Bowdoin College '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.86 (fleet 2.59) | 226 of 331 | −0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 12–31 (28%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 5 | 12–31 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (41 matches) the record is 12–29 against 12.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Mystic Lake Team Race | skipper | 2.27 | 2.06 | 4–10 | 4.6 | −0.21 | 0.1 | 73% |
| 2026-03-21 | RWU Team Race | skipper | 2.18 | 2.91 | 3–5 | 2.2 | +0.73 | 0.4 | 37% |
| 2026-03-01 | McMerrick Team Race Sunday | skipper | 2.38 | 2.96 | 2–5 | 1.5 | +0.58 | 0.2 | 46% |
| 2026-02-28 | McMerrick Team Race Saturday | skipper | 2.38 | 1.73 | 3–9 | 3.9 | −0.65 | 0.4 | 89% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| NEISA Match Race Championships Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 7.0 | — |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.0 | 2.24 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | C | 8 | 11.0 | 2.04 |
| Harman Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 1.4 | — |
| Coast Guard Invite | Skipper | A | 3 | 10.7 | 0.32 |
| The 35th Captain Hurst Bowl | Crew | B | 10 | 11.9 | -0.48 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| RWU Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 29% | — |
| McMerrick Team Race Sunday | Skipper | TR | 7 | 29% | — |
| McMerrick Team Race Saturday | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| Geiger Trophy | Skipper | TR | 12 | 50% | — |
| Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup-2026 | Skipper | B | 4 | 6.2 | 2.78 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.9 | 2.38 |
| The Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.5 | 3.04 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.5 | 3.56 |
| 2025 Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.8 | 3.05 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Henry Ladd |  Milton Academy |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
