NWISA North Regional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 23 4 27
2 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 4 27 31
3 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 23 16 39
4 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 20 20 40
5 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 15 33 48
6 Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 23 30 53
7 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 25 29 54
8 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 30 25 55
9 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 37 22 59
10 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 5 46 16 62
11 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 23 47 70
12 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 6 43 43 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 1 1 1 1 4 Lera Anders '18
Peyton Nienaber '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 3 2 7 15 Jordan Wood-Pina '18
Lenika Aguilar '18
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 6 3 9 20 Miles Williams '20
Abbie Chipps '21
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 4 8 7 4 23 Maggie Toombs '18
Emma Freedman '19
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 5 7 9 2 23 Jack Knowles '20
Haley Holmgren '18
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 6 2 10 5 23 Erik Anderson '21
Everett Rendon '21
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 7 4 4 8 23 Reilly Hearne '18
Riley Kapp '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 11 5 6 3 25 Cedric Keneipp '19
Dillon Baijot '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 10 9 5 6 30 Mallory Hood '18
Tristan Neinaber '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 9 10 8 10 37 Emma Powell '21
Leila Jones '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 6 8 12 12 11 43 No Show
No Show
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 5 12 11 11 12 46 Felix Greening '21
Tor Olson '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 1 1 1 4 Helena Auger '20
Millie Kau '19
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 5 4 3 2 7 16 Casey Malone '20
Cecilia Andrews '20
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 5 2 6 3 16 No Show
No Show
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 3 8 7 2 20 Atlas Iverson '22
Max Pleskoff '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 6 7 3 6 22 Max Suwarno '20
Gus Roelof '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 8 4 8 5 25 Alejandro Ponce '18
Fischer Brunzell '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 2 11 4 10 27 Natalie Serbousek '21
Mira Anders '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 10 5 5 9 29 Jacob Weston '19
Morgan Seestrom '20
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 7 6 9 8 30 Anna Wohnoutka '18
Catie Vandervort '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 9 9 11 4 33 Jenny Danielson '20
Willa Weinsheimer '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 6 12 10 10 11 43 No Show
No Show
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 11 12 12 12 47 Alex Hubbard '19
Kira Blumhagen '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders444411
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams224545
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders112828
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats454533
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings28285050
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders335252
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 150505454
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 252524242
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 354544343
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 442424141
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 543434444
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 6414122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders224545
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams112828
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders454533
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats28285050
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings335252
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders50505454
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 152524242
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 254544343
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 342424141
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 443434444
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 5414122
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 6444411

Conditions — 09/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 4.8 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From SSE (157°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1018.0 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oak Harbor: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 14% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oak Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Oak Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →