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NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 11 13 24
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 19 5 24
3 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 6 22 28
4 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 15 14 29
5 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 10 19 29
6 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 10 23 33
7 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 33 5 38
8 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 16 27 43
9 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 27 19 46
10 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 29 27 56
11 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 26 31 57
12 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 34 37 71
13 Westfield High School Westfield High School Blue Devils 42 33 75
14 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 37 41 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 1 3 6 Cole Buczkowski '27 [1-3]
Seth Santos '27 [1-2]
Matthew Dupree '25 [3]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 8 1 10 Maryn Demand '27
Jacob Palombo '27
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 5 3 2 10 Jack Pentony '26
Amelia Scuorzo '28
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 3 4 4 11 Liam Marcell '26
Grace Torpey '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 4 5 6 15 Jude Ryon '27
Noah Tallman '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 6 2 8 16 Patrick Kennedy '28
Alton Deoliveria '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 8 6 5 19 Turner Ryon '25
Ella Linkewich '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 7 7 12 26 Kyle Lombardino '25
Chase Orlando '28
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 9 11 7 27 Lewis Forrest '25 [1-3]
Sophia Behar '25 [1-2]
Julien Wong '27 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 10 10 9 29 Caroline Duffy '25
Vanessa Mccartin '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 11 9 13 33 Jimmy Mccann '28
Richard Mcgowan '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 12 12 10 34 Christopher Quincannon '27
Christopher Reed '28
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 13 13 11 37 Sophia Galiano '26
Evelyn Magee '26
Westfield High School Westfield High School Blue Devils 14 14 14 42 Maggie Carolan '27 [1-2]
Mack Robertson '26 [3]
Sofia Kane '27 [1-2]
Danny Mcdevitt '25 [3]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2222
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1111111
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2101010
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians999
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1666
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2555
Westfield High SchoolWestfield High School Blue Devils444

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2222
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1111111
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2101010
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians999
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1666
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2555
Westfield High SchoolWestfield High School Blue Devils444
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Cole Buczkowski '27 [1-3] Seth Santos '27 [1-2]
Matthew Dupree '25 [3]
Colts 1 Seth Santos '27 Aidan Kenney '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Patrick Kennedy '28 Alton Deoliveria '26
Colts 2 Jack Slavin '28 Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Kyle Lombardino '25 Chase Orlando '28
Colts 3 John Mcnamara '27 Joseph Boracchia '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Quincannon '27 Christopher Reed '28
Colts 4 Daniel Kuzloski '25 Carter Henkel '28
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Liam Marcell '26 Grace Torpey '26
Griffins 1 Cameron Hart '27 Anna Hnatt '28
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Jimmy Mccann '28 Richard Mcgowan '25
Griffins 2 Julianna Brooksbank '28 Annabelle Arcuri '27
Ranney School Ranney School Lewis Forrest '25 [1-3] Sophia Behar '25 [1-2]
Julien Wong '27 [3]
Panthers 1 Nicole Small '27 Ryan Messina '28
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Pentony '26 Amelia Scuorzo '28
Panthers 2 Anthony Abboud '25 Keira Mooar '27
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Ella Linkewich '28
Rams 1 Gannon Botwinick '27 Kaylan Hoffacker '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jude Ryon '27 Noah Tallman '25
Rams 2 Belle Placa '25 Evan Colon '27
Toms River South Toms River South Maryn Demand '27 Jacob Palombo '27
Indians Taylor Sipe '27 Emily Bell '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Caroline Duffy '25 Vanessa Mccartin '26
Monarchs 1 Margaret Burns '27 Samantha Goldberg '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Sophia Galiano '26 Evelyn Magee '26
Monarchs 2 Zoey Budion '28 Elizabeth Leonard '28
Westfield High School Westfield High School Maggie Carolan '27 [1-2]
Mack Robertson '26 [3]		 Sofia Kane '27 [1-2]
Danny Mcdevitt '25 [3]
Blue Devils Seamus Carolan '25 Louis Ciullo '26

Conditions — 10/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1012.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From NW (325°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover40% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1012.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ranney: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ranney by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Ranney, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →