Sea to Sky

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 14 7 21
2 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 40 16 56
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 32 32 64
4 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 20 55 75
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 28 48 76
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 44 34 78
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 45 43 88
8 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 54 43 97
9 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 44 62 106
10 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 50 62 112
11 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes Womens 65 59 124
12 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 79 51 130
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 73 75 148
14 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 72 77 149
15 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 93 67 160
16 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 74 90 164
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 2 1 1 1 8 1 14 Erik Skeel '20
Elizabeth Murphy '22
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 4 2 3 4 5 2 20 Emilia Garcia Bompadre '23
Avery Wolf '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 1 10 7 6 1 3 28 Dale Whitmore '24
Anna Schroeder '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 3 9 7 3 5 32 Tyler Nolasco '23
Eddie Nosal '23
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 8 8 6 2 9 7 40 Eric Lyall '21
Madeleine Desbrisay '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 6 7 10 3 10 8 44 Fraser Buck '23
Lukas Koch '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 9 4 4 8 6 13 44 Marijke Jorna '21
Lauren Wittkopf '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 7 5 8 9 7 9 45 Niko Twilla '21
Rebecca Sharp '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 12 11 2 11 2 12 50 Taylor Bell '23
Blake Winner '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 10 12 5 5 11 11 54 John Kauffman '22
Luke Johnson '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes Womens DNF 14 13 13 4 4 65 Caitlyn Shum '22
Shawna Eggleston '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 3 6 DNS 14 16 16 72 Ilya Sharikov '23 [1-6]
Julien Roberts '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Iain Betts '23 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 DNF 13 12 12 13 6 73 Hayley Rawden '20
Cooper Snell '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 11 16 11 10 12 14 74 Emily Clark '23
Katie Jackson '25
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 DNF 9 14 15 14 10 79 Margaret Joba-Woodruff '20
Erez Buyukyilmaz '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 DNF 15 15 16 15 15 93 Kaiden Richardson '23
Jack Rector '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 Karl Skeel '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 3 3 5 2 2 1 16 Nicolai Blasdel '22
Cypress Knudson '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 6 2 3 8 11 32 Lucas Burzycki '23
Izabella Mathias '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 8 7 6 5 5 3 34 Camille Ottaway '20
Fiona Mcbride '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 5 9 3 8 9 9 43 Zackery Martin '23
Blake Winner '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 14 4 4 6 7 8 43 Emily Tan '20
Cece Nielsen '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 10 13 7 7 6 5 48 Hayley Woods '21
Noah Salmen-Hartley '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 7 10 8 4 16 6 51 Kayden Polachek '22
Louise King '23
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 6 2 OCS 9 4 OCS 55 Mira Anders '23
Julia Hughes '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes Womens 4 12 11 12 3 OCS 59 Charlotte Clark '21
Hannah Stevens '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 9 5 10 11 15 12 62 Sarah Kahle '22
Amelia Kau '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 13 11 13 10 11 4 62 Oliver Barry '20
Michelle Martindale '23
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 11 8 12 13 10 13 67 Andy Hsaio '23
Zach Thompson '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 15 14 9 14 13 10 75 Maxwell Dodd '23
Benjamin Fly-Rinker '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 12 DNF 14 15 12 7 77 Gabriel Sanchez '21
Marcus Hougaard '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 16 15 15 16 14 14 90 David Goede '21
Guillaume Claude '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1909090909090
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2808080808080
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3801801801801801801
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1838383838383
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2898989898989
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3696969696969
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 4858585858585
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes Womens848484848484
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2881881881881881881
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 3821821821821821821
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 298989898

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1909090909090
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2808080808080
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3801801801801801801
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1838383838383
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2898989898989
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3696969696969
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 4858585858585
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes Womens848484848484
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2881881881881881881
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 3821821821821821821
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 298989898
School / Team SkipperCrew
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Eric Lyall '21 Madeleine Desbrisay '22
UBC Thunderbirds 1 Nicolai Blasdel '22 Cypress Knudson '22
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Margaret Joba-Woodruff '20 Erez Buyukyilmaz '21
UBC Thunderbirds 2 Kayden Polachek '22 Louise King '23
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Kaiden Richardson '23 Jack Rector '23
UBC Thunderbirds 3 Andy Hsaio '23 Zach Thompson '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Dale Whitmore '24 Anna Schroeder '23
Vikes 1 Hayley Woods '21 Noah Salmen-Hartley '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Emily Clark '23 Katie Jackson '25
Vikes 2 David Goede '21 Guillaume Claude '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Fraser Buck '23 Lukas Koch '21
Vikes 3 Oliver Barry '20 Michelle Martindale '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Ilya Sharikov '23 [1-6] Julien Roberts '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Iain Betts '23 [3-4]
Vikes 4 Gabriel Sanchez '21 Marcus Hougaard '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Caitlyn Shum '22 Shawna Eggleston '21
Vikes Womens Charlotte Clark '21 Hannah Stevens '22
University of Washington University of Washington Erik Skeel '20 Elizabeth Murphy '22
Huskies 1 Karl Skeel '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
University of Washington University of Washington John Kauffman '22 Luke Johnson '23
Huskies 2 Zackery Martin '23 Blake Winner '20
University of Washington University of Washington Taylor Bell '23 Blake Winner '20
Huskies 3 Sarah Kahle '22 Amelia Kau '23
University of Washington University of Washington Emilia Garcia Bompadre '23 Avery Wolf '21
Husky Women Mira Anders '23 Julia Hughes '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Marijke Jorna '21 Lauren Wittkopf '22
Viking Women Camille Ottaway '20 Fiona Mcbride '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Tyler Nolasco '23 Eddie Nosal '23
Vikings 1 Lucas Burzycki '23 Izabella Mathias '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Hayley Rawden '20 Cooper Snell '23
Vikings 2 Maxwell Dodd '23 Benjamin Fly-Rinker '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Niko Twilla '21 Rebecca Sharp '22
Vikings 3 Emily Tan '20 Cece Nielsen '23

Conditions — 03/07/2020 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From SSW (212°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine6.6 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1012.3 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · N 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at British Columbia: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at British Columbia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at British Columbia, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →