VISA HRA Fleet Race Regatta (Team 1)

HostYouth Sailing Virginia
Date09/09/2017
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	14	17	31
2	Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	19	12	31
3	Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	43	20	63
4	Hampton Roads Academy	Navigators	34	31	65
5	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	39	44	83
6	Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	47	50	97
7	York High School	Varsity	65	42	107
8	Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	46	63	109
9	Maury High School	Commodores 1	85	66	151
10	Phoebus High School	Phantoms	64	89	153
11	Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	58	100	158
12	Maury High School	Commodores 2	92	77	169
13	Poquoson High School	Islanders	61	110	171
14	Grafton High School	Varsity	102	87	189
15	Hampton High School	Crabbers	105	87	192
16	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	116	96	212
17	Walsingham Academy	Trojans	113	99	212
18	Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	107	131	238

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	1	1	7	2	1	1	1	14	Mariana Guzman Casas '19 Galt Oliver '18
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	3	3	1	1	4	2	5	19	Ellie Maus '18 Matt Wright '19
Hampton Roads Academy	Navigators	5	6	3	6	2	9	3	34	Henry Eley '18 Alex Kitay '19
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	8	4	2	12	5	6	2	39	Cole Handly '19 Grace Joyner '19
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	11	5	4	4	6	3	10	43	Sarah Smith '18 [1-7] Clare Harbin '19 [1-4] Chapman Holt '20 [5-7]
Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	2	2	9	3	DSQ	5	6	46	John Vail '20 Jeff Elkin '20
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	7	9	8	5	7	4	7	47	Lawson Montgomery '18 [1-2] Michael Hostutler '20 [3-7] Mihir Damle '19 [1-2] Alek Sas '18 [3-7]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	6	8	10	9	9	8	8	58	Harrison Parker '18 Maddy Reynolds '21
Poquoson High School	Islanders	4	14	14	7	3	15	4	61	Jack Mckenna '20 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Phoebus High School	Phantoms	10	7	5	13	10	10	9	64	Gavin Smith '21 Ricky Cordner '19
York High School	Varsity	9	15	6	8	8	7	12	65	Zane Morris '18 Ethan White '21
Maury High School	Commodores 1	12	10	15	15	11	11	11	85	Tyler Cason '18 Will Moore '20
Maury High School	Commodores 2	16	11	16	10	13	12	14	92	Jalen Rogers '19 [1-7] Emily Palmer '18 [1-2, 5-6] Kate Weaver '18 [3-4, 7]
Grafton High School	Varsity	13	17	DNF	11	14	13	15	102	Haydon Gould '19 Madeleine Etheridge '19
Hampton High School	Crabbers	17	16	11	14	12	DNS	16	105	Avery Mcnight '20 Ailis Brown '20
Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	14	12	DNF	DNS	16	14	13	107	Britt Cortina '20 [1-2, 5-7] Dan Whelan '20 [3-4] Katie Fremaux '20 [1-2] Paula-Ann Robertson '19 [3-4] Liz Fierro '20 [5-6] Dan Whelan '20 [7]
Walsingham Academy	Trojans	18	18	13	16	15	16	17	113	Carson Cooper '18 Ronan Donovan '19
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	15	13	12	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	116	Tyson Denton '21 Ryan Nguyen '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	1	1	4	1	1	1	3	12	Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	3	2	1	3	2	5	1	17	Brendan Little '18 Anna Flynn '20
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	2	3	2	2	5	4	2	20	Chris Robertson '19 Sam Beck '21
Hampton Roads Academy	Navigators	5	5	5	6	4	2	4	31	Henry Waddill '18 Connor Duggan '19
York High School	Varsity	7	4	3	7	7	8	6	42	Daniel Hodges '18 Charlie Gibson '20
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	4	7	7	8	6	7	5	44	Sam Brady '19 Laura Rhodes '20
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	8	9	6	9	3	6	9	50	Jack Kilduff '18 [1-2, 5-7] Jennifer Permenter '21 [3-4] Cameron Lloyd '19 [1-2, 5-7] Hans Christoffersen '18 [3-4]
Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	RAF	6	13	5	9	3	8	63	Tristan Elden '20 Carson Rozell '19
Maury High School	Commodores 1	9	8	10	13	8	11	7	66	Paul Trudell '22 Sophia Bibbo '20
Maury High School	Commodores 2	6	11	9	12	12	13	14	77	Alexandra Lingle '19 Jackson Walsh '20
Hampton High School	Crabbers	13	10	14	11	14	10	15	87	Nick Winkle '20 [1-7] Tyler Brown '22 [1-4] Ella Hampton '22 [5-7]
Grafton High School	Varsity	DNF	13	8	10	13	14	10	87	Haydon Gould '19 Jacqueline Lankford '18
Phoebus High School	Phantoms	10	DNF	DNS	4	11	15	11	89	Morgan Handly '21 Megan Geith '20
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	11	14	11	14	17	12	17	96	Bryce Hoen '18 [1-7] Kaelyn Thackeray '19 [1-4] Charlotte Pirnik '20 [5-7]
Walsingham Academy	Trojans	14	DNF	DNS	15	10	9	13	99	Max Wilcox '18 Jamie Papazis '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	12	12	12	16	15	17	16	100	Bobby Levin '18 Hunter Sznoluch '19
Poquoson High School	Islanders	15	DNS	15	17	16	16	12	110	Charlotte Patterson '20 [1-7] Ashlyn Wise '21 [1-2, 5-6] Kalia Haupt '19 [3-4, 7]
Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNF	18	18	DNS	131	William Robertson '21 [1-2, 5-7] Nina Robertson '18 [3-4] Mary-Elise Alworth '19 [1-2] Gracie Harris '20 [3-4] Rachelle Steins '19 [5-7]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Christchurch School Seahorses 1	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Christchurch School Seahorses 2	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Grafton High School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Hampton High School Crabbers	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Hampton Roads Academy Navigators	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
Maury High School Commodores 1	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
Maury High School Commodores 2	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2	13	13	15	15	17	17	1
Peninsula Catholic High School Knights	14	14	16	16	18	18	2
Phoebus High School Phantoms	15	15	17	17	1	1	3
Poquoson High School Islanders	16	16	18	18	2	2	4
Walsingham Academy Trojans	18	18	2	2	4	4	6
York High School Varsity	17	17	1	1	3	3	5

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Christchurch School Seahorses 1	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Christchurch School Seahorses 2	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Grafton High School Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Hampton High School Crabbers	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Hampton Roads Academy Navigators	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
Maury High School Commodores 1	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Maury High School Commodores 2	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1	13	13	15	15	17	17	1
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2	14	14	16	16	18	18	2
Peninsula Catholic High School Knights	15	15	17	17	1	1	3
Phoebus High School Phantoms	16	16	18	18	2	2	4
Poquoson High School Islanders	17	17	1	1	3	3	5
Walsingham Academy Trojans	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
York High School Varsity	18	18	2	2	4	4	6

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Christchurch School	Mariana Guzman Casas '19	Galt Oliver '18
Seahorses 1	Brendan Little '18	Anna Flynn '20
Christchurch School	John Vail '20	Jeff Elkin '20
Seahorses 2	Tristan Elden '20	Carson Rozell '19
Grafton High School	Haydon Gould '19	Madeleine Etheridge '19
Varsity	Haydon Gould '19	Jacqueline Lankford '18
Hampton High School	Avery Mcnight '20	Ailis Brown '20
Crabbers	Nick Winkle '20 [1-7]	Tyler Brown '22 [1-4] Ella Hampton '22 [5-7]
Hampton Roads Academy	Henry Eley '18	Alex Kitay '19
Navigators	Henry Waddill '18	Connor Duggan '19
Kecoughtan High School	Cole Handly '19	Grace Joyner '19
Warriors 1	Sam Brady '19	Laura Rhodes '20
Kecoughtan High School	Tyson Denton '21	Ryan Nguyen '20
Warriors 2	Bryce Hoen '18 [1-7]	Kaelyn Thackeray '19 [1-4] Charlotte Pirnik '20 [5-7]
Maury High School	Tyler Cason '18	Will Moore '20
Commodores 1	Paul Trudell '22	Sophia Bibbo '20
Maury High School	Jalen Rogers '19 [1-7]	Emily Palmer '18 [1-2, 5-6] Kate Weaver '18 [3-4, 7]
Commodores 2	Alexandra Lingle '19	Jackson Walsh '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Harrison Parker '18	Maddy Reynolds '21
Saints	Bobby Levin '18	Hunter Sznoluch '19
Norfolk Academy	Lawson Montgomery '18 [1-2] Michael Hostutler '20 [3-7]	Mihir Damle '19 [1-2] Alek Sas '18 [3-7]
Bulldogs	Jack Kilduff '18 [1-2, 5-7] Jennifer Permenter '21 [3-4]	Cameron Lloyd '19 [1-2, 5-7] Hans Christoffersen '18 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School	Ellie Maus '18	Matt Wright '19
Oaks 1	Parker Purrington '19	Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Collegiate School	Sarah Smith '18 [1-7]	Clare Harbin '19 [1-4] Chapman Holt '20 [5-7]
Oaks 2	Chris Robertson '19	Sam Beck '21
Peninsula Catholic High School	Britt Cortina '20 [1-2, 5-7] Dan Whelan '20 [3-4]	Katie Fremaux '20 [1-2] Paula-Ann Robertson '19 [3-4] Liz Fierro '20 [5-6] Dan Whelan '20 [7]
Knights	William Robertson '21 [1-2, 5-7] Nina Robertson '18 [3-4]	Mary-Elise Alworth '19 [1-2] Gracie Harris '20 [3-4] Rachelle Steins '19 [5-7]
Phoebus High School	Gavin Smith '21	Ricky Cordner '19
Phantoms	Morgan Handly '21	Megan Geith '20
Poquoson High School	Jack Mckenna '20	Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Islanders	Charlotte Patterson '20 [1-7]	Ashlyn Wise '21 [1-2, 5-6] Kalia Haupt '19 [3-4, 7]
Walsingham Academy	Carson Cooper '18	Ronan Donovan '19
Trojans	Max Wilcox '18	Jamie Papazis '20
York High School	Zane Morris '18	Ethan White '21
Varsity	Daniel Hodges '18	Charlie Gibson '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

VISA HRA Fleet Race Regatta (Team 1)

Division A

Division B

From the notes