999999999
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1111111111111111111111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1212121212121212121212
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1313131313131313131313
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1414141414141414141414

Conditions — 04/02/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1001.8 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From NE (40°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine2.0 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1001.8 hPa Rain0.35 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →