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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 15 12 27
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 6 25 31
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 17 17 34
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 26 10 36
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 22 27 49
6 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 26 31 57
7 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 26 31 57
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 34 31 65
9 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 47 33 80
10 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 42 39 81
11 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 47 35 82
12 Williams College Williams College Ephs 36 47 83
13 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 1 34 51 85
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 48 40 88
15 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 58 55 113
16 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 2 61 63 124
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 1 1 1 3 6 Cooper Smith '27
Tyler Davis '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 4 5 2 4 15 Sam Harris '26
Scott Senatore '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 10 3 3 1 17 Gavin Sanborn '25
Jack Taylor '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 4 4 5 22 Charles Case '26
William Salerno '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 11 7 6 26 Ava Hurwitz '27
Will Eggena '27
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3 12 9 2 26 William Delong '25
Maisey Jobson '26
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 6 6 5 9 26 Ryan Treat '27
Emma Wilke '24
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 1 8 2 12 12 34 Nat Edmonds '24
Clarence Mungai '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 9 6 7 34 Richard Kalich '26
Danielle Bogacheva '27
Williams College Williams College Ephs 11 7 10 8 36 Felix Nusbaum '25
Viviana Barberi '24
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 13 8 14 42 Grace Augspurger '25
Maggie Hannis '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 5 14 DNF 11 47 Brendan Obrien '27
Claire Komar '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 13 8 11 15 47 Henry Poynter '26
Avery Wilson '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 15 10 13 10 48 Devyn Weed '25
Cameron Mclean '26
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 14 16 15 13 58 Ian Mccaffrey '25
Emily King '25
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 2 16 15 14 16 61 Adrian Whitney '26
Divine Daryl Kengne Mukem '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 2 2 4 10 Michael Hanrahan '24
Xander Dalke '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 7 1 3 1 12 James Sullivan '25
Trixie Williams '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 7 1 8 17 Zachary Amelotte '27
Marguerite Torres Stickney '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 4 11 7 3 25 William Denker '27
Stephanie Zajczenko '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 8 3 6 10 27 Quinn Brighton '27
Daniel Van Heeckeren '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3 12 11 5 31 Andy Giaya '24
Evelyn Buxton '26
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 6 6 10 9 31 Christopher Bullock '27
Jack Sullivan '28
Boston University Boston University Terriers 11 8 5 7 31 Nicholas David '26
Zachary Fournier '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 13 10 4 6 33 Kathleen Hanson '25
Devon Valenta '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 5 4 9 DNF 35 Jake Lacoche '26
Julia Cotsonas '26
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 5 12 12 39 Robin Potter '25
Isabelle Vagell '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 9 9 8 14 40 Sonja Krajewski '26
Jack Brennen '25
Williams College Williams College Ephs DSQ 14 14 2 47 Rem Johannknecht '26
Annika Brockman '24
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 1 14 13 13 11 51 Colin Sueyoshi '26
Emily Wykoff '26
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 12 15 15 13 55 Andrew Graham '24
Sara Donahue '28
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 2 15 DNF 16 15 63 Rufus Fender-Reid '27
Yunwen Xu '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths 11113
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths 22224
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3335
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4446
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies7779
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green5557
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen88810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers6668
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 110101012
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 211111113
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 312121214
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 413131315
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs99911
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 114141416
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21515151
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1616162

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths 12224
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths 23335
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4446
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears5557
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies88810
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green6668
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen99911
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7779
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 111111113
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 212121214
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 313131315
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 414141416
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs10101012
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 11515151
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21616162
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Nat Edmonds '24 Clarence Mungai '27
Mammoths 1 Colin Sueyoshi '26 Emily Wykoff '26
Amherst College Amherst College Adrian Whitney '26 Divine Daryl Kengne Mukem '27
Mammoths 2 Rufus Fender-Reid '27 Yunwen Xu '27
Boston University Boston University Richard Kalich '26 Danielle Bogacheva '27
Terriers Nicholas David '26 Zachary Fournier '26
Brown University Brown University Charles Case '26 William Salerno '25
Bears Quinn Brighton '27 Daniel Van Heeckeren '26
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Ava Hurwitz '27 Will Eggena '27
Big Green Michael Hanrahan '24 Xander Dalke '27
Middlebury College Middlebury College Grace Augspurger '25 Maggie Hannis '25
Panthers Robin Potter '25 Isabelle Vagell '26
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Ryan Treat '27 Emma Wilke '24
Huskies Christopher Bullock '27 Jack Sullivan '28
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst William Delong '25 Maisey Jobson '26
Minutemen Andy Giaya '24 Evelyn Buxton '26
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Ian Mccaffrey '25 Emily King '25
Corsairs Andrew Graham '24 Sara Donahue '28
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Sam Harris '26 Scott Senatore '26
Wildcats 1 James Sullivan '25 Trixie Williams '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Henry Poynter '26 Avery Wilson '25
Wildcats 2 Jake Lacoche '26 Julia Cotsonas '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Brendan Obrien '27 Claire Komar '27
Wildcats 3 Kathleen Hanson '25 Devon Valenta '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Devyn Weed '25 Cameron Mclean '26
Wildcats 4 Sonja Krajewski '26 Jack Brennen '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Gavin Sanborn '25 Jack Taylor '27
Catamounts 1 Zachary Amelotte '27 Marguerite Torres Stickney '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cooper Smith '27 Tyler Davis '27
Catamounts 2 William Denker '27 Stephanie Zajczenko '27
Williams College Williams College Felix Nusbaum '25 Viviana Barberi '24
Ephs Rem Johannknecht '26 Annika Brockman '24

Conditions — 04/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1011.7 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From W (264°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1011.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →