GW Women's Invite

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 48 48
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 53 53
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 58 58
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 64 64
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 69 69
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 70 70
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 74 74
8 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 90 90
9 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 94 94
10 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 110 110
11 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 115 115
12 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 128 128
13 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 138 138
14 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 141 141
15 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 4 147 147
16 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 151 151
17 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 155 155
18 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 177 177
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 9 6 10 1 4 1 2 1 6 2 6 48 Gwynie Dunlevy '20
Celine Bennett '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 3 9 3 12 3 3 4 4 7 1 4 53 Olivia De Olazarra '22
Anna Cutler '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 6 11 5 5 6 6 5 6 2 5 1 58 Riley Kloc '23
Victoria Boatwright '22
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 8 1 1 2 8 9 3 8 12 9 3 64 Jessica Mcjones '20
Kelly Milliken '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 7 8 13 9 2 2 1 3 1 4 DSQ 69 Morgan Sailer '22
Hannah Hess '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 4 3 2 4 9 4 7 7 16 3 11 70 Brittney Slook '20
Fiona Lobon '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 13 2 8 3 5 8 6 2 8 10 9 74 Bridget Groble '22
Abigail Tutt '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 1 5 11 7 13 15 9 13 5 6 5 90 Aitana Mendiguren '20
Sarah Noyes '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 12 4 9 8 1 5 10 5 18 14 8 94 Marley Mais '21
Emmeline Vermylen '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 5 13 7 10 7 10 14 9 3 18 14 110 Macey Mccann '20
Isabelle Bicks '22
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 2 14 4 11 17 11 13 12 4 15 12 115 Marie Line '19
Allison Forsyth '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 16 12 12 13 12 17 15 10 11 8 2 128 Haddon Hughes '19
Annabelle Ayer '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 14 17 16 15 15 7 11 16 13 7 7 138 Hannah Pokorny '21
Julia Williams-Portland '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 10 10 6 18 14 18 16 17 9 13 10 141 Sarah Hardee '22 [1-11]
Emma Mendenhall '19 [1-2, 5, 9-11]
Keily Gleason '19 [3-4, 6-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 4 11 15 18 16 10 13 12 11 15 11 15 147 Chiara Perotti Correa '22 [1-11]
Taylor Milefchik '22 [1-2, 9-11]
Cassondra Parker '21 [3-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 17 7 17 6 11 14 18 15 17 12 17 151 Carly Broussard '21
Olivia Van Den Born '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 15 16 15 17 18 12 8 14 10 17 13 155 Olivia Windemuller '19
Emily Harrison '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 18 18 14 14 16 16 17 18 14 16 16 177 Colleen Baumann '21
Victoria Ewing '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 111111222222
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 222222111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 333333444444
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 444444333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 155555666666
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 266666555555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 377777888888
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 488888777777
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 599999101010101010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 61010101010999999
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 71111111111121212121212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11616161616151515151515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21717171717181818181818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 31818181818171717171717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 11212121212111111111111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 21313131313141414141414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 31414141414131313131313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 41515151515161616161616

Conditions — 04/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine6.6 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1018.4 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at George Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.64 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at George Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at George Washington, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →