Ryan Downey

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded2.0780 of 33732Fall 2024

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.88 (fleet 3.01) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.02 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 36–24 (60%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2023326–13—
Spring 202217–5—
Spring 202113–6—
1.11.21.31.41.51.61.71.8Spring 2022Spring 2023Silver Division Team Racing Championship (2022-04-30): rating 1.22, fleet rating alone 1.22, offset +0.00; record 7-5 in this boatNWISA Gold Fleet Team Race (2023-04-22): rating 1.60, fleet rating alone 1.59, offset +0.01; record 3-3 in this boatNWISA Team Race Championships (2023-04-29): rating 1.60, fleet rating alone 1.61, offset -0.01; record 12-4 in this boatNational Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) (2023-05-20): rating 1.69, fleet rating alone 1.68, offset +0.01; record 11-6 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 5 graded regattas (60 matches) the record is 36–24 against 31.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2023-05-20National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy)skipper1.913.0911–67.9+1.192.08%
2023-04-29NWISA Team Race Championshipsskipper1.832.6512–410.2+0.820.823%
2023-04-22NWISA Gold Fleet Team Raceskipper1.810.693–33.8−1.120.593%
2022-04-30Silver Division Team Racing Championshipskipper1.281.347–56.9+0.060.059%
2021-04-10Bainbridge Team Race - April 2021skipper0.850.823–63.0−0.030.064%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Seafarer's Cup (RR#2) Skipper B 7 2.7 2.82
NWISA Team Race Championships Skipper TR 16 75% —
NWISA Gold Fleet Team Race Skipper TR 9 56% —
NWISA Fleet Race District Championships Skipper B 10 5.8 1.50
National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) Skipper TR 17 65% —
ISSA Mallory National Championship Skipper A 12 14.7 -0.05
Fall 2022 Team page Season
NWISA Keelboat Championships Keelboat Crew A 8 2.0 —
Fall Champs Gold Skipper B 2 3.0 2.60
Cascadia Cup Gold High School Skipper A 2 7.0 1.41
ILCA 6 Burke Thomas Trophy Singlehanded Skipper A 11 16.1 0.38
2023 Rose Bowl Regatta - HS Gold Skipper B 6 17.8 -0.11
2022 Atlantic Coast Championship Skipper B 7 13.3 -0.43
Spring 2022 Team page Season
South Regional, NWISA Skipper B 8 3.9 1.73
Silver Division Team Racing Championship Skipper TR 12 58% —
Seafarers Cup-SILVER Skipper B 12 4.0 2.09
Port Townsend Open Skipper A 5 3.0 2.54
NWISA Silver Fleet Champs Skipper B 5 3.8 2.24
NWISA Combined Division Gold Skipper B 2 17.0 —
Islands Cup-Silver Skipper B 9 2.8 2.19
Bellingham Fleet Race Skipper A 8 4.8 0.92
Fall 2021 Team page Season
WSC South Regionals Skipper B 4 8.0 0.54
NWISA Singlehanded Qualifiers - Radial Singlehanded Skipper A 8 23.2 -2.96
Cascadia Cup (Silver) Skipper A, B 6 8.5 -1.20
Spring 2021 Team page Season
Bainbridge Team Race - April 2021 Skipper TR 11 9% —

Linked Profiles

League Name School Year
ISSA Ryan Downey Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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