MASSA Fall Silver Fleet Championship

HostTred Avon Yacht Club
Date10/19/2019
TypeDistrict Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	30	57	87
2	Annapolis High School	Panthers	61	32	93
3	St. Augustine Prep School	Hermits	53	46	99
4	Broadneck High School	Bruins	62	41	103
5	Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	61	44	105
6	Severna Park	Falcons	52	66	118
7	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	63	66	129
8	Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	34	99	133
9	Fairport High School	Red Raiders	75	62	137
10	St. Rose High School	Purple Roses	76	76	152
11	Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	99	64	163
12	Pittsford High School	Knights	84	85	169
13	Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	56	117	173
14	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors	81	92	173
15	Chatham High School	Cougars	104	75	179
16	Williamsville North	Spartans	108	101	209
17	Brighton High School	Bauins	125	102	227

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	1	2	6	10	1	3	4	3	30	Sean Groskoph '20 Sophie Lusty '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	4	1	3	2	4	4	15	1	34	Kyle Pfrang '22 Payton Yoder '22
Severna Park	Falcons	12	5	2	7	10	2	8	6	52	Camden Ward '20 [1-8] Connor Killeen '21 [1-4] Grace O'Brien '20 [5-8]
St. Augustine Prep School	Hermits	15	12	5	3	3	6	5	4	53	Zachary York '20 [1-8] Mason Medolla '22 [1-2, 5-8] Calvin Mcclain '22 [3-4]
Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	11	16	1	1	7	16	2	2	56	Britt Cortina '20 [1-8] Gracie Harris '20 [1-4, 7-8] Audrey Merritt '20 [5-6]
Annapolis High School	Panthers	5	4	12	5	2	7	11	15	61	Carter O'Neill '20 Adam Ginsburg '23
Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	6	7	13	4	8	10	6	7	61	Ava Farley '22 Joaquin Marquez '21
Broadneck High School	Bruins	9	11	7	8	11	5	1	10	62	Jonjon Weed '22 Lily Newman '21
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	14	6	9	6	5	8	7	8	63	Taylor Warwick '20 Nate Ciak '20
Fairport High School	Red Raiders	2	10	11	16	12	9	10	5	75	Adam Strobridge '22 [1-8] Cameron Bernabei '21 [1-3] Megan Thurley '21 [4-8]
St. Rose High School	Purple Roses	13	17	4	9	6	1	12	14	76	Mercedes Escandon '20 Emerson Furgason '20
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors	16	9	8	11	9	14	3	11	81	Megan Geith '20 [1-8] Charlotte Pirnik '20 [1-4] Laura Rhodes '20 [5-8]
Pittsford High School	Knights	3	8	10	12	14	15	9	13	84	Olivia Callon '20 Sierra Bornheim '20
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	10	15	15	13	13	11	13	9	99	Matthew Collinson '20 [1-8] Joshua Sambrano '22 [1-2] Sarah Rosa '20 [3-8]
Chatham High School	Cougars	8	3	16	17	16	13	14	17	104	Thomas Marino '21 [1-2, 5-6] Carson Lubrano '20 [3-4] Ryan Mcwalters '21 [7-8] Ryan Mcwalters '21 [1-2, 5-6] Paige Lubrano '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Williamsville North	Spartans	7	13	14	15	15	12	16	16	108	Nicholas Barillari '22 Sydney Kelsch '22
Brighton High School	Bauins	17	14	17	14	17	17	17	12	125	Joe Seiffert '21 [1-8] Greg Wilt '22 [1-4, 7-8] Travis Minor '22 [5-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Annapolis High School	Panthers	8	3	1	5	7	1	1	6	32	Cole Canuel '23 Isabella Fadullon '23
Broadneck High School	Bruins	3	5	3	1	5	12	2	10	41	Morgan Carew '21 Lucien Parker '20
Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	4	1	2	6	6	16	4	5	44	Anna Groszkowski '22 Ty Ryan '22
St. Augustine Prep School	Hermits	7	9	5	3	1	7	11	3	46	Patrick York '20 [1-8] Chris Medolla '20 [1-2, 5-8] Chase Davis '20 [3-4]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	2	4	10	12	10	3	12	4	57	Hannah Mercurio '20 Ben Sampson '20
Fairport High School	Red Raiders	12	11	6	8	4	5	8	8	62	Benjamin Hosford '21 [1-3] Cameron Bernabei '21 [4-8] Tori Mullaney '20 [1-3]
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	14	7	4	11	12	9	6	1	64	Ole Singelstad '21 Joshua Sambrano '22
Severna Park	Falcons	13	2	7	7	2	14	3	DNF	66	Ben Chitterling '21 [1-8] Ben Howard '22 [1-5] Janie Powell '21 [6-8]
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	16	15	8	4	3	2	BKD	11	66	Thomas Roeber '23 Joe Paccione '21
Chatham High School	Cougars	6	6	16	16	15	4	10	2	75	Luke Duplessis '20 Henry Gallagher '20
St. Rose High School	Purple Roses	9	8	13	2	9	11	BKD	15	76	Lucas Escandon '22 [1-8] Angelina '22 [1-6] Emma Coakley '20 [7-8]
Pittsford High School	Knights	11	14	9	17	14	6	5	9	85	Pierson Deloe '20 Vitoria Fornataro '23
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors	1	10	12	9	13	17	16	14	92	Tori Dixon '20 [1-6] Ryan Nguyen '20 [7-8] Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-4] Morgan Riggins '20 [5-6] Mallory Soter '20 [7-8]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	10	17	11	15	11	10	13	12	99	Jack Butler '23 Andy Beute '23
Williamsville North	Spartans	5	12	14	13	16	8	17	16	101	Megan Kelsch '22 Chad Swiech '22
Brighton High School	Bauins	17	13	15	14	8	13	15	7	102	Finn Mahan '22 [1-8] Teddy Bernold '22 [1-4] Joshua Klein '20 [5-8]
Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	15	16	17	10	17	15	14	13	117	Will Robertson '21 [1-8] Katie Fremaux '20 [1-2, 4-6] Disraeli Brooks '22 [3] Jacob Fugere '20 [7-8]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Annapolis High School Panthers	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Brighton High School Bauins	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Broadneck High School Bruins	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Chatham High School Cougars	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Fairport High School Red Raiders	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Kecoughtan High School Warriors	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Peninsula Catholic High School Knights	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Pittsford High School Knights	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	15	15	17	17	2	2	4	4
Severna Park Falcons	12	12	14	14	16	16	1	1
St. Augustine Prep School Hermits	13	13	15	15	17	17	2	2
St. Rose High School Purple Roses	14	14	16	16	1	1	3	3
Summit High School Hilltoppers	16	16	1	1	3	3	5	5
Williamsville North Spartans	17	17	2	2	4	4	6	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Annapolis High School Panthers	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Brighton High School Bauins	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Broadneck High School Bruins	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Chatham High School Cougars	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Fairport High School Red Raiders	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Kecoughtan High School Warriors	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Peninsula Catholic High School Knights	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Pittsford High School Knights	12	12	14	14	16	16	1	1
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	16	16	1	1	3	3	5	5
Severna Park Falcons	13	13	15	15	17	17	2	2
St. Augustine Prep School Hermits	14	14	16	16	1	1	3	3
St. Rose High School Purple Roses	15	15	17	17	2	2	4	4
Summit High School Hilltoppers	17	17	2	2	4	4	6	6
Williamsville North Spartans	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Annapolis High School	Carter O'Neill '20	Adam Ginsburg '23
Panthers	Cole Canuel '23	Isabella Fadullon '23
Archbishop Spalding	Ava Farley '22	Joaquin Marquez '21
Cavaliers	Anna Groszkowski '22	Ty Ryan '22
Brighton High School	Joe Seiffert '21 [1-8]	Greg Wilt '22 [1-4, 7-8] Travis Minor '22 [5-6]
Bauins	Finn Mahan '22 [1-8]	Teddy Bernold '22 [1-4] Joshua Klein '20 [5-8]
Broadneck High School	Jonjon Weed '22	Lily Newman '21
Bruins	Morgan Carew '21	Lucien Parker '20
Chatham High School	Thomas Marino '21 [1-2, 5-6] Carson Lubrano '20 [3-4] Ryan Mcwalters '21 [7-8]	Ryan Mcwalters '21 [1-2, 5-6] Paige Lubrano '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Cougars	Luke Duplessis '20	Henry Gallagher '20
Donovan Catholic High School	Taylor Warwick '20	Nate Ciak '20
Griffins	Thomas Roeber '23	Joe Paccione '21
Fairport High School	Adam Strobridge '22 [1-8]	Cameron Bernabei '21 [1-3] Megan Thurley '21 [4-8]
Red Raiders	Benjamin Hosford '21 [1-3] Cameron Bernabei '21 [4-8]	Tori Mullaney '20 [1-3]
Kecoughtan High School	Megan Geith '20 [1-8]	Charlotte Pirnik '20 [1-4] Laura Rhodes '20 [5-8]
Warriors	Tori Dixon '20 [1-6] Ryan Nguyen '20 [7-8]	Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-4] Morgan Riggins '20 [5-6] Mallory Soter '20 [7-8]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Kyle Pfrang '22	Payton Yoder '22
Saints	Jack Butler '23	Andy Beute '23
Peninsula Catholic High School	Britt Cortina '20 [1-8]	Gracie Harris '20 [1-4, 7-8] Audrey Merritt '20 [5-6]
Knights	Will Robertson '21 [1-8]	Katie Fremaux '20 [1-2, 4-6] Disraeli Brooks '22 [3] Jacob Fugere '20 [7-8]
Pittsford High School	Olivia Callon '20	Sierra Bornheim '20
Knights	Pierson Deloe '20	Vitoria Fornataro '23
Severna Park	Camden Ward '20 [1-8]	Connor Killeen '21 [1-4] Grace O'Brien '20 [5-8]
Falcons	Ben Chitterling '21 [1-8]	Ben Howard '22 [1-5] Janie Powell '21 [6-8]
St. Augustine Prep School	Zachary York '20 [1-8]	Mason Medolla '22 [1-2, 5-8] Calvin Mcclain '22 [3-4]
Hermits	Patrick York '20 [1-8]	Chris Medolla '20 [1-2, 5-8] Chase Davis '20 [3-4]
St. Rose High School	Mercedes Escandon '20	Emerson Furgason '20
Purple Roses	Lucas Escandon '22 [1-8]	Angelina '22 [1-6] Emma Coakley '20 [7-8]
Sts. Peter & Paul	Matthew Collinson '20 [1-8]	Joshua Sambrano '22 [1-2] Sarah Rosa '20 [3-8]
Sabres	Ole Singelstad '21	Joshua Sambrano '22
Summit High School	Sean Groskoph '20	Sophie Lusty '20
Hilltoppers	Hannah Mercurio '20	Ben Sampson '20
Williamsville North	Nicholas Barillari '22	Sydney Kelsch '22
Spartans	Megan Kelsch '22	Chad Swiech '22

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MASSA Fall Silver Fleet Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes