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Dusty Water Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 31 58 89
2 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 75 37 112
3 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 69 70 139
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 76 69 145
5 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 84 79 163
6 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 67 99 166
7 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 102 65 167
8 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 96 84 180
9 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 121 59 180
10 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 76 138 214
11 Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 84 132 216
12 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 156 85 241
13 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 135 121 256
14 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 164 97 261
15 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 136 159 295
16 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 130 174 304
17 Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 174 172 346
18 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 140 211 351
19 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 192 186 378
20 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 209 207 416
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 2 5 1 2 1 2 1 3 2 10 2 31 Mark Davies '16
Marleigh Belsley '19
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 11 14 5 7 3 4 6 2 3 9 3 67 Josh Sullivan '16
Karan Jain '19
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 8 7 2 1 DNF 3 2 11 5 5 4 69 Christian Spencer '18 [1-11]
Maloy Murphy '19 [1]
Paul Mclean '17 [2-11]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 3 3 3 10 5 6 15 1 RAF 3 5 75 Jack Schweda '20 [1-6, 9-11]
Jonothan Bailey '19 [7-8]
Gavin Burkhart '16 [1-2, 5-11]
Hayden Frentzel '16 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 9 12 8 2 10 5 4 6 8 7 76 Lily Loosbrock '17
Mike Johnson '17
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 6 6 7 5 4 8 9 6 9 2 14 76 Jason Davis '17
Madison Mott '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 1 1 9 12 12 19 7 14 7 1 1 84 Jackson Connell '17 [1-11]
Mckenna Miller '16 [1-4, 11]
Brianna Misk '17 [5-10]
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 9 8 10 16 8 9 4 7 1 4 8 84 Samuel Bartel '18
Erik Sundberg '17
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 4 4 8 9 7 1 16 9 10 12 16 96 Brady Carlson '17
Megan Grosspietsch '16
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 10 18 4 3 15 13 8 12 4 6 9 102 Logan O'Connor '17
Aisling Sullivan '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 7 13 13 15 6 17 3 5 14 15 13 121 Zachary Miller '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Owen Hall '16 [5-6, 11]
Lily Szymanski '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Hall '16 [3-4]
Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [7-11]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 16 16 18 4 14 5 RAF 10 8 7 11 130 Cj Enright '17
Evan Fallon '18
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 14 10 6 11 17 7 10 18 17 13 12 135 Gloria Kevliciute '17 [1-10]
Peter Odom '17 [11]
Caroline Bernet '17 [1-10]
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 12 15 17 6 10 18 11 15 11 11 10 136 Katie Krauska '17
Kent Penner '18
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 13 11 11 13 9 15 12 8 16 17 15 140 Genna Viggiano '18
Clara Brown '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 15 2 16 DSQ 13 16 13 16 12 14 18 156 Alex Fowkes '16
Katie Lowenbaum '17
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 18 12 14 18 11 14 17 17 19 18 6 164 James Zampa '16 [1-11]
Linnea Lipson '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Zastrow '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 17 17 15 17 16 11 14 13 15 19 20 174 Dane Vandevelde '17 [1-11]
Neri Min '16 [1-4, 9-10]
Kary Stevick '16 [5-8, 11]
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 20 20 19 14 18 12 18 19 13 20 19 192 George Moore '20 [1, 3, 5-6, 9-10]
Kate Higgins '18 [2, 4, 7-8, 11]
Kate Higgins '18 [1, 3, 5-6, 9-10]
George Moore '20 [2, 4, 7-8, 11]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 19 19 20 19 19 20 DNS DNS 18 16 17 209 Greg Wootton '19 [1-11]
Grayson Hunter '19 [1-8]
Laurel Schenkman '18 [9-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 2 9 5 4 2 5 1 4 2 2 37 Jp Friend '18
Chloe Frentzel '17
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 6 1 15 2 8 4 2 3 9 3 5 58 Allie Cahn '16
Will Davies '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 5 7 3 2 6 12 11 1 1 9 59 Peter Reckamp '16 [1-11]
Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [3-4, 7-11]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 4 9 5 11 9 3 3 2 2 10 7 65 Ray Groble '17
Bridget Groble '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 6 3 4 3 1 14 5 15 7 6 69 Austin Haag '16 [1-11]
Graham Ness '19 [1-6, 9]
Sydney Maxwell '17 [7-8, 10-11]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 7 8 4 1 1 11 1 DSQ 10 5 1 70 Alex Keck '17
Myles Murphy '16
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Blue 13 4 10 12 7 9 7 4 5 4 4 79 Charlie Hicks '16 [1-2, 5-11]
Alex Honke '16 [3-4]
Brianna Misk '17 [1-2]
Emma Aubuchon '19 [3-8]
Alex Honke '16 [9-11]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 3 7 6 9 5 8 4 14 8 12 8 84 Connor Carlson '17
Will Grosspietsch '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 12 3 1 7 6 BKD 8 8 7 15 10 85 Spencer Keenan '17 [1-11]
Caroline O'Malley '17 [1]
Lolly Vasilion '18 [2-11]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 10 17 11 14 10 10 6 7 3 6 3 97 Rowan Henke '17 [1-2]
Han-Ray Jahn '17 [3-11]
Logan Pearlman '16 [1-2, 9-11]
Rowan Henke '17 [3-8]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 8 13 BKD 6 12 5 9 9 6 8 15 99 Toby Sullivan '19
Jose Verela '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 11 12 2 10 13 7 10 OCS 13 11 11 121 James Wagner '17 [1-11]
Becca Rose '17 [1-10]
Caroline Bernet '17 [11]
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 14 11 OCS 8 11 12 11 6 12 13 13 132 Henry Jaffray '18 [1-11]
Solomon Dworsky '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Erich Pinske '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 9 10 16 16 15 14 13 10 14 9 12 138 Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17
Teddy Damm '17
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 15 14 12 15 17 15 16 12 11 16 16 159 Lucas Haarstad '17
Elise Krauska '19
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 17 16 14 18 18 13 15 13 17 17 14 172 John Henderson '17 [1-11]
Anna Evans '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Rockwell Nierenberg '18 [5-6, 11]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 16 15 13 13 16 16 19 15 16 18 17 174 Cameron Wright '18
Evan Kavooras '17
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 20 18 17 17 14 17 17 16 18 14 18 186 David Kunau '17
Christian Kunau '17
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 18 19 19 19 19 19 20 17 19 19 19 207 Preston Anderson '18
Leo Mancini '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 19 20 18 20 20 18 18 18 20 20 20 211 Acadia Hegedus '18
Courtney Clark '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks113355779911
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Varsity22446688101012
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Varsity33557799111113
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Maroon4466881010121214
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets5577991111131315
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity668810101212141416
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity779911111313151517
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity88101012121414161618
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity99111113131515171719
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers1010121214141616181820
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs111113131515171719191
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers121214141616181820202
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Varsity1313151517171919113
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian1414161618182020224
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons15151717191911335
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity16161818202022446
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity171719191133557
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack181820202244668
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity1919113355779
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Blue20202244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks22446688101012
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Varsity33557799111113
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Varsity4466881010121214
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Maroon5577991111131315
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets668810101212141416
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity779911111313151517
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity88101012121414161618
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity99111113131515171719
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity1010121214141616181820
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers111113131515171719191
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs121214141616181820202
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers1313151517171919113
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Varsity1414161618182020224
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian15151717191911335
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons16161818202022446
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity171719191133557
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity181820202244668
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1919113355779
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity20202244668810
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Blue113355779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Jack Schweda '20 [1-6, 9-11]
Jonothan Bailey '19 [7-8]		 Gavin Burkhart '16 [1-2, 5-11]
Hayden Frentzel '16 [3-4]
Warhawks Jp Friend '18 Chloe Frentzel '17
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Greg Wootton '19 [1-11] Grayson Hunter '19 [1-8]
Laurel Schenkman '18 [9-11]
Varsity Preston Anderson '18 Leo Mancini '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Katie Krauska '17 Kent Penner '18
Varsity Lucas Haarstad '17 Elise Krauska '19
Culver Academies Culver Academies Dane Vandevelde '17 [1-11] Neri Min '16 [1-4, 9-10]
Kary Stevick '16 [5-8, 11]
Maroon John Henderson '17 [1-11] Anna Evans '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Rockwell Nierenberg '18 [5-6, 11]
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '20 [1, 3, 5-6, 9-10]
Kate Higgins '18 [2, 4, 7-8, 11]		 Kate Higgins '18 [1, 3, 5-6, 9-10]
George Moore '20 [2, 4, 7-8, 11]
Hornets David Kunau '17 Christian Kunau '17
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS James Zampa '16 [1-11] Linnea Lipson '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Zastrow '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Varsity Rowan Henke '17 [1-2]
Han-Ray Jahn '17 [3-11]		 Logan Pearlman '16 [1-2, 9-11]
Rowan Henke '17 [3-8]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Cj Enright '17 Evan Fallon '18
Varsity Cameron Wright '18 Evan Kavooras '17
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Christian Spencer '18 [1-11] Maloy Murphy '19 [1]
Paul Mclean '17 [2-11]
Varsity Alex Keck '17 Myles Murphy '16
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Mark Davies '16 Marleigh Belsley '19
Varsity Allie Cahn '16 Will Davies '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Zachary Miller '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Owen Hall '16 [5-6, 11]		 Lily Szymanski '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Hall '16 [3-4]
Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [7-11]
Ramblers Peter Reckamp '16 [1-11] Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17 [3-4, 7-11]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 Clara Brown '18
Zephyrs Acadia Hegedus '18 Courtney Clark '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lily Loosbrock '17 Mike Johnson '17
Skippers Austin Haag '16 [1-11] Graham Ness '19 [1-6, 9]
Sydney Maxwell '17 [7-8, 10-11]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Josh Sullivan '16 Karan Jain '19
Varsity Toby Sullivan '19 Jose Verela '19
New Trier HS New Trier HS Alex Fowkes '16 Katie Lowenbaum '17
Trevian Spencer Keenan '17 [1-11] Caroline O'Malley '17 [1]
Lolly Vasilion '18 [2-11]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Brady Carlson '17 Megan Grosspietsch '16
Raccoons Connor Carlson '17 Will Grosspietsch '18
Orono High School Orono High School Samuel Bartel '18 Erik Sundberg '17
Varsity Henry Jaffray '18 [1-11] Solomon Dworsky '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Erich Pinske '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Logan O'Connor '17 Aisling Sullivan '18
Wolfpack Ray Groble '17 Bridget Groble '17
Southwest High School Southwest High School Jason Davis '17 Madison Mott '17
Varsity Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17 Teddy Damm '17
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Gloria Kevliciute '17 [1-10]
Peter Odom '17 [11]		 Caroline Bernet '17 [1-10]
Varsity James Wagner '17 [1-11] Becca Rose '17 [1-10]
Caroline Bernet '17 [11]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Jackson Connell '17 [1-11] Mckenna Miller '16 [1-4, 11]
Brianna Misk '17 [5-10]
Blue Charlie Hicks '16 [1-2, 5-11]
Alex Honke '16 [3-4]		 Brianna Misk '17 [1-2]
Emma Aubuchon '19 [3-8]
Alex Honke '16 [9-11]

Conditions — 10/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From SW (219°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1019.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Pewaukee Yacht Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →