Jacksonville Trophy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 15 6 21
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 11 21 32
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 19 18 37
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 18 35 53
5 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 41 27 68
6 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 30 42 72
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 50 28 78
8 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 36 54 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 5 2 1 11 Patrick Igoe '26
Nilias Vidarte '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 3 3 2 2 1 4 15 Cole Schweda '27
Roman Borger '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 4 4 1 4 3 18 Carter Morin '25
Brooks Jordan '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 2 3 4 3 2 19 Luke Justin '25
Colin Molnar '25
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 7 5 5 3 5 5 30 Charlie Eckert '27
Thomas Ingram '26
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 4 6 6 7 6 7 36 Tia Schoening '26
Olivia Hoover '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 8 7 7 6 7 6 41 Andrew Lam '26
Rafael Larsen Zarzosa '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 6 8 DNF DNS DNS DNS 50 Harriss Thorne '27
Henry Campbell '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Hank Seum '27
Lauren Turner '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 4 2 3 3 4 18 Blake March '27
Catherine Brennan '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 6 3 5 2 2 3 21 Ella Lansford '27 [1-6]
Patrick Barney '25 [1-2]
Elizabeth Williamson '26 [3-6]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 4 5 4 5 4 5 27 Kevin Martin '24
Christopher Lundgren '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 6 6 4 5 2 28 Julian Drake '25
Nora Vandermeid '27
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 2 3 DNF DNS DNS 35 Lily Schwartz '25
Eloise Weiss '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 7 7 7 6 6 DNF 42 Nikolas Pantelis '24 [1-6]
Nathan Crovatto '25 [1-3]
Nicolas Benavides '25 [4-6]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 54 Olivia Figley '26
Faith Hayden '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111333
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222444
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles333555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins555777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444666
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars666888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls888222
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights777111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons222444
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles333555
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins666888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins555777
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars777111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111333
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights888222

Conditions — 03/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.6 kn
avg  ·  max 15.5 kn
Gusts to 27.8 kn
From SSW (212°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →