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Robert Arrigan Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 88
2 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 104
3 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 115
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 118
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 148
6 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 151
7 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 158
8 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 211
9 American University American University Eagles 277
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 A 1 1 1 8 4 3 2 1 21 Parker Loftus '20
Sean Linden '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 A 6 5 2 9 3 6 4 3 38 Adam Didomizio '19 [1-8]
Keily Gleason '19 [1]
Marie Line '19 [2-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 A 2 13 4 13 11 2 3 2 50 Andrew Person '21 [1-8]
Grace Hanrahan '18 [1]
Maya Rabinowitz '21 [2-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 A 5 7 3 10 1 4 11 13 54 Andrew Bennett '19
Michael Houllahan '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 A 8 12 12 3 2 1 9 11 58 Nicholas Gartner '20
Abby Richardson '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 A 9 4 7 2 10 14 8 5 59 Clay Broussard '18 [1-8]
Lucy Beimfohr '21 [1]
Sarah Baker '20 [2-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 B 3 3 8 7 5 7 15 12 60 Tyler Fleig '19
Alyson Wade '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 B 13 2 11 6 8 9 5 7 61 John Deruff '21
Taylor Brimberg '18
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 B 14 11 9 5 12 8 1 6 66 Marshall Mccraw '20 [1]
Samuel Mandell '19 [2-8]
Marie Line '19 [1]
Marshall Mccraw '20 [2-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 B 10 16 6 1 7 5 7 15 67 James Morgan '18
Bartholomew Winn '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 A 15 6 5 14 14 10 6 4 74 Yusuf Mallick '19 [1]
Noah Kelleher '19 [2-8]
Annalise Pflueger '20 [1]
Juliana Rustum '20 [2-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 B 12 9 17 4 6 15 13 8 84 Elliot Frank '18 [1]
Preston Tso '21 [2-8]
Georgia Brainard '20 [1]
Emmeline Vermylen '21 [2-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 B 11 8 14 16 9 11 10 10 89 Carly Broussard '21
Samantha Schlageter '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 7 10 10 15 16 12 14 9 93 John Glenn '22
Breanna Schultz '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 B 4 14 13 11 13 17 12 17 101 Victoria Davis '20 [1]
Gretchen Mccarthy '20 [2-8]
Henry Wu '21 [1]
Jack Powers '21 [2-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 16 15 15 12 17 13 16 14 118 Brendon Wilkins '18
Makalynne Dyer '22
American University American University Eagles B 18 17 18 18 15 18 17 16 137 Stephen Anderson '18 [1]
Cala Coffman '21 [2-8]
Arin Kaye '21 [1]
Zoe Gluck '19 [2-8]
American University American University Eagles A 17 18 16 17 18 16 DNS DNS 140 Jordan Manowitz '21 [1-8]
Zachary Forrester '20 [1]
Fan Tai Bridges '21 [2-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 122222222
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 233333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 144444444
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 255555555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 366666666
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 188888888
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 299999999
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs77777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles1010101010101010
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 11111111111111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 21212121212121212
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 11313131313131313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 21414141414141414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 31515151515151515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11717171717171717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21818181818181818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1616161616161616

Conditions — 04/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1030.4 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.4 kn
avg  ·  max 3.6 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From NW (310°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1030.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn* · SE 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgetown: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →