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2023 Fall MN Conference #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Great River School Great River School Varsity 18 18 36
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 29 11 40
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 25 20 45
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 34 17 51
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 25 27 52
6 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 39 36 75
7 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 30 47 77
8 Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 28 51 79
9 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 39 43 82
10 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 47 44 91
11 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 55 46 101
12 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 44 59 103
13 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 50 60 110
14 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 66 46 112
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Great River School Great River School Varsity 2 4 7 2 3 18 Adi Narayan '27 [1-5]
Leif Rush '27 [1-4]
Talia Cairns '25 [5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 1 2 9 6 7 25 Evy Engebretson '24
Parker Laing '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 3 3 2 DSQ 2 25 Martha Hughes '21
Lucy Zinn '24
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 8 5 3 8 4 28 Nick Ross '25 [1-5]
Timothy Chouinard '26 [1-4]
Soren Miller-Sardelis '24 [5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 4 8 10 1 6 29 Owen Ostbye '28
Anastasia Gilbert '26
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 5 1 4 DNF 5 30 Jack Colosi '25
Clara Otto '28
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 11 10 1 3 9 34 Katherine Ahlquist '24
Bridget Shaskin '29
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 6 6 DNF 11 1 39 Lorenzo Good '25
Finnigan Cairns '25
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 7 9 8 5 10 39 Natalya Triplett '26
Elin Reigstad '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 9 7 5 10 13 44 Maggie Mcgary '28 [1-3]
Hazel Eiden '25 [4-5]
Hazel Eiden '25 [1-3]
Maggie Mcgary '28 [4-5]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 13 11 11 4 8 47 Akaycia Belisle '25
Joshua Drivdahl '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 12 14 6 7 11 50 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25
Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 10 12 12 9 12 55 Gwyn Noller '25
Gwen Nechas '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 14 13 13 12 14 66 Joseph Snyder '24
Kassidy Gonzalez-Mcglauchlen '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 3 5 1 1 1 11 Jack Siefker '26
Eden Linnebach '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 1 2 5 2 7 17 Jack Brellenthin '26
Gloria Jorczak '24
Great River School Great River School Varsity 2 4 3 3 6 18 Adi Narayan '27 [1-5]
Leif Rush '27 [1-4]
Talia Cairns '25 [5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 5 3 2 6 4 20 Maxwell Kelley '26
Bridger Goll '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 9 7 4 5 2 27 Amelia Sulciner '24
Katharine Woodburn '27
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 6 9 7 4 10 36 Ben Padden '24 [1-5]
Emme Arbuckle '26 [1-4]
Jamie Mcguffee '25 [5]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 13 6 11 8 5 43 Alexander Bixby '25
Sofie Muschenheim '25
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 7 14 10 10 3 44 Stella Demars '25
Mason Scheinder '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 8 1 14 12 11 46 Ernest Hegstrom '28 [1-2]
Liam Strobel '29 [3-5]
Carter Radintz '27 [1-2]
Owen Neus '29 [3-5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 12 11 6 9 8 46 David Acheson '24
Linnea Martin '27
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Mixed 10 10 8 7 12 47 Matthew Fish '24
Marek Roe '27
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 4 8 13 13 13 51 Ella Fritz '27
Jude Gwanemark '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 14 13 9 14 9 59 Ivan Swanke '28
Preston Snyder '28
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 11 12 12 11 14 60 Nicholas Grimm '28 [1-2]
Mara Lysaght '24 [3-5]
Jack Reynolds '29 [1-2]
Lauren Reichert '24 [3-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Great River SchoolGreat River School Varsity11114141292
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs27272912916143
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 166986698719471947226
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 271937193721672167228
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 141412922926698
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2291291614361437193
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3292292669866987194
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 461436143719371937216
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed71947194722672267246
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed72167216722872287247
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans722672267246724611
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 1722872287247724727
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 272467246111141
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed724772472727291

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Great River SchoolGreat River School Varsity2727291291291
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs4141292292292
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 17193719372167216216
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 27194719472267226226
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 129129161436143614
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 229229266986698698
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 36143614371937193193
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 46698669871947194194
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed7216721672287228228
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed7226722672467246246
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans7228722872477247247
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 172467246111111
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 272477247272727
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Mixed1111414141
School / Team SkipperCrew
Great River School Great River School Adi Narayan '27 [1-5] Leif Rush '27 [1-4]
Talia Cairns '25 [5]
Varsity Adi Narayan '27 [1-5] Leif Rush '27 [1-4]
Talia Cairns '25 [5]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Akaycia Belisle '25 Joshua Drivdahl '25
Zephyrs Stella Demars '25 Mason Scheinder '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Owen Ostbye '28 Anastasia Gilbert '26
Mixed 1 Jack Siefker '26 Eden Linnebach '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Maggie Mcgary '28 [1-3]
Hazel Eiden '25 [4-5]		 Hazel Eiden '25 [1-3]
Maggie Mcgary '28 [4-5]
Mixed 2 Ivan Swanke '28 Preston Snyder '28
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Evy Engebretson '24 Parker Laing '24
Skippers 1 Amelia Sulciner '24 Katharine Woodburn '27
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Martha Hughes '21 Lucy Zinn '24
Skippers 2 Maxwell Kelley '26 Bridger Goll '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Katherine Ahlquist '24 Bridget Shaskin '29
Skippers 3 Jack Brellenthin '26 Gloria Jorczak '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Gwyn Noller '25 Gwen Nechas '24
Skippers 4 David Acheson '24 Linnea Martin '27
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Natalya Triplett '26 Elin Reigstad '25
Mixed Alexander Bixby '25 Sofie Muschenheim '25
Southwest High School Southwest High School Nick Ross '25 [1-5] Timothy Chouinard '26 [1-4]
Soren Miller-Sardelis '24 [5]
Mixed Ella Fritz '27 Jude Gwanemark '27
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Lorenzo Good '25 Finnigan Cairns '25
Spartans Ben Padden '24 [1-5] Emme Arbuckle '26 [1-4]
Jamie Mcguffee '25 [5]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Navy 1 Nicholas Grimm '28 [1-2]
Mara Lysaght '24 [3-5]		 Jack Reynolds '29 [1-2]
Lauren Reichert '24 [3-5]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Joseph Snyder '24 Kassidy Gonzalez-Mcglauchlen '27
Navy 2 Ernest Hegstrom '28 [1-2]
Liam Strobel '29 [3-5]		 Carter Radintz '27 [1-2]
Owen Neus '29 [3-5]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Jack Colosi '25 Clara Otto '28
Mixed Matthew Fish '24 Marek Roe '27

Conditions — 09/16/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From N (351°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1017.1 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →