NJISA 2022 Fall Series 6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 11 13 24
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 14 16 30
3 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 14 17 31
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 15 16 31
5 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 24 28 52
6 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 33 20 53
7 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 32 25 57
8 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 40 26 66
9 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 30 37 67
10 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 41 30 71
11 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 18 59 77
12 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 44 43 87
13 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 42 49 91
14 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 60 47 107
15 Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 56 54 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 4 5 1 1 11 Christopher Small '26
Kyle Lombardino '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 2 2 9 14 Bryce Vitiello '23
Luke Pennisi '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 2 4 3 5 14 James Kopack '24
Liam Marcell '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 3 BKD 4 4 15 Noah Kuzloski '23
Nicholas Cunha '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 8 1 7 2 18 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Nora Ciak '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 5 3 6 10 24 Turner Ryon '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 11 7 5 7 30 Belle Placa '25
No Show
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 6 6 9 11 32 Ella Demand '24
Mollie Smith '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 12 8 10 3 33 Jack Pentony '26
Matthew Dupree '25
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 10 10 12 8 40 Iliana Vasslides '23
Scott Tedeschi '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 9 12 8 12 41 Matt Leopold '23 [1-4]
Will Corbett '25 [1-2]
Ryan Amicone '25 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 7 9 13 13 42 Thomas Roeber '23 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-4]
Aidan Kenney '26 [1-2]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 DNS 11 11 6 44 Jack Whitman '23
Dylan Pagonis '26
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 13 13 15 15 56 Leila Cavanaugh '23 [1-2]
Noah Bell '26 [3-4]
Jacob Cavanaugh '26 [1-2]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs DNS DNS 14 14 60 No Show [1-2]
Caroline Duffy '25 [3-4]
No Show [1-2]
Evelyn Magee '26 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 5 1 6 1 13 Jules Buczkowski '26
Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 5 2 7 16 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 4 6 3 3 16 Andrew Chiles '23
Daniel Stephan '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 2 5 2 17 Grace Ciak '26 [1-4]
Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-2]
Kaitlyn Di Dia '24 [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 7 8 1 4 20 Grace Bray '23
Lewis Forrest '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 3 11 10 25 Rex Salzer '26 [1-4]
Jack Krajewski '26 [1-2]
Chase Kalwinsky '26 [3-4]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 3 4 8 11 26 Jackson Bubnowski '26
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 9 10 4 5 28 Erin Little '24
Noah Tallman '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 10 7 7 6 30 James Mccarthy '26 [1-4]
Jack Schlenker '26 [1-2]
Will Corbett '25 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 6 9 9 13 37 Kaylan Hoffacker '26
No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 12 13 10 8 43 Anthony Abboud '25 [1-4]
Quinian Miller '26 [1-2]
Joshua Portnoy '26 [3-4]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 15 11 12 9 47 Allison Beisel '24
Mackenzie Boles '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 11 12 14 12 49 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
Greyson Colman '25 [3-4]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2]
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 13 14 13 14 54 Luca Canzoneri '25 [1-4]
Daniel Maresca '26 [1-2]
Kaelyn Graf '24 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 14 15 15 15 59 Richard Mcgowan '25
Dan Drennan '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles20202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 119191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 218181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 317171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 416161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 115151515
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 214141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 113131313
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 212121212
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 18888
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 27777
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners6666
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians5555
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs4444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles20202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 119191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 218181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 317171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 416161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 115151515
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 214141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 113131313
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 212121212
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 18888
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 27777
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners6666
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians5555
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs4444
School / Team SkipperCrew
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Leila Cavanaugh '23 [1-2]
Noah Bell '26 [3-4]
Jacob Cavanaugh '26 [1-2]
Eagles Luca Canzoneri '25 [1-4] Daniel Maresca '26 [1-2]
Kaelyn Graf '24 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Bryce Vitiello '23 Luke Pennisi '24
Colts 1 Mitchell Hnatt '24 Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Noah Kuzloski '23 Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts 2 Andrew Chiles '23 Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Kyle Lombardino '25
Colts 3 Jules Buczkowski '26 Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Thomas Roeber '23 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-4]
Aidan Kenney '26 [1-2]
Colts 4 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
Greyson Colman '25 [3-4]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Liam Marcell '26
Griffins 1 Grace Ciak '26 [1-4] Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-2]
Kaitlyn Di Dia '24 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Kevin Brooksbank '23 Nora Ciak '23
Griffins 2 Richard Mcgowan '25 Dan Drennan '24
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Whitman '23 Dylan Pagonis '26
Panthers 1 Anthony Abboud '25 [1-4] Quinian Miller '26 [1-2]
Joshua Portnoy '26 [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Pentony '26 Matthew Dupree '25
Panthers 2 Grace Bray '23 Lewis Forrest '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School Matt Leopold '23 [1-4] Will Corbett '25 [1-2]
Ryan Amicone '25 [3-4]
Red Devils James Mccarthy '26 [1-4] Jack Schlenker '26 [1-2]
Will Corbett '25 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Rams 1 Erin Little '24 Noah Tallman '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Belle Placa '25 No Show
Rams 2 Kaylan Hoffacker '26 No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Iliana Vasslides '23 Scott Tedeschi '25
Mariners Jackson Bubnowski '26 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Mollie Smith '25
Indians Rex Salzer '26 [1-4] Jack Krajewski '26 [1-2]
Chase Kalwinsky '26 [3-4]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall No Show [1-2]
Caroline Duffy '25 [3-4]
No Show [1-2]
Evelyn Magee '26 [3-4]
Monarchs Allison Beisel '24 Mackenzie Boles '27

Conditions — 10/19/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From WSW (240°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1010.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christian Brothers: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.27 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christian Brothers by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Christian Brothers, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →