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South Regional, NWISA

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 20 18 38
2 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 12 51 63
3 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 42 36 78
4 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 66 31 97
5 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 67 32 99
6 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 71 37 108
7 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 56 57 113
8 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 41 83 124
9 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 70 56 126
10 Cougars Cougars Cougars 46 88 134
11 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 87 59 146
12 Decatur High School Decatur High School Decatur 73 82 155
13 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 77 98 175
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 3 12 Barrett Lhamon '22 [1-8]
Ava Bergan '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Joseph Tappen '25 [3-4]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 2 3 3 1 2 3 4 2 20 Ella Hubbard '22
Hannah Fritz '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 9 5 1 4 3 4 2 13 41 Alan Timms '26
Maddox Gorum '25
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 3 2 4 8 11 6 7 1 42 Finn Deprez '25
Caroline Overton '26
Cougars Cougars Cougars 10 6 7 6 6 2 5 4 46
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 4 4 6 5 9 11 9 8 56 Ben Stone '23 [1-4]
Lauren Heinzelman '22 [5-8]
Lauren Heinzelman '22 [1-2]
Nolan Wiggins '23 [3-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 11 11 8 7 7 7 6 9 66 Nolan Loverich '22 [1-8]
Stone Dewey '26 [1-6]
Maura Bascom '24 [7-8]
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 8 10 10 12 4 8 8 7 67 Camryn Lee '24
Brent Hu '25
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 6 8 5 3 12 13 13 10 70 Miles Kirkbride '22
Alyssa Leong '26
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 7 13 11 9 10 5 11 5 71 Beto Torres '24 [1-8]
Alden Lemon '25 [1-6]
Joseph Tappen '25 [7-8]
Decatur High School Decatur High School Decatur 5 9 9 10 5 12 12 11 73 Bailey Rainbolt '26
Nate Cutting '25
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 13 7 12 13 8 9 3 12 77 Peter Kelleher '22
Liam Taylor '25
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 12 12 13 11 13 10 10 6 87 Aspen Merrill '25
Hannah Welch '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 4 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 18 Emy Kissick '25
Fiona Tang '25
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 3 3 3 2 5 6 5 4 31 Ryan Downey '25
Sharkey Mckay '24
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 5 6 5 3 4 3 3 3 32 Jaden Unruh '22
Reed Kregenow '22
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 8 1 5 2 7 6 5 36 Nico Konyk '25
Chloe Hedge-Pollock '25
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 6 2 7 8 3 2 7 2 37 Evan Yeung '22 [1-8]
Sabrina Anderson '24 [1-6]
Christopher Cuellar-Carpenter '25 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 1 1 11 4 9 8 9 8 51 Gianna Dewey '23 [1-4]
Carter Anderson '23 [5-8]
Jaya Wirth '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Carter Anderson '23 [3-4]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 8 7 2 6 10 5 8 10 56 No Show
Vadim Hettena '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 7 4 10 9 8 10 2 7 57 Elliott Chalcraft '23
Jeffrey Kriegh '23
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 10 9 6 7 7 4 10 6 59 William Emick '26
Russell Sutcliffe '26
Decatur High School Decatur High School Decatur 12 10 12 11 13 9 4 11 82 Charlie Christ '26
Luke Zeigler '26
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 9 12 8 12 6 11 12 13 83 Levi Morse '24
No Show
Cougars Cougars Cougars 13 11 9 10 11 12 13 9 88
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 11 13 13 13 12 13 11 12 98 Liam Power '25
Liam '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 1313133331122
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 232323434828233
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 3333311228383
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 434348282338484
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions112283838585
CougarsCougars Cougars82823384848686
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers22838385858787
Decatur High SchoolDecatur High School Decatur33848486863131
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides8383858587873232
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 18484868631313333
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 28585878732323434
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 386863131333311
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 48787323234348282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 132323434828233
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 2333311228383
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 334348282338484
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 4112283838585
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions82823384848686
CougarsCougars Cougars22838385858787
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers33848486863131
Decatur High SchoolDecatur High School Decatur8383858587873232
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides8484868631313333
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 18585878732323434
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 286863131333311
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 38787323234348282
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 4313133331122

Conditions — 03/05/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1025.7 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From NNE (25°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine7.4 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1025.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Olympia: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Olympia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Olympia, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →