Arabella Duer

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded2.31121 of 25129Fall 2026

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.79 (fleet 2.52) 234 of 331 −0.03 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 16–32 (33%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2026516–32—
1.71.81.92Spring 20262026 Jen Harris Team Race (2026-03-07): rating 1.91, fleet rating alone 1.89, offset +0.02; record 3-3 in this boatBlaire Herron Memorial Women’s Team Race (2026-03-21): rating 1.93, fleet rating alone 1.88, offset +0.05; record 3-7 in this boatTulane Women's Team Race (2026-04-03): rating 1.86, fleet rating alone 1.85, offset +0.01; record 3-12 in this boatMAISA Women’s Team Race Championship (2026-04-11): rating 1.89, fleet rating alone 1.86, offset +0.03; record 1-7 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 5 graded regattas (48 matches) the record is 16–32 against 19.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 10 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-04-11MAISA Women’s Team Race Championshipskipper2.41-0.391–74.7−2.806.9>99%
2026-04-03Tulane Women's Team Raceskipper2.342.953–121.8+0.610.528%
2026-03-21Blaire Herron Memorial Women’s Team Raceskipper2.090.813–75.5−1.282.398%
2026-03-072026 Jen Harris Team Raceskipper2.273.343–32.1+1.070.732%
2026-02-28ODU Women's Team Raceskipper1.852.196–35.5+0.340.149%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2026 Team page Season
Yale Women's Women's Skipper B 5 11.0 2.13
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A Women's Skipper B 8 9.5 1.97
Navy Women's Women's Skipper A 11 6.9 0.94
Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 13 8.8 2.15
CofC Women's Fall Women's Skipper A 10 3.4 1.19
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Women's Eastern National Semis Women's Skipper B 6 11.2 2.16
Tulane Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 15 20% —
St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's Skipper B 14 5.1 2.94
ODU Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 9 67% —
ODU Women's Fleet Race Women's Skipper A 3 2.3 4.29
MAISA Women’s Team Race Championship Women's Skipper TR 8 12% —
MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's Skipper B 6 4.3 3.37
Blaire Herron Memorial Women’s Team Race Women's Skipper TR 10 30% —
2026 Jen Harris Team Race Women's Skipper TR 9 44% —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1A Women's Skipper B 4 11.8 1.50
Oyster Bowl Women's Women's Skipper A 9 10.1 0.86
Navy Women's Women's Skipper B 7 4.0 2.08
Janet Lutz Trophy Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 7 10.3 2.64
Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 9 8.0 2.34

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →