Stag's Leap

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 47
2 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2 68
3 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 93
4 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 94
5 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1 101
6 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 1 134
7 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 149
8 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 2 159
9 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 187
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 B 6 5 4 2 2 2 21 No Name '15
No Name '15
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2 B 2 2 3 3 7 6 23 Noelle Caola '28
Claire Kusel '28
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2 A 1 3 2 1 10 9 26 No One '24
None '24
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 1 A 7 1 8 6 4 12 38 Hunter Weiss '26
Evelyn Lacasse '27
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 A 3 6 10 12 1 7 39 Unregcrew '24
No Name '15
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2 A 4 12 9 10 6 4 45 Wilson Langston '25
Savannah Talbert '25
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1 A 8 4 7 5 13 8 45 William Kelley '25
Ian Doherty '25
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity B 12 10 1 4 5 14 46 Aggie Lamontagne '25 [1-6]
Phoebe Kibler '26 [1-2]
Lannie Lamontagne '25 [3-6]
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity A 5 13 6 11 11 1 47 Josh Herlihy '25 [1-6]
Edwin Maurais '27 [1-2]
Francesca Weyrens '28 [3-4]
Lucy Pitcock '27 [5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME 1 B 11 8 13 9 9 5 55 Unregskip '23
Unregskip '23
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1 B 13 11 5 8 8 11 56 Molly Gerding '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Victoria Wahlig '26 [3-4]
Victoria Wahlig '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Molly Gerding '26 [3-4]
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs A 14 14 16 13 3 3 63 Kristen Mailloux '26
Tray Miller '26
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 2 A 15 9 12 7 15 10 68 Owen Mcallister '26 [1-3]
Jack Chmielewski '25 [4-6]
Anca Jacobs '28 [1-2]
Amelia Wnek '28 [3-6]
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers A 10 7 15 14 12 15 73 Story Straw '25
Shiloh Doody '27
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs B 16 16 11 16 14 13 86 Duncan Amoroso '26
Lucille Drew '26
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 2 B 9 15 17 17 16 17 91 John Rydzewski '25 [1-2]
Skylar Haugen '28 [3-6]
Marinna Emery '25 [1-2]
Derek Mohr '28 [3-6]
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 1 B 17 17 14 15 17 16 96 Jack Hepburn '26 [1-6]
Amelia Wnek '28 [1-4]
Anca Jacobs '28 [5-6]
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 114 Luca Kleeman '27
Celeste Tourangeu '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers112233
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity223355
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1335566
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2556677
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers 1667788
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers 2778899
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs88991010
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 19910101111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 2101011111212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers111112121313
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity121213131414
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 1131314141515
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Navigators 2141415151616
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers 1151516161717
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers 2161617171818
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs171718181919
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 11818191911
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern ME 219191122

Conditions — 09/14/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1025.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From E (96°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1025.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cheverus High School: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−1.04 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cheverus High School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Cheverus High School: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →