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VISA NA Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 12 6 18
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 12 15 27
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 22 13 35
4 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 39 25 64
5 York High School York High School Varsity 33 51 84
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 53 31 84
7 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 59 34 93
8 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 31 63 94
9 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 46 56 102
10 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 39 66 105
11 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 75 30 105
12 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 53 55 108
13 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 49 78 127
14 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 96 56 152
15 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 40 114 154
16 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 88 78 166
17 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 80 91 171
18 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 83 90 173
19 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 96 83 179
20 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 114 75 189
21 Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 94 105 199
22 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 110 90 200
23 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 102 115 217
24 St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 106 120 226
25 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 123 105 228
26 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 104 130 234
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 1 5 4 1 12 Boyd Bragg '19
Thomas Walker '17
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 2 2 3 3 2 12 Ellie Maus '18 [1-5]
Matt Wright '19 [1-4]
Chris Robertson '19 [5]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 3 1 1 14 22 Austin Freda '17
Sally Johnson '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 10 5 6 7 3 31 Parker Purrington '19
Ray Domena '19
York High School York High School Varsity 5 7 2 13 6 33 Zane Morris '18
Kylee Hockaday '17
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 7 6 4 11 11 39 Henry Eley '18
Henry Waddill '18
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 9 11 10 5 4 39 Kaila Pfrang '17
Hunter Sznoluch '19
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 4 8 9 14 5 40 Blake Harrington '18 [1-5]
Ricky Cordner '19 [1-2, 5]
Regan Yacobi '19 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 12 10 13 2 9 46 Sam Brady '19 [1-5]
Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-2, 5]
Laura Rhodes '20 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 6 16 11 6 10 49 Jack Kilduff '18
Elaina Tenfelde '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 8 4 14 12 15 53 Hunter Kahler '17 [1-5]
Chapman Holt '20 [1-4]
Jenks Britt '20 [5]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 20 9 8 8 8 53 Connor Mccrillis '20
Kayla Washington '17
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 11 15 7 19 7 59 Wilson Hatchett '17
Jordan Hillis '17
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 19 12 22 9 13 75 Jack Whitmore '19
Michael Hostutler '20
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity DSQ 13 12 16 12 80 Haydon Gould '19
Madeleine Etheridge '19
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 14 14 17 22 16 83 Byron Armstrong '18
Sophia Bibbo '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 16 18 20 15 19 88 Alex Kitay '19
Abby Hellman '18
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 13 20 23 18 20 94 Avery Mcnight '20
Grace Holloway '17
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 15 21 18 21 21 96 Morgan Kelly '17
Colin Wilson '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 23 17 21 10 25 96 Cameron Lloyd '19
Anna Heaton '18
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 22 24 16 23 17 102 Tyler Bevington '19
Grace Joyner '19
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 DSQ 23 19 17 18 104 Catherine Gilmore '17
Gabriel Bugbee '18
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 21 22 15 25 23 106 Harrison Clary '18
Reynolds Short '20
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 18 19 25 24 24 110 Jake Kiggans '19 [1-5]
Maggie Mcdonald '19 [1-2]
Matt Beauchamp '17 [3-5]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 17 26 24 20 DNF 114 Hailey Gilman '17
Maddy Reynolds '21
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 24 25 26 26 22 123 Nick Segerblom '17 [1-5]
Gustavo Morales '20 [1-2]
Sebastian Martinez '17 [3-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 1 1 2 1 6 Benton Amthor '19
Eric Demaro '18
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 5 3 2 1 2 13 Brendan Little '18
Alara Sahin '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 3 2 3 4 3 15 Daniel Vail '17
Chris Robertson '19
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 6 4 4 6 5 25 Harrison Parker '18
T. J. Argust '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 9 8 3 8 30 Lawson Montgomery '18
Mihir Damle '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 4 5 6 9 7 31 Alex Holt '17
Nick Selig '17
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 7 7 7 7 6 34 Jack Mckenna '20
Devon Bailey '18
York High School York High School Varsity 8 10 11 11 11 51 Daniel Hodges '18
Charlie Gibson '20
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 9 13 24 5 4 55 Tyler Cason '18
Clare Ruedisueli '17
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 11 8 9 15 13 56 Ellie Whitmore '17
Hans Christoffersen '18
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 15 6 10 13 12 56 Cole Handly '19 [1-5]
Emily Butler '19 [1-2, 5]
Megan Geith '20 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DSQ 12 5 10 9 63 Sarah Smith '18
Clare Harbin '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 17 15 12 12 10 66 Jared Cronin '17
Krysta Rutherford '19
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 16 16 14 14 15 75 Bobby Levin '18
Carter Lydon '21
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 10 11 20 21 16 78 Carter Furr '17
Lydia Sweeney '21
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 19 17 13 8 21 78 Olivia Basco '19 [1-5]
Diaana Mohsin '19 [1-2]
Nathan Hoege '19 [3-5]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 20 14 19 16 14 83 Carson Cooper '18 [1-5]
Burke Lawlor '17 [1-2]
Till Seidenfue '18 [3-5]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 12 19 17 24 18 90 Ignatius Liberto '17
Nathan Houser '17
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 13 18 21 18 20 90 Caleb Mccrillis '21 [1-2]
Charlie Britt '20 [3-5]
Will Moore '20 [1-2]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 14 24 15 19 19 91 Haydon Gould '19
Jacqueline Lankford '18
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 18 20 18 22 DNF 105 David Michael Jennings '14 [1-5]
Ryan Wright '17 [1-2]
Tyler Brown '22 [3-5]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 25 22 16 25 17 105 Erynn Sorensen '17
Matt Lassalle '18
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 21 23 23 20 DNF 114 Morgan Handly '21
William Thornton '17
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 23 21 DNF 17 DNF 115 Bryce Hoen '18 [1-5]
Olivia Whitehouse '17 [1-2]
Kaela Ehrlich '18 [3-5]
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 22 26 22 23 DNF 120 Audrey Ladd '19
Emmy Jankowski '19
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 24 25 DNF DNS DNS 130 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Joshua Green '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 111335
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 216161818102
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 122446
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 21717101101103
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity33557
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers44668
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 155779
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 21818102102104
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 1668810
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 2101101103103105
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1779911
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2102102104104106
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 188101012
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2103103105105107
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 199111113
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2104104106106108
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 31051051071071
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11010121214
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21061061081082
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3107107113
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms1111131315
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11212141416
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2108108224
St. Christopher's SchoolSt. Christopher's School Saints1313151517
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans1414161618
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity15151717101

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 122446
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 21717101101103
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 133557
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 21818102102104
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity44668
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers55779
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1668810
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2101101103103105
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 1779911
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 2102102104104106
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 188101012
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2103103105105107
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 199111113
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2104104106106108
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11010121214
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21051051071071
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 31061061081082
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11111131315
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2107107113
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3108108224
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms1212141416
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11313151517
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 211335
St. Christopher's SchoolSt. Christopher's School Saints1414161618
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans15151717101
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity16161818102
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Jake Kiggans '19 [1-5] Maggie Mcdonald '19 [1-2]
Matt Beauchamp '17 [3-5]
Crusaders 1 Ignatius Liberto '17 Nathan Houser '17
Catholic High School Catholic High School Nick Segerblom '17 [1-5] Gustavo Morales '20 [1-2]
Sebastian Martinez '17 [3-5]
Crusaders 2 Erynn Sorensen '17 Matt Lassalle '18
Christchurch School Christchurch School Boyd Bragg '19 Thomas Walker '17
Seahorses 1 Benton Amthor '19 Eric Demaro '18
Christchurch School Christchurch School Austin Freda '17 Sally Johnson '18
Seahorses 2 Brendan Little '18 Alara Sahin '18
Grafton High School Grafton High School Haydon Gould '19 Madeleine Etheridge '19
Varsity Haydon Gould '19 Jacqueline Lankford '18
Hampton High School Hampton High School Avery Mcnight '20 Grace Holloway '17
Crabbers David Michael Jennings '14 [1-5] Ryan Wright '17 [1-2]
Tyler Brown '22 [3-5]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Henry Eley '18 Henry Waddill '18
Navigators 1 Jared Cronin '17 Krysta Rutherford '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Alex Kitay '19 Abby Hellman '18
Navigators 2 Olivia Basco '19 [1-5] Diaana Mohsin '19 [1-2]
Nathan Hoege '19 [3-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Sam Brady '19 [1-5] Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-2, 5]
Laura Rhodes '20 [3-4]
Warriors 1 Cole Handly '19 [1-5] Emily Butler '19 [1-2, 5]
Megan Geith '20 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Tyler Bevington '19 Grace Joyner '19
Warriors 2 Bryce Hoen '18 [1-5] Olivia Whitehouse '17 [1-2]
Kaela Ehrlich '18 [3-5]
Maury High School Maury High School Connor Mccrillis '20 Kayla Washington '17
Commodores 1 Tyler Cason '18 Clare Ruedisueli '17
Maury High School Maury High School Byron Armstrong '18 Sophia Bibbo '20
Commodores 2 Caleb Mccrillis '21 [1-2]
Charlie Britt '20 [3-5]		 Will Moore '20 [1-2]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kaila Pfrang '17 Hunter Sznoluch '19
Saints 1 Harrison Parker '18 T. J. Argust '18
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Hailey Gilman '17 Maddy Reynolds '21
Saints 2 Bobby Levin '18 Carter Lydon '21
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Jack Whitmore '19 Michael Hostutler '20
Bulldogs 1 Lawson Montgomery '18 Mihir Damle '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Cameron Lloyd '19 Anna Heaton '18
Bulldogs 2 Ellie Whitmore '17 Hans Christoffersen '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Jack Kilduff '18 Elaina Tenfelde '20
Bulldogs 3 Carter Furr '17 Lydia Sweeney '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Ellie Maus '18 [1-5] Matt Wright '19 [1-4]
Chris Robertson '19 [5]
Oaks 1 Daniel Vail '17 Chris Robertson '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Oaks 2 Sarah Smith '18 Clare Harbin '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Hunter Kahler '17 [1-5] Chapman Holt '20 [1-4]
Jenks Britt '20 [5]
Oaks 3 Alex Holt '17 Nick Selig '17
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Blake Harrington '18 [1-5] Ricky Cordner '19 [1-2, 5]
Regan Yacobi '19 [3-4]
Phantoms Morgan Handly '21 William Thornton '17
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Wilson Hatchett '17 Jordan Hillis '17
Islanders 1 Jack Mckenna '20 Devon Bailey '18
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Catherine Gilmore '17 Gabriel Bugbee '18
Islanders 2 Emmaline Dicarlo '20 Joshua Green '18
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Harrison Clary '18 Reynolds Short '20
Saints Audrey Ladd '19 Emmy Jankowski '19
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Morgan Kelly '17 Colin Wilson '18
Trojans Carson Cooper '18 [1-5] Burke Lawlor '17 [1-2]
Till Seidenfue '18 [3-5]
York High School York High School Zane Morris '18 Kylee Hockaday '17
Varsity Daniel Hodges '18 Charlie Gibson '20

Conditions — 09/24/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NNW (339°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1016.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Academy: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.18 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Norfolk Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →