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Seafarer's Cup (RR#2)

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 29 19 48
2 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 41 18 59
3 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 46 25 71
4 Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 39 42 81
5 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 37 63 100
6 Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 26 77 103
7 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 53 84 137
8 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 47 93 140
9 West Sound Academy West Sound Academy Hawks 66 80 146
10 Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 99 50 149
11 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 64 90 154
12 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 97 62 159
13 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 87 86 173
14 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 109 65 174
15 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 98 77 175
16 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 91 86 177
17 Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 104 84 188
18 The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 85 108 193
19 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 112 121 233
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 3 4 3 2 4 4 6 26 Lhotse Rowell '24
Ava Butterfield '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 11 2 1 9 3 1 2 29 Ben Stone '23
Elliott Chalcraft '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 6 13 1 10 2 3 37 Sammy Farkas '23
Bella Norwood '26
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 8 1 12 5 7 5 1 39 Leif Hauge '24
Taylor Hanson '24
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 15 3 10 4 2 3 4 41 Sophia Hubbard '24
Alyssa Leong '26
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 4 13 8 3 1 9 8 46 Oliver Nairn '23
Kirin Dhaka '23
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 9 5 7 7 8 6 5 47 Corinne Harrison '23
Hannah Welch '25
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 6 12 2 6 5 11 11 53 Camryn Lee '24
Nate Cutting '25
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 16 14 5 8 6 8 7 64 Max Hanson '25
Karl Linnau '26
West Sound Academy West Sound Academy Hawks 1 7 9 14 14 7 14 66 Zia Magill '24
Nadia Fisch '24
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 13 8 6 10 15 17 16 85 Francesca Dougherty '25
Mia Mcnabb '24
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 12 11 11 13 11 16 13 87 Anna Servatius '24
Allison Bailey '23
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 7 17 16 16 9 14 12 91 Finn Deprez '25
Kelsea Cowart '25
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 5 15 14 12 17 15 19 97 Will Peters '25
Bradyn Rueb '24
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 14 16 4 18 18 10 18 98 Max Day '26
Emma Moore '25
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 17 10 15 17 13 18 9 99 Noelani Li '26
Emil Damji '25
Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 19 9 17 11 19 19 10 104 Victor Taylor '23 [1-7]
Acadia Tweed-Kent '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlie Svardh '25 [3-4, 7]
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 10 18 18 19 16 13 15 109 Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23
Gabriel Scott Bixler '24
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 18 19 19 15 12 12 17 112 Dagny Kruger '25 [1-7]
Skye Bouchard '25 [1-4]
Else Ranker '26 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 4 1 1 1 4 6 18 Charlie Snyder '24
Yuri Berebitsky '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 2 2 2 4 2 4 19 Ryan Downey '25
Sabrina Anderson '24
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 7 1 4 4 5 3 1 25 Owen Thomas '23
Solomon Lucero '25
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 9 7 3 13 7 1 2 42 Cole Newbrook '25
Holden Uffelman '25
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 16 5 6 3 2 15 3 50 Nikhil Damji '25
Anna Cezik '26
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 8 9 11 12 11 6 5 62 Kayla Strandberg '23
Noah Ketner '25
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 3 9 9 14 13 11 63 Keagan Carrigan '24
Cole Stebbens '24
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 11 8 12 6 9 9 10 65 Alijah Manzanares '25
Ryan Solie '25
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 10 15 5 14 17 8 8 77 Ocean Smith '24 [1-7]
Hazel Windstorm '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Antonio Rioseco '23 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 18 16 14 5 3 12 9 77 Bryce Lutz '23
Avery O'Donnell '26
West Sound Academy West Sound Academy Hawks 6 6 13 16 18 14 7 80 Noah Holly '24
Lena Bowen '23
Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 2 18 10 17 13 5 19 84 Shelby Chandler '25
Jacob Misuda '23
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 13 13 15 7 6 18 12 84 Brent Hu '25
Beo Satterlee '25
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 5 10 16 11 16 11 17 86 Hannah Ellis '24 [1-7]
Julian Becker '26 [1-4]
Cadence Smith '25 [5-7]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 12 17 8 8 10 17 14 86 Bailey Rainbolt '26
Charlie Christ '26
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 14 12 7 19 15 10 13 90 Zev Fort '25
Iris Hochwalt '24
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 17 14 17 15 8 7 15 93 William Embick '26 [1-7]
Aspen Merrill '25 [1-4]
Genevieve Davis '26 [5-7]
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 15 11 18 18 12 16 18 108 Enzo Dougherty '23
Kyle Gustafson '24
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 19 19 19 10 19 19 16 121 Lola Walker '26
Hans Sprenger '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks2244668
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1919170170224
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions7799111113
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks17017022446
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars12121414181820
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers881010121214
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins3355779
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides991111131316
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams44668810
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Kraken6688101012
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions1414181820201
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats1133557
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears11111313161619
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings10101212141418
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks161619191701702
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders131316161919170
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners202011335
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon55779911
West Sound AcademyWest Sound Academy Hawks18182020113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks3355779
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans202011335
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions881010121214
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks1133557
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars131316161919170
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers991111131316
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins44668810
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides10101212141418
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams55779911
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Kraken7799111113
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions161619191701702
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats2244668
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears12121414181820
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings11111313161619
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks18182020113
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders1414181820201
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners17017022446
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon6688101012
West Sound AcademyWest Sound Academy Hawks1919170170224
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Will Peters '25 Bradyn Rueb '24
Seahawks Kayla Strandberg '23 Noah Ketner '25
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Ben Stone '23 Elliott Chalcraft '23
Spartans Ryan Downey '25 Sabrina Anderson '24
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Corinne Harrison '23 Hannah Welch '25
Lions William Embick '26 [1-7] Aspen Merrill '25 [1-4]
Genevieve Davis '26 [5-7]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Max Day '26 Emma Moore '25
Bayhawks Bryce Lutz '23 Avery O'Donnell '26
Capital High School Capital High School Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 Gabriel Scott Bixler '24
Cougars Alijah Manzanares '25 Ryan Solie '25
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Camryn Lee '24 Nate Cutting '25
Tarriers Brent Hu '25 Beo Satterlee '25
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Leif Hauge '24 Taylor Hanson '24
Bruins Cole Newbrook '25 Holden Uffelman '25
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Finn Deprez '25 Kelsea Cowart '25
Tides Bailey Rainbolt '26 Charlie Christ '26
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Max Hanson '25 Karl Linnau '26
Rams Zev Fort '25 Iris Hochwalt '24
Kingston High School Kingston High School Victor Taylor '23 [1-7] Acadia Tweed-Kent '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlie Svardh '25 [3-4, 7]
Kraken Shelby Chandler '25 Jacob Misuda '23
Lakeside School Lakeside School Noelani Li '26 Emil Damji '25
Lions Nikhil Damji '25 Anna Cezik '26
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Anna Servatius '24 Allison Bailey '23
Wildcats Hannah Ellis '24 [1-7] Julian Becker '26 [1-4]
Cadence Smith '25 [5-7]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Sophia Hubbard '24 Alyssa Leong '26
Bears Charlie Snyder '24 Yuri Berebitsky '24
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dagny Kruger '25 [1-7] Skye Bouchard '25 [1-4]
Else Ranker '26 [5-7]
Vikings Lola Walker '26 Hans Sprenger '26
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Lhotse Rowell '24 Ava Butterfield '24
Redhawks Ocean Smith '24 [1-7] Hazel Windstorm '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Antonio Rioseco '23 [3-4]
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Oliver Nairn '23 Kirin Dhaka '23
Rough Riders Owen Thomas '23 Solomon Lucero '25
Sehome High School Sehome High School Sammy Farkas '23 Bella Norwood '26
Mariners Keagan Carrigan '24 Cole Stebbens '24
The Downtown School The Downtown School Francesca Dougherty '25 Mia Mcnabb '24
Sockeye Salmon Enzo Dougherty '23 Kyle Gustafson '24
West Sound Academy West Sound Academy Zia Magill '24 Nadia Fisch '24
Hawks Noah Holly '24 Lena Bowen '23

Conditions — 03/18/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From NE (37°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1016.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Anacortes Waterfront Alliance: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Anacortes Waterfront Alliance by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Anacortes Waterfront Alliance: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →