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GW Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 45
2 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 71
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 80
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 96
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 109
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 111
7 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 125
8 American University American University Eagles 181
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 B 4 6 2 2 4 1 19 Sam Riley '27
Isabelle Kanach '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 A 2 1 4 4 9 2 22 Landon Cormie '27
Siena Adduci '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 B 5 2 1 7 2 6 23 Mats Braaten '27
Mary Govan '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 A 3 3 5 10 3 4 28 Spencer Dominguez '27
Josephine Sherry '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 B 6 8 8 1 10 13 46 Olivia Gilmore '27
Molly Hanson '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 B 9 9 12 5 1 11 47 Isabella Fadullon '25
Alexander Brenia '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 A 11 5 9 9 8 7 49 Margo Cicero '26
Eva Ottenbreit '27
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries A 1 7 7 12 11 12 50 Tryg Van Wyk '26 [1-4]
Thomas Belcastro '26 [5-6]
Avery Slayton '27 [1-4]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 A 15 13 6 3 5 10 52 Milo Miller '27
Emil Body-Goldberg '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 B 8 4 10 15 6 9 52 Logan Hayes '27
Fiona Cullen '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 B 7 10 13 8 12 5 55 James Bounds '27
Brooke Hayward '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 A 10 12 11 13 7 3 56 Max Kleha '25
Emily Shioutakon '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 A 14 11 3 14 13 8 63 Emma Friedauer '26 [1-6]
Kristin Johnson '26 [1-2]
Morgan Auth '27 [3-6]
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries B 13 14 14 6 14 14 75 Eva Wieting '26 [1-4]
Colin Bohula '25 [5-6]
Adelaide Dunbar '26 [1-6]
American University American University Eagles A 12 15 15 11 15 15 83 Brooke Lorson '27 [1-4]
Julia Kane '25 [5-6]
Elizabeth Sherwin '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Wren '24 [3-4]
American University American University Eagles B 16 16 16 16 DNS DNS 98 Stephen Blair '24
Edie Pressel '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11221717
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries2217171818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1778899
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 288991010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 11717181855
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 218185566
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1556677
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2667788

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles9910101111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries101011111212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11515161611
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 216161122
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 1111112121313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 2121213131414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1131314141515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2141415151616

Conditions — 04/20/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at George Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at George Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at George Washington, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →