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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 21 15 36
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 15 22 37
3 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 30 21 51
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 24 41 65
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 24 53 77
6 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 47 41 88
7 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 47 50 97
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 73 26 99
9 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 64 54 118
10 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 57 61 118
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 55 78 133
12 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 73 79 152
13 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 93 79 172
14 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 97 90 187
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 BYE BYE 3 3 1 1 1 2 15 Erik Skeel '20
Sarah Kahle '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 BYE 3 1 1 2 4 4 BYE 21 Karl Skeel '20
Avery Wolf '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 1 BYE 2 2 BYE 3 5 5 24 Andrew Futcher '20
Aoife Gannon '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 1 BYE 7 3 BYE 2 1 24 Dillon Kilroy '19
Emily Tan '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 3 2 4 4 4 5 BYE BYE 30 Matthew Goguen '20
Lauren Wittkopf '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 5 9 7 BYE BYE 2 9 3 47 Ilya Sharikov '23
Michelle Martindale '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 8 4 BYE 8 BYE 6 3 6 47 Shaan Shridhar '19
Elizabeth Murphy '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 BYE 7 6 BYE 8 8 8 4 55 Nikoline Alden '19
Taylor Bayly '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 6 10 5 10 5 7 BYE BYE 57 Austin Hauter '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ian Wolcott '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Blake Winner '20 [1-2, 5-6]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 2 8 BYE BYE 7 10 10 11 64 Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19
Molly Voltz '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 10 BYE 11 5 9 BYE 11 9 73 Hannah Stevens '22
Stewart Clark '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women BYE 11 10 6 BYE 11 7 10 73 Kendall Kracke '20
Cece Nielsen '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 9 BYE 9 12 12 13 BYE 14 93 Caitlyn Shum '22
Emma Reynolds '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 13 BYE 13 11 10 BYE 13 13 97 Wyatt Keysor '20
Amanda Stathas '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 2 2 1 BYE 2 BYE 1 15 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 1 1 1 6 1 5 BYE BYE 21 Nicolai Blasdel '22
Erez Buyukyilmaz '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 4 BYE BYE 5 2 1 2 2 22 Connor Hughes '19 [1-8]
Maddie Tutton '21 [1-2]
Elizabeth Murphy '22 [3-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 2 4 4 2 BYE BYE 4 4 26 Marijke Jorna '21
Julia Soes '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 5 6 BYE 4 4 7 5 BYE 41 Joanna Garcia '19
Rachel Cohen '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 7 3 6 7 BYE 3 BYE 5 41 Chandler Sharp '19
Reilly Berkshire '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 BYE 8 BYE 3 9 9 3 6 50 Colin Bishop '20
Josie Van Hoek-Patterson '22
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 6 5 3 8 8 BYE 9 BYE 53 Louise King '23
Catherine Hackwell '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 8 BYE 11 10 7 BYE 1 3 54 Benjamin Brown '22
Kayden Polachek '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 10 9 BYE BYE 3 4 11 8 61 John Kauffman '22
Claire Johnson '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 BYE BYE 13 12 6 10 10 7 78 Hayley Rawden '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 12 BYE 5 9 11 11 BYE 11 79 Charlotte Clark '21
Shawna Eggleston '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 BYE 10 8 BYE 12 8 8 13 79 Gabriel Sanchez '21
Steven Dieleman '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 11 12 9 BYE 13 BYE 13 10 90 Tor Gammelin '22
Tara Stevens '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 190908886868181
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2801801848489898282
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 388868681818888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 18484898982828080
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2868681818888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3898982828080
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 181818888
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 282828080
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 388889090
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 48080801801
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women8018018484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1909088
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 29090888686
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 380180184848989

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1801801848489898282
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 288868681818888
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 38484898982828080
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1868681818888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2898982828080
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 381818888
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 182828080
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 288889090
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 38080801801
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 4909088
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women9090888686
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 18018018484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 280180184848989
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 390908886868181
School / Team SkipperCrew
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19 Molly Voltz '20
UBC Thunderbirds 1 Benjamin Brown '22 Kayden Polachek '22
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Matthew Goguen '20 Lauren Wittkopf '22
UBC Thunderbirds 2 Nicolai Blasdel '22 Erez Buyukyilmaz '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Andrew Futcher '20 Aoife Gannon '22
UBC Thunderbirds 3 Louise King '23 Catherine Hackwell '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Ilya Sharikov '23 Michelle Martindale '23
Vikes 1 Colin Bishop '20 Josie Van Hoek-Patterson '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Hannah Stevens '22 Stewart Clark '20
Vikes 2 Charlotte Clark '21 Shawna Eggleston '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Caitlyn Shum '22 Emma Reynolds '21
Vikes 3 Gabriel Sanchez '21 Steven Dieleman '20
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Skeel '20 Avery Wolf '21
Huskies 1 Hayden Potter '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
University of Washington University of Washington Shaan Shridhar '19 Elizabeth Murphy '22
Huskies 2 Joanna Garcia '19 Rachel Cohen '19
University of Washington University of Washington Erik Skeel '20 Sarah Kahle '22
Huskies 3 Connor Hughes '19 [1-8] Maddie Tutton '21 [1-2]
Elizabeth Murphy '22 [3-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Austin Hauter '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ian Wolcott '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Blake Winner '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Huskies 4 John Kauffman '22 Claire Johnson '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Kendall Kracke '20 Cece Nielsen '23
Viking Women Marijke Jorna '21 Julia Soes '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Wyatt Keysor '20 Amanda Stathas '19
Vikings 1 Tor Gammelin '22 Tara Stevens '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Dillon Kilroy '19 Emily Tan '20
Vikings 2 Chandler Sharp '19 Reilly Berkshire '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Nikoline Alden '19 Taylor Bayly '21
Vikings 3 Hayley Rawden '20

Conditions — 03/09/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NNE (32°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1016.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn* · W 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at British Columbia: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at British Columbia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at British Columbia, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →