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MN Conference #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 44 7 51
2 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 12 46 58
3 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 33 30 63
4 Breck Breck Varsity 58 28 86
5 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 8 80 88
6 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 60 37 97
7 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 73 24 97
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 40 72 112
9 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 43 69 112
10 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 56 61 117
11 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 75 52 127
12 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 76 54 130
13 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 42 93 135
14 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 2 68 73 141
15 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 53 96 149
16 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 75 76 151
17 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 104 59 163
18 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 95 69 164
19 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 114 114 228
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 1 1 2 1 2 1 8 Alexandre Cholat '22
Rose Pereira '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 2 1 2 1 4 12 Wyatt Tait '23
Lorenzo Good '25
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 7 3 5 10 3 5 33 Virginia Higgins '22
Alex Wicklund '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 5 10 6 3 14 2 40 Evelyn Engebretson '24
Carmen Lineer '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 4 4 9 RDG 4 14 42 Robbie Dresen '25 [1-6]
Lucy Guidinger '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Stella Townshend '22 [3-4]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 11 9 7 4 5 7 43 Samantha Forgosh '22
Parker Ziegler '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 6 5 4 13 13 3 44 Paige Kurtenbach '23
Mara Lysaght '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 9 7 11 6 8 12 53 Maxwell Kelley '26
Hazel Eiden '25
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 3 RDG 8 9 12 15 56 Sam Fider '22
Helene Schroeder '22
Breck Breck Varsity 16 8 3 7 15 9 58 Maeve Katics '22
Erin Mcdonagh '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 8 6 15 14 6 11 60 Katherine Ahlquist '24
Andrew Bertsch '23
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 2 15 13 17 5 10 8 68 Henry Jackson '25
Caleb Thompson '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 10 11 14 15 7 16 73 Nigel Yu '24 [1-6]
Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-2]
David Acheson '24 [3-6]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 13 16 10 8 11 17 75 Isaac Sparber '22
Lauren Reichert '24
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 14 14 13 12 16 6 75 Caden Houge '23
Austin Shaw '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 12 12 12 18 9 13 76 Jack Wherry '23 [1-6]
Emma Komis '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Vonsmith '27 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 17 15 DNF 16 17 10 95 Joshua Drivdahl '25 [1-6]
Aliya Determan '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Andreas Hoke '25 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 18 17 16 17 18 18 104 Nicholas Wyatt '22
Lauren Salmi '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 19 DNF 18 19 19 19 114 Jack Brellenthin '26 [1-6]
Ray Taha '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Gloria Jorczak '24 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Dominik Moncur '25
Joseph Snyder '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 5 4 3 3 4 5 24 Teddy Bower '26
Joey Kim '26
Breck Breck Varsity 7 3 2 8 1 7 28 Lauren Strothman '24
Emerson Milchman '22
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets RDG 7 7 2 9 2 30 Grady Van Ness '22
Alex Wyatt '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 4 6 4 7 6 10 37 Lucy Zinn '24
Gwen Nechas '24
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 5 10 4 17 8 46 George Slaats '23
Madeline Netzer '22
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 6 16 13 11 3 3 52 Morgan Reeves '22
Rory Baker '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 13 10 6 5 8 12 54 Sofia Sigel '24 [1-6]
Piper Laing '27 [1-4]
Katherine Vonsmith '27 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 14 13 5 9 7 11 59 Max Barrett '25
Sameer Bhatia '24
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 12 15 9 10 11 4 61 Timothy Chouinard '26
Spence Christensen '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 9 11 12 6 18 13 69 Ella Wisely '23 [1-6]
Nora Yocum '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Akaycia Belisle '25 [3-4]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 15 2 11 12 13 16 69 Jack Colosi '25 [1-6]
Alex Bixby '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sofie Muschenheim '25 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 11 9 14 18 5 15 72 Gwyn Noller '25
Ana Stewart '23
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 2 10 8 15 16 15 9 73 Aiden Kennedy '25
Martin Weiss '22
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 16 12 18 14 10 6 76 Andy Corbett '23
Jack Karban '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 8 14 17 15 12 14 80 Leo Markus '23
Erik Westgard '22
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 17 17 8 17 16 18 93 Akaycia Belisle '25 [1-6]
Niamh Mcmahon '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Haaken Lein '27 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 18 18 16 13 14 17 96 David Piper '23
Aaron Cleary '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 19 19 19 19 19 19 114 Renata Hernandez '27 [1-6]
Anastasia Gilbert '26 [1-4]
Gloria Jorczak '24 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
BreckBreck Varsity113355
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets224466
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed335577
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 18810101212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 29911111313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 3101012121414
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1446688
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2557799
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 366881010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 477991111
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed111113131515
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 1121214141616
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 2131315151717
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers141416161818
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans151517171919
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers1616181811
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 11717191922
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 218181133
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed19192244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
BreckBreck Varsity224466
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets335577
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed446688
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 19911111313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 2101012121414
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 3111113131515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1557799
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 266881010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 377991111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 48810101212
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed121214141616
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 1131315151717
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans 2141416161818
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers151517171919
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans1616181811
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers1717191922
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 118181133
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 219192244
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Breck Breck Maeve Katics '22 Erin Mcdonagh '24
Varsity Lauren Strothman '24 Emerson Milchman '22
Edina High School Edina High School Virginia Higgins '22 Alex Wicklund '23
Hornets Grady Van Ness '22 Alex Wyatt '27
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Joshua Drivdahl '25 [1-6] Aliya Determan '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Andreas Hoke '25 [3-4]
Mixed Ella Wisely '23 [1-6] Nora Yocum '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Akaycia Belisle '25 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Nigel Yu '24 [1-6] Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-2]
David Acheson '24 [3-6]
Mixed 1 Teddy Bower '26 Joey Kim '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Nicholas Wyatt '22 Lauren Salmi '23
Mixed 2 Max Barrett '25 Sameer Bhatia '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Maxwell Kelley '26 Hazel Eiden '25
Mixed 3 David Piper '23 Aaron Cleary '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Evelyn Engebretson '24 Carmen Lineer '23
Skippers 1 Gwyn Noller '25 Ana Stewart '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Katherine Ahlquist '24 Andrew Bertsch '23
Skippers 2 Lucy Zinn '24 Gwen Nechas '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Wherry '23 [1-6] Emma Komis '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Vonsmith '27 [3-4]
Skippers 3 Sofia Sigel '24 [1-6] Piper Laing '27 [1-4]
Katherine Vonsmith '27 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Brellenthin '26 [1-6] Ray Taha '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Gloria Jorczak '24 [3-4]
Skippers 4 Renata Hernandez '27 [1-6] Anastasia Gilbert '26 [1-4]
Gloria Jorczak '24 [5-6]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Samantha Forgosh '22 Parker Ziegler '24
Mixed Jack Colosi '25 [1-6] Alex Bixby '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sofie Muschenheim '25 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Caden Houge '23 Austin Shaw '23
Spartans 1 Morgan Reeves '22 Rory Baker '24
Orono High School Orono High School Henry Jackson '25 Caleb Thompson '25
Spartans 2 Aiden Kennedy '25 Martin Weiss '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Sam Fider '22 Helene Schroeder '22
Lakers Timothy Chouinard '26 Spence Christensen '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Wyatt Tait '23 Lorenzo Good '25
Spartans George Slaats '23 Madeline Netzer '22
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 Rose Pereira '22
Millers Leo Markus '23 Erik Westgard '22
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Paige Kurtenbach '23 Mara Lysaght '24
Navy 1 Dominik Moncur '25 Joseph Snyder '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Isaac Sparber '22 Lauren Reichert '24
Navy 2 Andy Corbett '23 Jack Karban '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 [1-6] Lucy Guidinger '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Stella Townshend '22 [3-4]
Mixed Akaycia Belisle '25 [1-6] Niamh Mcmahon '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Haaken Lein '27 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/18/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SSE (153°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at White Bear Lake: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at White Bear Lake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →