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VISA TCIS Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 8 8
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 16 16
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 25 25
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 30 30
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 32 32
6 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 38 38
7 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 40 40
8 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 1 51 51
9 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 3 63 63
10 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 3 65 65
11 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 3 68 68
12 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 74 74
13 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 74 74
14 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 2 80 80
15 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 83 83
16 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 86 86
17 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 101 101
18 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 110 110
19 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 115 115
20 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 3 115 115
21 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 3 115 115
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 8 Chris Robertson '19
Matt Wright '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 3 3 1 3 2 4 16 Parker Purrington '19
Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 4 2 2 5 6 6 25 Charlie Britt '21
Ali Zaidi '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 2 6 8 7 4 3 30 Harrison Thomson '22 [1, 5]
Alex Schuck '21 [2, 6]
Maggie Campbell '22 [3]
Robert Chase '22 [4]
Sam Beck '21 [1, 5]
Adam Elci '22 [2, 6]
Clare Harbin '19 [3]
Jon Krueger '20 [4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 7 5 4 6 5 5 32 Maiya Foleck '19 [1]
Jennifer Permenter '21 [2-3]
Henry Allgeier '23 [4-6]
Audrey Permenter '23 [1, 4-6]
Cameron Lloyd '19 [2-3]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 13 7 11 2 3 2 38 Michael Hostutler '20
Mihir Damle '19
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 6 4 7 4 10 9 40 Kyle Pfrang '22
Hunter Sznoluch '19
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 1 14 9 5 8 7 8 51 Britt Cortina '20
Gracie Harris '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 3 9 8 9 DSQ 8 7 63 Alex Kitay '19
Ethan Kutner '18
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 3 10 10 10 10 12 13 65 Jake Kiggans '19 [1-6]
Mark Ostrowski '19 [1, 4-6]
Maria Rodriguez '22 [2-3]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 3 5 11 13 14 15 10 68 Ronan Donovan '19
Maddy O'Connell '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 15 12 12 9 11 15 74 Jack Butler '23
Emily Argust '20
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 19 13 6 11 9 16 74 Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-6]
Joshua Morris '23 [1-3]
Jack Pflika '22 [4-6]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 2 11 16 15 13 14 11 80 Dan Whelan '20
Katie Fremaux '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 17 15 14 12 13 12 83 Dax Dimuzio '21
Cole Frankenhoff '22
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 8 17 16 15 16 14 86 Connor Duggan '19
Diaana Mohsin '19
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 12 14 19 17 17 DNF 101 Josh Kiggans '21 [1-6]
Chase Brittain '22 [1-2]
Gustavo Morales '20 [3]
Oliver Hudson '20 [4-6]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 DNF 18 18 16 18 18 110 Mike Laccheo '23 [1-3]
Riley Kelley '20 [4-6]
Sidney Woloszynowski '20 [1-5]
Mike Laccheo '23 [6]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 16 21 21 19 19 19 115 Charles Schoening '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Nolan Swetland '21 [3-4]
Camden Edwards '22 [1-2]
Maragret Lassalle '19 [3-6]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 3 18 20 20 20 20 17 115 Will Robertson '21
Jacob Fugere '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 3 20 19 17 18 21 20 115 Carter Lydon '21
Andy Beute '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 1111111
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 2222222
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 3333333
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1444444
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2555555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 3666666
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1777777
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2888888
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 3999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3151515151515
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights 1161616161616
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights 2171717171717
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights 3181818181818
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans 1107107107107107107
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans 2108108108108108108
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans 3109109109109109109
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 Charles Schoening '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Nolan Swetland '21 [3-4]		 Camden Edwards '22 [1-2]
Maragret Lassalle '19 [3-6]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 Josh Kiggans '21 [1-6] Chase Brittain '22 [1-2]
Gustavo Morales '20 [3]
Oliver Hudson '20 [4-6]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 3 Jake Kiggans '19 [1-6] Mark Ostrowski '19 [1, 4-6]
Maria Rodriguez '22 [2-3]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 Dax Dimuzio '21 Cole Frankenhoff '22
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 Connor Duggan '19 Diaana Mohsin '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 3 Alex Kitay '19 Ethan Kutner '18
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 Kyle Pfrang '22 Hunter Sznoluch '19
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 Jack Butler '23 Emily Argust '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 3 Carter Lydon '21 Andy Beute '23
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Michael Hostutler '20 Mihir Damle '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Charlie Britt '21 Ali Zaidi '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 Maiya Foleck '19 [1]
Jennifer Permenter '21 [2-3]
Henry Allgeier '23 [4-6]		 Audrey Permenter '23 [1, 4-6]
Cameron Lloyd '19 [2-3]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 Chris Robertson '19 Matt Wright '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 Harrison Thomson '22 [1, 5]
Alex Schuck '21 [2, 6]
Maggie Campbell '22 [3]
Robert Chase '22 [4]		 Sam Beck '21 [1, 5]
Adam Elci '22 [2, 6]
Clare Harbin '19 [3]
Jon Krueger '20 [4]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 1 Britt Cortina '20 Gracie Harris '20
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 2 Dan Whelan '20 Katie Fremaux '20
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 3 Will Robertson '21 Jacob Fugere '20
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 Mike Laccheo '23 [1-3]
Riley Kelley '20 [4-6]		 Sidney Woloszynowski '20 [1-5]
Mike Laccheo '23 [6]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-6] Joshua Morris '23 [1-3]
Jack Pflika '22 [4-6]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 3 Ronan Donovan '19 Maddy O'Connell '20

Conditions — 10/25/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1022.4 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.0 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From NW (317°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1022.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hampton Roads/Walsingham Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hampton Roads/Walsingham Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Hampton Roads/Walsingham Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →