NJISA 2024 TR Fall Series 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 11 6 17
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 5 17 22
3 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 10 13 23
4 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 19 4 23
5 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 16 22 38
6 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 15 24 39
7 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 28 12 40
8 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 23 29 52
9 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 21 33 54
10 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 30 31 61
11 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 34 27 61
12 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 32 34 66
13 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 35 31 66
14 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 36 32 68
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 2 2 1 5 Jude Ryon '27
Ted Klopman '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 4 3 3 10 Liam Marcell '26
Grace Torpey '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 3 4 4 11 Maryn Demand '27
Taylor Sipe '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 6 1 8 15 Cole Buczkowski '27
Matthew Dupree '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 1 5 10 16 Lewis Forrest '25
Sophia Behar '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 7 10 2 19 Turner Ryon '25
Ella Linkewich '28
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 8 6 7 21 Caroline Duffy '25 [1-3]
Vanessa Mccartin '26 [1-2]
Margaret Burns '27 [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 5 13 5 23 Patrick Kennedy '28
Carter Henkel '28
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 11 8 9 28 Jack Pentony '26
Amelia Scuorzo '28
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 12 12 6 30 James Mccarthy '26
Jack Schlenker '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 9 9 14 32 Emily Bell '27
Lilly Keenan '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 14 7 13 34 Kyle Lombardino '25
Alton Deoliveria '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 10 14 11 35 Julianna Brooksbank '28
Scarlett Colman '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 13 11 12 36 Greyson Colman '25
Christopher Reed '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 1 1 4 Gannon Botwinick '27
Kaylan Hoffacker '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 1 3 2 6 Rex Salzer '26
Jacob Palombo '27
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 4 2 6 12 Anthony Abboud '25
Julien Wong '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 3 7 3 13 Cameron Hart '27
Anna Hnatt '28
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 8 4 5 17 Noah Tallman '25
Evan Colon '27
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 6 12 4 22 Nicole Small '27
Keira Mooar '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 5 8 11 24 Seth Santos '27
Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 13 5 9 27 Jack Slavin '28
Chase Orlando '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 7 10 12 29 John Mcnamara '27
Joseph Boracchia '28
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 9 9 13 31 Michael Steiger '27 [1-3]
Brendan Mccune '27 [1-2]
Mae Schlenker '28 [3]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 10 14 7 31 Jimmy Mccann '28
Richard Mcgowan '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 11 13 8 32 Daniel Kuzloski '25
Aidan Kenney '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 12 11 10 33 Sophia Galiano '26 [1-3]
Elizabeth Leonard '28 [1-2]
Evelyn Magee '26 [3]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 14 6 14 34 Lilly Keenan '27
Emily Bell '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1151515
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2141414
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3131313
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4121212
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1111111
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2101010
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1999
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2171717
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils777
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1666
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2555
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1444
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2161616
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs222

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1151515
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2141414
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3131313
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4121212
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1111111
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2101010
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1999
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2171717
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils777
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1666
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2555
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1444
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2161616
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs222
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Cole Buczkowski '27 Matthew Dupree '25
Colts 1 Seth Santos '27 Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Kyle Lombardino '25 Alton Deoliveria '26
Colts 2 Jack Slavin '28 Chase Orlando '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Patrick Kennedy '28 Carter Henkel '28
Colts 3 John Mcnamara '27 Joseph Boracchia '28
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Greyson Colman '25 Christopher Reed '28
Colts 4 Daniel Kuzloski '25 Aidan Kenney '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Liam Marcell '26 Grace Torpey '26
Griffins 1 Cameron Hart '27 Anna Hnatt '28
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Julianna Brooksbank '28 Scarlett Colman '26
Griffins 2 Jimmy Mccann '28 Richard Mcgowan '25
Ranney School Ranney School Lewis Forrest '25 Sophia Behar '25
Panthers 1 Nicole Small '27 Keira Mooar '27
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Pentony '26 Amelia Scuorzo '28
Panthers 2 Anthony Abboud '25 Julien Wong '27
Ridge High School Ridge High School James Mccarthy '26 Jack Schlenker '26
Red Devils Michael Steiger '27 [1-3] Brendan Mccune '27 [1-2]
Mae Schlenker '28 [3]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Ella Linkewich '28
Rams 1 Gannon Botwinick '27 Kaylan Hoffacker '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jude Ryon '27 Ted Klopman '25
Rams 2 Noah Tallman '25 Evan Colon '27
Toms River South Toms River South Maryn Demand '27 Taylor Sipe '27
Indians 1 Rex Salzer '26 Jacob Palombo '27
Toms River South Toms River South Emily Bell '27 Lilly Keenan '27
Indians 2 Lilly Keenan '27 Emily Bell '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Caroline Duffy '25 [1-3] Vanessa Mccartin '26 [1-2]
Margaret Burns '27 [3]
Monarchs Sophia Galiano '26 [1-3] Elizabeth Leonard '28 [1-2]
Evelyn Magee '26 [3]

Conditions — 10/02/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From NE (51°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover34% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1015.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Regional: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.43 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Regional by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Southern Regional, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →