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Autumn Classic Central Great Lakes Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 70 17 87
2 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 42 72 114
3 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 51 63 114
4 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 63 54 117
5 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 61 68 129
6 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 75 64 139
7 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 119 59 178
8 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 87 102 189
9 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 100 104 204
10 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 98 108 206
11 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 118 91 209
12 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 78 142 220
13 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 85 149 234
14 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 127 153 280
15 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 147 140 287
16 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 171 117 288
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 2 1 2 1 DSQ 3 7 3 2 2 2 42 Luke Hosek '20
Lauren Mellinger '21
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 7 2 3 6 6 1 10 2 5 5 4 51 Jack Baldwin '22
Cristina Dombrowski '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 1 6 8 2 1 5 1 12 9 10 6 61 Owen Patterson '19
Asha Baddi '20
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 4 5 4 11 8 2 2 8 7 3 9 63 Marleigh Belsley '19
James Nappo '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian BKD 12 9 8 2 4 5 10 1 6 3 70 Quinn Keenan '19 [1-4, 9-11]
Nathan Whisner '19 [5-8]
Zach Nagel '19 [1-4, 9-11]
Izzy Cox '19 [5-8]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 10 9 1 3 4 9 8 14 3 9 5 75 Matteo Torquati '20 [1-11]
Alec Wyers '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Adler Wright '22 [5-6, 11]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 6 10 6 5 5 8 6 9 12 1 10 78 Greg Wootton '19
Graham Knox '20
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 14 11 11 4 3 10 3 4 6 7 12 85 John Hultquist '20 [1-11]
Maura Hopkinson '20 [1-6]
William Carl '23 [7-11]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 5 3 12 9 12 6 4 1 14 8 13 87 Ryan Henderson '19 [1-11]
Lily Allen '19 [1-10]
Charlie Herrick '22 [11]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 8 4 5 13 7 7 11 11 10 11 11 98 Sam Wojcik '20 [1-11]
Abbey Walls '20 [1-4, 7-8, 11]
Jack O'Brien '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 3 8 13 7 11 12 9 6 4 12 15 100 Emmett Nevel '21 [1-11]
Philip Mick '22 [1-4]
Kai Hinckley '23 [5-8]
David Eskilson '22 [9-11]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 12 13 10 10 9 14 12 7 11 13 7 118 Lexi Chigas '22 [1-11]
Kate Naughton '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Kevin Barrett '20 [7-8, 11]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 9 7 14 16 10 11 13 13 8 4 14 119 Beckett Kumler '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Samantha Bialek '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Nathaniel Barret '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cady Clark '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 11 14 7 15 14 15 16 5 15 14 1 127 Margo Cicero '22 [1-11]
Neil Rockey '22 [1-4, 7-11]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [5-6]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 13 15 16 12 13 13 14 15 13 15 8 147 Daniel Fogarty '19 [1-11]
Charlie Dewitt '20 [1-8, 11]
Steven Sirakides '22 [9-10]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 15 16 15 14 15 16 15 DNF 16 16 16 171 Gabe Kobza '20 [1-11]
Paige Roby '23 [1-8]
Kyle Mcdonald '23 [9-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 1 4 1 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 17 Noah Barton '19
Anna Mcbride '20
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 5 5 1 3 3 2 3 10 3 OCS 2 54 Nikolas Chambers '19
Cj Ricci '20
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 7 4 2 5 7 5 4 11 8 3 3 59 Caleb Barrett '20
Alexandra Kwiecien '19
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 6 3 9 6 8 8 5 2 4 5 7 63 Caroline Sandoval '19
Liam Anderson '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 4 2 6 10 DSQ 1 8 3 1 2 10 64 Emerson Wright '20 [1-8]
Benny Wild '22 [9-11]
Giovanna Boffa '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Philip Lengyel '21 [3-4, 9-11]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 3 6 7 2 2 4 7 5 7 OCS 8 68 Wyatt Harley '21
Aviva Kaplan '20
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 2 7 3 7 6 12 2 7 5 OCS 4 72 William Frendreiss '20
Julian Bornstien '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 8 10 12 9 10 7 6 6 6 8 9 91 Grace Beard '21
Angelina Simon '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 10 8 10 12 5 14 10 9 9 9 6 102 Ulysses Hennelly '20 [1-11]
Elias Henke '19 [1-4, 7-11]
Charlie Herrick '22 [5-6]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 11 12 5 13 13 9 9 4 13 4 11 104 Molly Sheridan '21 [1-2, 7-11]
Michael Stewart '21 [3-6]
Michael Stewart '21 [1-2, 7-11]
David Eskilson '22 [3-4]
Molly Sheridan '21 [5-6]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 9 9 8 4 4 6 13 14 15 12 14 108 Jack Bergman '20 [1-8]
Isabel Drobny '20 [9-11]
Isabel Drobny '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Olivia Niego '20 [3-4, 7-10]
Jack O'Brien '20 [11]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 14 11 11 8 11 10 11 8 11 10 12 117 Casey Murray '20 [1-2, 11]
Grayson Knox '19 [3-10]
Kyle Mcdonald '23 [1-4]
Casey Murray '20 [5-10]
Grayson Knox '19 [11]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 15 13 15 14 14 11 15 15 16 7 5 140 Adam Pawlik '22 [1-11]
Steven Sirakides '22 [1-2]
Evan Hartshorne '22 [3-6]
John Palkovic '20 [7-8, 11]
Carter Shute '22 [9-10]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 13 16 14 16 12 15 14 13 10 6 13 142 Jack Ruder '19
John Derdak '21
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 16 14 13 11 9 13 16 16 14 11 16 149 Aidan Soule '25 [1-6]
Maura Hopkinson '20 [7-10]
Julia Overmyer '23 [11]
Celia Carl '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
William Carl '23 [3-4]
Julia Overmyer '23 [7-8]
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 12 15 16 15 15 16 12 12 12 13 15 153 James Rockey '20 [1-11]
Victoria Fulton '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves113355779911
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons141416162244668
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles22446688101012
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits33557799111113
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars4466881010121214
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans5577991111131315
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles668810101212141416
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts77991111131315151
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity8810101212141416162
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans99111113131515113
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers1010121214141616224
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions11111313151511335
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian12121414161622446
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack131315151133557
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1515113355779
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins16162244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves22446688101012
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons1515113355779
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles33557799111113
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits4466881010121214
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars5577991111131315
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans668810101212141416
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles77991111131315151
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts8810101212141416162
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity99111113131515113
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans1010121214141616224
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers11111313151511335
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions12121414161622446
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian131315151133557
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack141416162244668
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies16162244668810
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins113355779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Greg Wootton '19 Graham Knox '20
Wolves Jack Ruder '19 John Derdak '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Beckett Kumler '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Samantha Bialek '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]		 Nathaniel Barret '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cady Clark '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Eagles Caleb Barrett '20 Alexandra Kwiecien '19
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Ryan Henderson '19 [1-11] Lily Allen '19 [1-10]
Charlie Herrick '22 [11]
Wildkits Ulysses Hennelly '20 [1-11] Elias Henke '19 [1-4, 7-11]
Charlie Herrick '22 [5-6]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School John Hultquist '20 [1-11] Maura Hopkinson '20 [1-6]
William Carl '23 [7-11]
Friars Aidan Soule '25 [1-6]
Maura Hopkinson '20 [7-10]
Julia Overmyer '23 [11]		 Celia Carl '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
William Carl '23 [3-4]
Julia Overmyer '23 [7-8]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Daniel Fogarty '19 [1-11] Charlie Dewitt '20 [1-8, 11]
Steven Sirakides '22 [9-10]
Titans Adam Pawlik '22 [1-11] Steven Sirakides '22 [1-2]
Evan Hartshorne '22 [3-6]
John Palkovic '20 [7-8, 11]
Carter Shute '22 [9-10]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Emmett Nevel '21 [1-11] Philip Mick '22 [1-4]
Kai Hinckley '23 [5-8]
David Eskilson '22 [9-11]
Eagles Molly Sheridan '21 [1-2, 7-11]
Michael Stewart '21 [3-6]		 Michael Stewart '21 [1-2, 7-11]
David Eskilson '22 [3-4]
Molly Sheridan '21 [5-6]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Gabe Kobza '20 [1-11] Paige Roby '23 [1-8]
Kyle Mcdonald '23 [9-11]
Scouts Casey Murray '20 [1-2, 11]
Grayson Knox '19 [3-10]		 Kyle Mcdonald '23 [1-4]
Casey Murray '20 [5-10]
Grayson Knox '19 [11]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Luke Hosek '20 Lauren Mellinger '21
Varsity William Frendreiss '20 Julian Bornstien '20
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Marleigh Belsley '19 James Nappo '20
Romans Nikolas Chambers '19 Cj Ricci '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Lexi Chigas '22 [1-11] Kate Naughton '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Kevin Barrett '20 [7-8, 11]
Ramblers Grace Beard '21 Angelina Simon '20
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Sam Wojcik '20 [1-11] Abbey Walls '20 [1-4, 7-8, 11]
Jack O'Brien '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Lions Jack Bergman '20 [1-8]
Isabel Drobny '20 [9-11]		 Isabel Drobny '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Olivia Niego '20 [3-4, 7-10]
Jack O'Brien '20 [11]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Quinn Keenan '19 [1-4, 9-11]
Nathan Whisner '19 [5-8]		 Zach Nagel '19 [1-4, 9-11]
Izzy Cox '19 [5-8]
Trevian Noah Barton '19 Anna Mcbride '20
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Jack Baldwin '22 Cristina Dombrowski '19
Wolfpack Caroline Sandoval '19 Liam Anderson '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Matteo Torquati '20 [1-11] Alec Wyers '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Adler Wright '22 [5-6, 11]
Maroons Emerson Wright '20 [1-8]
Benny Wild '22 [9-11]		 Giovanna Boffa '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Philip Lengyel '21 [3-4, 9-11]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Owen Patterson '19 Asha Baddi '20
Grizzlies Wyatt Harley '21 Aviva Kaplan '20
Whitney Young Whitney Young Margo Cicero '22 [1-11] Neil Rockey '22 [1-4, 7-11]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [5-6]
Dolphins James Rockey '20 [1-11] Victoria Fulton '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [3-4]

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 34°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From SW (218°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1017.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · S 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →