NJISA 2024 BBYRA Fall Invitational

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date09/28/2024
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Southern Regional High School	Rams	7	10	17
2	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	19	14	33
3	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 1	26	19	45
4	Toms River South	Indians	29	29	58
5	Ranney School	Panthers 1	50	33	83
6	Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	37	52	89
7	Delbarton School	Green Wave	39	78	117
8	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	76	47	123
9	Ranney School	Panthers 2	71	62	133
10	Conestoga High School	Pioneers	65	69	134
11	The Pingry School	Big Blue	79	56	135
12	Ridge High School	Red Devils	56	81	137
13	Chatham High School	Cougars 2	84	57	141
14	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 2	78	66	144
15	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	59	90	149
16	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 3	73	82	155
17	Chatham High School	Cougars 1	77	82	159
18	Trinity Hall	Monarchs	102	99	201

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Southern Regional High School	Rams	2	1	1	1	1	1	7	Turner Ryon '25 [1-6] Noah Tallman '25 [1-2] Belle Placa '25 [3-6]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	1	3	4	3	2	6	19	Cole Buczkowski '27 Alton Deoliveria '26
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 1	12	2	2	4	4	2	26	Liam Marcell '26 Scarlett Colman '26
Toms River South	Indians	6	6	3	7	3	4	29	Maryn Demand '27 Jacob Palombo '27
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	3	4	12	6	5	7	37	Ryan D'Orsi '26 [1-6] Dean Romain '26 [1-2] Lazar Maslarkov '27 [3-6]
Delbarton School	Green Wave	4	DNF	5	2	6	3	39	Will Seery '28 Aidan Streem '28
Ranney School	Panthers 1	5	16	7	8	9	5	50	Lewis Forrest '25 Sophia Behar '25
Ridge High School	Red Devils	13	5	8	15	7	8	56	Jack Schlenker '26 [1-6] James Mccarthy '26 [1-4] Leo Van Der Valk '26 [5-6]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	8	7	6	10	12	16	59	Grace Penque '25 Will Miller '27
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	11	10	11	14	10	9	65	Bailey Kreszswick '25 Ava Mcaveney '25
Ranney School	Panthers 2	7	8	10	16	17	13	71	Nicole Small '27 Amelia Scuorzo '28
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 3	15	9	13	13	8	15	73	Seth Santos '27 Daniel Kuzloski '25
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	16	15	15	5	14	11	76	Greyson Colman '25 Joseph Boracchia '28
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	9	11	9	12	18	18	77	Grant Press '25 [1-6] Cameron Francini '25 [1-2, 5-6] Samantha Wagner '28 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 2	10	14	18	9	13	14	78	Julianna Brooksbank '28 Richard Mcgowan '25
The Pingry School	Big Blue	14	13	14	11	15	12	79	Avery Hoffman '26 Jack Shea '27
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	17	12	17	17	11	10	84	Noah Lin '27 Christian Bruno '28
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	18	17	16	18	16	17	102	Caroline Duffy '25 [1-6] Margaret Burns '27 [1-2] Samantha Goldberg '26 [3-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Southern Regional High School	Rams	1	1	2	2	3	1	10	Jude Ryon '27 [1-6] Gannon Botwinick '27 [1-2] Noah Tallman '25 [3-4] Belle Placa '25 [5-6]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	4	3	3	1	1	2	14	Patrick Kennedy '28 [1-6] Donald Johnston '25 [1-2] Matthew Dupree '25 [3-6]
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 1	3	2	4	3	2	5	19	Cameron Hart '27 Anna Hnatt '28
Toms River South	Indians	2	5	5	5	6	6	29	Rex Salzer '26 Taylor Sipe '27
Ranney School	Panthers 1	7	4	1	7	11	3	33	Jack Pentony '26 Keira Mooar '27
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	6	16	12	4	5	4	47	Kyle Lombardino '25 Christopher Reed '28
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	5	10	7	16	7	7	52	Colby Christian '27 Dean Romain '26
The Pingry School	Big Blue	9	9	14	6	10	8	56	Blythe Hoffman '28 Keira Decroix '26
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	8	6	10	15	9	9	57	Cara Lynch '27 [1-6] Maddie Field '27 [1-4] Bridget Sweeney '27 [5-6]
Ranney School	Panthers 2	10	11	8	14	4	15	62	Dylan Pagonis '26 Ryan Messina '28
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 2	14	17	6	8	8	13	66	Jimmy Mccann '28 [1-6] Annabelle Arcuri '27 [1-4] Grace Torpey '26 [5-6]
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	17	7	9	13	13	10	69	Grace Hummel '26 Henry Dehart '26
Delbarton School	Green Wave	13	8	17	10	14	16	78	Jack Tonzola '25 [1-6] John Mermel '27 [1-2, 5-6] Henry Clyan '27 [3-4]
Ridge High School	Red Devils	16	14	16	12	12	11	81	Mae Schlenker '28 [1-6] Noah Kristiansen '26 [1-2, 5-6] Leo Van Der Valk '26 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 3	11	15	15	9	18	14	82	Jack Slavin '28 [1-4] John Mcnamara '27 [5-6] Aidan Kenney '26 [1-4] Carter Henkel '28 [5-6]
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	15	12	11	17	15	12	82	Ethan Wagner '26 Divyanshi Rath '25
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	18	13	13	11	17	18	90	Elena Carranza '26 [1-2] Dylan Raymundo-Neal, Dylan '27 [3-6] Dylan Raymundo-Neal, Dylan '27 [1-2] Elena Carranza '26 [3-6]
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	12	18	18	18	16	17	99	Sophia Galiano '26 [1-2, 5-6] Margaret Burns '27 [3-4] Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2, 5-6] Vanessa Mccartin '26 [3-4]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Chatham High School Cougars 1	20	20	20	20	20	20
Chatham High School Cougars 2	19	19	19	19	19	19
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3	4	4	4	4	4	4
Conestoga High School Pioneers	5	5	5	5	5	5
Delbarton School Green Wave	18	18	18	18	18	18
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1	17	17	17	17	17	17
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2	16	16	16	16	16	16
Ranney School Panthers 1	6	6	6	6	6	6
Ranney School Panthers 2	10	10	10	10	10	10
Ridge High School Red Devils	7	7	7	7	7	7
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	15	15	15	15	15	15
Southern Regional High School Rams	14	14	14	14	14	14
Summit High School Hilltoppers	9	9	9	9	9	9
The Pingry School Big Blue	13	13	13	13	13	13
Toms River South Indians	12	12	12	12	12	12
Trinity Hall Monarchs	11	11	11	11	11	11

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Chatham High School Cougars 1	20	20	20	20	20	20
Chatham High School Cougars 2	19	19	19	19	19	19
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3	4	4	4	4	4	4
Conestoga High School Pioneers	5	5	5	5	5	5
Delbarton School Green Wave	18	18	18	18	18	18
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1	17	17	17	17	17	17
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2	16	16	16	16	16	16
Ranney School Panthers 1	6	6	6	6	6	6
Ranney School Panthers 2	10	10	10	10	10	10
Ridge High School Red Devils	7	7	7	7	7	7
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	15	15	15	15	15	15
Southern Regional High School Rams	14	14	14	14	14	14
Summit High School Hilltoppers	9	9	9	9	9	9
The Pingry School Big Blue	13	13	13	13	13	13
Toms River South Indians	12	12	12	12	12	12
Trinity Hall Monarchs	11	11	11	11	11	11

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Chatham High School	Grant Press '25 [1-6]	Cameron Francini '25 [1-2, 5-6] Samantha Wagner '28 [3-4]
Cougars 1	Ethan Wagner '26	Divyanshi Rath '25
Chatham High School	Noah Lin '27	Christian Bruno '28
Cougars 2	Cara Lynch '27 [1-6]	Maddie Field '27 [1-4] Bridget Sweeney '27 [5-6]
Christian Brothers Academy	Cole Buczkowski '27	Alton Deoliveria '26
Colts 1	Patrick Kennedy '28 [1-6]	Donald Johnston '25 [1-2] Matthew Dupree '25 [3-6]
Christian Brothers Academy	Greyson Colman '25	Joseph Boracchia '28
Colts 2	Kyle Lombardino '25	Christopher Reed '28
Christian Brothers Academy	Seth Santos '27	Daniel Kuzloski '25
Colts 3	Jack Slavin '28 [1-4] John Mcnamara '27 [5-6]	Aidan Kenney '26 [1-4] Carter Henkel '28 [5-6]
Conestoga High School	Bailey Kreszswick '25	Ava Mcaveney '25
Pioneers	Grace Hummel '26	Henry Dehart '26
Delbarton School	Will Seery '28	Aidan Streem '28
Green Wave	Jack Tonzola '25 [1-6]	John Mermel '27 [1-2, 5-6] Henry Clyan '27 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School	Liam Marcell '26	Scarlett Colman '26
Griffins 1	Cameron Hart '27	Anna Hnatt '28
Donovan Catholic High School	Julianna Brooksbank '28	Richard Mcgowan '25
Griffins 2	Jimmy Mccann '28 [1-6]	Annabelle Arcuri '27 [1-4] Grace Torpey '26 [5-6]
Ranney School	Lewis Forrest '25	Sophia Behar '25
Panthers 1	Jack Pentony '26	Keira Mooar '27
Ranney School	Nicole Small '27	Amelia Scuorzo '28
Panthers 2	Dylan Pagonis '26	Ryan Messina '28
Ridge High School	Jack Schlenker '26 [1-6]	James Mccarthy '26 [1-4] Leo Van Der Valk '26 [5-6]
Red Devils	Mae Schlenker '28 [1-6]	Noah Kristiansen '26 [1-2, 5-6] Leo Van Der Valk '26 [3-4]
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Ryan D'Orsi '26 [1-6]	Dean Romain '26 [1-2] Lazar Maslarkov '27 [3-6]
Pirates	Colby Christian '27	Dean Romain '26
Southern Regional High School	Turner Ryon '25 [1-6]	Noah Tallman '25 [1-2] Belle Placa '25 [3-6]
Rams	Jude Ryon '27 [1-6]	Gannon Botwinick '27 [1-2] Noah Tallman '25 [3-4] Belle Placa '25 [5-6]
Summit High School	Grace Penque '25	Will Miller '27
Hilltoppers	Elena Carranza '26 [1-2] Dylan Raymundo-Neal, Dylan '27 [3-6]	Dylan Raymundo-Neal, Dylan '27 [1-2] Elena Carranza '26 [3-6]
The Pingry School	Avery Hoffman '26	Jack Shea '27
Big Blue	Blythe Hoffman '28	Keira Decroix '26
Toms River South	Maryn Demand '27	Jacob Palombo '27
Indians	Rex Salzer '26	Taylor Sipe '27
Trinity Hall	Caroline Duffy '25 [1-6]	Margaret Burns '27 [1-2] Samantha Goldberg '26 [3-6]
Monarchs	Sophia Galiano '26 [1-2, 5-6] Margaret Burns '27 [3-4]	Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2, 5-6] Vanessa Mccartin '26 [3-4]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2024 BBYRA Fall Invitational

Division A

Division B

From the notes