Patrick Kennedy

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded1.44133 of 33724Fall 2025

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.49 (fleet 2.37) 99 of 231 +0.02 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 30–9 (77%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2026216–6—
Fall 202528–0—
Spring 202536–3—
1.31.41.51.61.7Spring 2025Fall 2025Spring 2026Fall 2026NJISA South Team Race Meet 2 (2025-04-01): rating 1.45, fleet rating alone 1.45, offset +0.00; record 1-0 in this boatNJISA South Team Race Meet 3 (2025-04-09): rating 1.47, fleet rating alone 1.47, offset +0.00; record 2-2 in this boatNJISA Team Race Meet 1 (2025-10-06): rating 1.61, fleet rating alone 1.59, offset +0.02; record 4-0 in this boatMASSA Team Race Championship (2025-10-18): rating 1.62, fleet rating alone 1.60, offset +0.03; record 4-0 in this boatNJISA Team Race Meet (2026-04-09): rating 1.55, fleet rating alone 1.53, offset +0.02; record 2-4 in this boatNational Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) (2026-05-16): rating 1.49, fleet rating alone 1.46, offset +0.03; record 14-2 in this boatNJISA 2026 Team Race Exhibition (2026-09-20): rating 1.52, fleet rating alone 1.50, offset +0.02; record 5-2 in this boatMASSA 2026 Fall Team Race Championship (2026-10-17): rating 1.54, fleet rating alone 1.52, offset +0.03; record 2-2 in this boatMASSA 2026 Fall Team Race Championship (2026-10-17): rating 1.54, fleet rating alone 1.52, offset +0.03; record 3-1 in this boatMASSA 2026 Fall Team Race Championship (2026-10-17): rating 1.54, fleet rating alone 1.52, offset +0.03; record 9-1 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 6 graded regattas (38 matches) the record is 29–9 against 27.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-05-16National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy)skipper1.791.9014–213.9+0.110.063%
2026-04-09NJISA Team Race Meetskipper1.772.412–41.5+0.630.249%
2025-10-18MASSA Team Race Championshipskipper1.824.824–03.9≥+3.000.190%
2025-10-06NJISA Team Race Meet 1skipper1.774.774–03.9≥+3.000.192%
2025-04-09NJISA South Team Race Meet 3skipper1.663.332–21.4+1.670.644%
2025-03-27NJISA South Team Race Meet 1skipper1.591.913–12.8+0.320.067%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2026 Team page Season
NYISA-SE Larchmont Intersectional Regatta Skipper A 6 7.7 1.88
NJISA Team Race Meet Skipper TR 6 33% —
NJISA 2026 TR Spring Series 2 Skipper A 3 5.0 2.28
NJISA 2026 TR Spring Series 3 Skipper A 3 2.0 4.55
NJISA 2026 TR Spring Series 4 Skipper A 4 6.8 2.03
NJISA 2026 TR Spring Series 1 Skipper A 4 5.0 2.84
NJISA 2026 BBYRA Spring Invitational Skipper B 6 3.7 2.37
National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) Skipper TR 16 88% —
2026 ISSA Phebe Corckran King Memorial Trophy Skipper B 12 6.6 2.31
Fall 2025 Team page Season
NJISA Team Race Meet 1 Skipper TR 4 100% —
NJISA 2025 TR Fall Series 6 Skipper A 3 4.7 3.02
NJISA 2025 TR Fall Series 5 Skipper A 4 3.0 3.96
NJISA 2025 TR Fall Series 1 Skipper A 4 5.2 2.41
NJISA 2025 BBYRA Fall Invitational Skipper B 6 2.3 3.45
MASSA Team Race Championship Skipper TR 14 86% —
MASSA Cressy Qualifier ILCA 6 Boys Singlehanded Skipper A 12 10.2 1.33
MASSA 2025 Keelboat Championship Keelboat Crew A 5 3.2 —
NJISA 2025 Sailfest Trophy Regatta Skipper B 6 2.3 2.44
2025 ISSA Hogan Keelboat National Invitational Keelboat Crew A 9 5.0 —
Spring 2025 Team page Season
NJISA South Team Race Meet 3 Skipper TR 4 50% —
NJISA South Team Race Meet 2 Skipper TR 2 100% —
NJISA South Team Race Meet 1 Skipper TR 4 75% —
NJISA 2025 TR Spring Series 3 Skipper B 4 2.5 2.62
NJISA 2025 TR Spring Series 6 Skipper A 3 4.7 3.08
NJISA 2025 TR Spring Series 5 Skipper A 4 5.0 2.35
NJISA 2025 TR Spring Series 1 Skipper B 4 5.0 1.05
NJISA 2025 BBYRA Spring Invitational Skipper B 6 2.5 3.56
Fall 2024 Team page Season
NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 3 Skipper A 3 7.7 1.03
NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 6 Skipper A 3 4.3 2.12
NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 4 Skipper A 3 5.3 1.77
NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 1 Skipper B 4 6.5 0.69
NJISA 2024 Sailfest Trophy Regatta Skipper B 5 5.8 1.47
NJISA 2024 Monmouth Hawks Invitational Skipper B 6 5.3 0.76
NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 2 Skipper A 4 4.8 2.07
NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 5 Skipper A 3 7.0 1.54
NJISA 2024 Fall Fleet Championship Skipper B 11 3.8 2.02
NJISA 2024 BBYRA Fall Invitational Skipper B 6 2.3 3.33
MASSA Fall Fleet Championship Skipper B 14 9.5 1.18
MASSA Cressy Quailifier Boys ILCA 6 Singlehanded Skipper A 12 10.7 0.98
Atlantic Coast Championship Skipper B 11 13.2 0.86

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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