Navigate

Fall Champs Gold

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 8 20 28
2 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 16 25 41
3 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 23 25 48
4 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 35 16 51
5 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 23 30 53
6 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 9 45 54
7 Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 37 18 55
8 Lakeridge High School Lakeridge High School Lake Ridge 40 41 81
9 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 23 61 84
10 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 50 47 97
11 The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 27 79 106
12 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 63 44 107
13 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 65 44 109
14 Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 70 42 112
15 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 67 52 119
16 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 67 52 119
17 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 62 60 122
18 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 50 76 126
19 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 82 MRP 55 MRP 137 MRP
20 Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 82 MRP 60 MRP 142 MRP
21 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 67 77 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 3 2 1 8 Jacob Posner '25
Levi Bailey '24
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 5 1 1 2 9 Dieter Creitz '25
Phoebe Howe '24
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 6 3 4 16 Charlie Snyder '24
Alyssa Leong '26
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 4 11 7 23 Ben Stone '23
Elliott Chalcraft '23
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 4 5 6 8 23 Corinne Harrison '23 [1-4]
Hannah Welch '25 [1-2]
Genevieve Davis '26 [3-4]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 6 8 4 5 23 Nico Konyk '25 [1-2]
Bailey Rainbolt '26 [3-4]
Bailey Rainbolt '26 [1-2]
Nico Konyk '25 [3-4]
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 7 7 7 6 27 Francesca Dougherty '25
Mia Mcnabb '24
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 8 2 DSQ 3 35 Teddy Gao '23
Jocelyn Emery '26
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 10 10 8 9 37 Leif Hauge '24
Bridger Birch '26
Lakeridge High School Lakeridge High School Lake Ridge 9 14 5 12 40 No Show
Emily Harding '24
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 12 9 19 10 50 Anna Servatius '24
Allison Bailey '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 15 12 10 13 50 Sammy Farkas '23
Bella Norwood '26
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 18 13 14 17 62 Elliott Brigham '23
Graeme Hendricks '26
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 14 20 15 14 63 Camryn Lee '24
Beo Satterlee '25
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 16 15 18 16 65 Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23
Aidan Budelman '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 13 16 20 18 67 Fergie Waag '24
Cassidy Reitman '25
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 19 21 16 11 67 Kayla Strandberg '23 [1-4]
Amelia Burrus '24 [1-2]
Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 21 19 12 15 67 Max Day '26
Emma Moore '25
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 17 17 17 19 70 Willy Walden '24 [1-4]
Hazel Windstorm '24 [1-2]
Zephyr Bell '24 [3-4]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 11 18 13 20 82 MRP Zev Fort '25
Esther Goodell '23
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 20 11 9 DSQ 82 MRP Nikhil Damji '25
Emil Damji '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 12 2 1 16 Zack Riccelli '23
Charlotte Yesser '23
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 2 7 4 5 18 Cole Newbrook '25
Lucas Hartranft '26
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 4 9 1 6 20 Oliver Nairn '23
Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 3 10 9 25 Ryan Downey '25 [1-2]
Carter Anderson '23 [3-4]
Sabrina Anderson '24 [1-2]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 5 15 3 2 25 Sophia Hubbard '24 [1-2]
Emy Kissick '25 [3-4]
Finn Mcclure '23 [1-2]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 8 2 13 7 30 Finn Deprez '25
Sky Rainbolt '23
Lakeridge High School Lakeridge High School Lake Ridge 11 4 11 15 41 Braden Voelkel '26
Eleanor Crandall '25
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 14 1 14 13 42 Lhotse Rowell '24
Ava Butterfield '24
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 6 8 20 10 44 Alijah Manzanares '25
Ryan Solie '25
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 7 5 18 14 44 Brent Hu '25
Nate Cutting '25
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 13 17 12 3 45 Arden Rathopf '23
Simone Ford '24
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 10 16 9 12 47 Keagan Carrigan '24
Cole Stebbens '24
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 15 14 7 16 52 Mia Clarke '24
Evan Maudlin '23
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 16 10 8 18 52 Allison Lehmann '26
Bradyn Rueb '24
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 12 13 6 4 55 MRP Max Hanson '25
Iris Hochwalt '24
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 9 18 5 8 60 MRP Advik Eswaran '23 [1-2]
Noelani Li '26 [3-4]
Anna Cezik '26 [1-2]
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 17 11 15 17 60 August Montiel '25
Atticus Andress '26
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions DNS 6 DSQ 11 61 William Embick '26
Aspen Merrill '25
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 18 19 17 DNF 76 Hannah Ellis '24
Cadence Smith '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 19 20 19 19 77 Hayden Jacobson '23
Fin Van Rutledge '25
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon DNS 21 16 20 79 Enzo Dougherty '23
Kyle Gustafson '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks7296729687468746
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans9200920087458745
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers8746874692939293
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions8745874592929292
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks9293929392169216
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars9292929292029202
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers9216921692019201
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins9202920299
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides9201920186378637
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles9982628262
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams863786371010
Lakeridge High SchoolLakeridge High School Lake Ridge8262826292189218
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions101092239223
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals9218921892229222
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats922392231111
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears9222922292219221
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks111192039203
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders9221922193209320
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners920392031616
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm9320932072967296
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon161692009200

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks9200920087458745
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans8746874692939293
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers8745874592929292
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions9293929392169216
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks9292929292029202
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars9216921692019201
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers9202920299
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins9201920186378637
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides9982628262
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles863786371010
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams8262826292189218
Lakeridge High SchoolLakeridge High School Lake Ridge101092239223
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions9218921892229222
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals922392231111
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats9222922292219221
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears111192039203
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks9221922193209320
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders920392031616
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners9320932072967296
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm161692009200
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon7296729687468746
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Kayla Strandberg '23 [1-4] Amelia Burrus '24 [1-2]
Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [3-4]
Seahawks Allison Lehmann '26 Bradyn Rueb '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Ben Stone '23 Elliott Chalcraft '23
Spartans Ryan Downey '25 [1-2]
Carter Anderson '23 [3-4]		 Sabrina Anderson '24 [1-2]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Dieter Creitz '25 Phoebe Howe '24
Beavers Arden Rathopf '23 Simone Ford '24
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Corinne Harrison '23 [1-4] Hannah Welch '25 [1-2]
Genevieve Davis '26 [3-4]
Lions William Embick '26 Aspen Merrill '25
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Max Day '26 Emma Moore '25
Bayhawks Mia Clarke '24 Evan Maudlin '23
Capital High School Capital High School Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 Aidan Budelman '25
Cougars Alijah Manzanares '25 Ryan Solie '25
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Camryn Lee '24 Beo Satterlee '25
Tarriers Brent Hu '25 Nate Cutting '25
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Leif Hauge '24 Bridger Birch '26
Bruins Cole Newbrook '25 Lucas Hartranft '26
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Nico Konyk '25 [1-2]
Bailey Rainbolt '26 [3-4]		 Bailey Rainbolt '26 [1-2]
Nico Konyk '25 [3-4]
Tides Finn Deprez '25 Sky Rainbolt '23
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Fergie Waag '24 Cassidy Reitman '25
Eagles Hayden Jacobson '23 Fin Van Rutledge '25
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Zev Fort '25 Esther Goodell '23
Rams Max Hanson '25 Iris Hochwalt '24
Lakeridge High School Lakeridge High School No Show Emily Harding '24
Lake Ridge Braden Voelkel '26 Eleanor Crandall '25
Lakeside School Lakeside School Nikhil Damji '25 Emil Damji '25
Lions Advik Eswaran '23 [1-2]
Noelani Li '26 [3-4]		 Anna Cezik '26 [1-2]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Teddy Gao '23 Jocelyn Emery '26
Cardinals Zack Riccelli '23 Charlotte Yesser '23
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Anna Servatius '24 Allison Bailey '23
Wildcats Hannah Ellis '24 Cadence Smith '25
Olympia High School Olympia High School Charlie Snyder '24 Alyssa Leong '26
Bears Sophia Hubbard '24 [1-2]
Emy Kissick '25 [3-4]		 Finn Mcclure '23 [1-2]
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Willy Walden '24 [1-4] Hazel Windstorm '24 [1-2]
Zephyr Bell '24 [3-4]
Redhawks Lhotse Rowell '24 Ava Butterfield '24
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Jacob Posner '25 Levi Bailey '24
Rough Riders Oliver Nairn '23 Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Sammy Farkas '23 Bella Norwood '26
Mariners Keagan Carrigan '24 Cole Stebbens '24
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Elliott Brigham '23 Graeme Hendricks '26
Storm August Montiel '25 Atticus Andress '26
The Downtown School The Downtown School Francesca Dougherty '25 Mia Mcnabb '24
Sockeye Salmon Enzo Dougherty '23 Kyle Gustafson '24

Conditions — 11/05/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From WSW (237°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine4.7 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1016.1 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lincoln OR: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lincoln OR by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Lincoln OR: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →