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Greater NY Dinghy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 7 5 12
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 14 18
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 12 7 19
4 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 21 14 35
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 24 12 36
6 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 16 22 38
7 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 16 24 40
8 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 27 18 45
9 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 30 19 49
10 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 19 31 50
11 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 30 32 62
12 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 28 36 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 1 4 Samuel Shea '19
Emma Clutterbuck '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 3 2 7 Anders Ekholm '17
Emma Archard '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 1 7 12 Daniel Birmingham '17
Kate Selley '20
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 5 8 3 16 Lillian Vincens '19 [1-3]
Nicole Flaherty '20 [1-2]
Ashley Schingo '19 [3]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 5 5 16 Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 [1-3]
Jenny Mu '18 [1-2]
Liam Hunt '19 [3]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 4 12 19 John Lawless '19 [1-2]
Matthew Daghir '20 [3]
Macy Blakeley '20 [1-2]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 9 6 6 21 Matthew Roleke '19
Peter Teague '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 11 9 4 24 Peter Sander '17 [1-3]
Gaura Mudgal '18 [1-2]
Nicholas Miklave '20 [3]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 10 7 10 27 Calvin Tong '19 [1-3]
Elizabeth Keeney '19 [1-2]
Doga Ozesmi '20 [3]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 7 12 9 28 Michael Danko '17
Michael Einhellig '20
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 8 11 11 30 Graham Hughes '20
David Tampellini '17
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 12 10 8 30 Jacob Correia '20
Daniel Piccininni '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights141414
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red222
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags333
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams555
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers777
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers666
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers101010
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks111111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves888
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights131313
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions222
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red111
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags555
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams333
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers666
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers777
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers888
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks121212
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves101010
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141414

Conditions — 04/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1013.8 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From NNE (14°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1013.8 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn* · S 4 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fordham: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.38 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fordham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Fordham).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →