NJISA 2025 TR Fall Series 5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 19 7 26
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 16 13 29
3 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 27 10 37
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 12 26 38
5 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 12 34 46
6 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 32 15 47
7 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 29 28 57
8 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 39 20 59
9 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 15 46 61
10 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 19 47 66
11 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 45 36 81
12 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 50 36 86
13 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 49 47 96
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 1 3 1 7 12 Patrick Kennedy '28
Christopher Reed '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 5 1 4 2 12 Jules Buczkowski '26
Alex Pistolakis '29
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 2 2 5 6 15 Gannon Botwinick '27
Mia Linkewich '29
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 8 4 3 1 16 Christopher Small '26
Christian Diaz '28
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 3 7 6 3 19 Liam Marcell '26
Anna Hnatt '28
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 7 6 2 4 19 Jude Ryon '27
Sergio Santos '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 4 8 7 8 27 Cole Buczkowski '27
Joseph Boracchia '28
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 6 9 9 5 29 Rex Salzer '26
Taylor Sipe '27
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 10 5 8 9 32 Julien Wong '27
Keira Mooar '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 9 10 10 10 39 Cameron Hart '27
Scarlett Colman '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 11 11 11 12 45 Maggie Burns '27
Samantha Goldberg '26
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 12 12 12 13 49 Dylan Pagonis '26
Deegan Pepe '29
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 13 13 13 11 50 Sophia Galiano '26
Evelyn Magee '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 2 2 1 2 7 Henry Hull '29
Grace Torpey '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 3 4 2 1 10 Seth Santos '27
Chase Orlando '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 1 8 3 13 Christos Lambrou '29
Alton Deoliveria '26
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 4 3 4 4 15 Joshua Portnoy '26
Hannah Kitay '29
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 7 5 3 5 20 Julianna Brooksbank '28 [1-4]
Oliver Roske '27 [1-2]
Eileen Hodgins '29 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 6 6 7 7 26 Jack Slavin '28
Aidan Kenney '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 5 7 5 11 28 Emily Bell '27
Aly Bubnowski '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 8 8 9 9 34 Charlie Slavin '29
Carter Henkel '28
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 9 9 10 8 36 Lilianna Ferlise '29
Zoey Budion '28
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 10 10 6 10 36 Elizabeth Leonard '28
Vanessa Mccartin '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 13 DNS 13 6 46 Ella Linkewich '28
No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 11 12 11 13 47 Nicole Small '27
Amelia Scuorzo '28
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 12 11 12 12 47 Evan Colon '27
Ava Stabile '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 120202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 318181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 417171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 116161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 215151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 114141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 213131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 29999
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians8888
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 17777
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 26666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 120202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 219191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 318181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 417171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 116161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 215151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 114141414
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 213131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 29999
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians8888
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 17777
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 26666

Conditions — 10/08/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From NW (325°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine6.4 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1015.7 hPa Rain0.25 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christian Brothers: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.59 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christian Brothers by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Christian Brothers, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →