MDISA SSA Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 3 3 6
2 Key School Key School Zags 9 19 28
3 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 28 7 35
4 Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 10 28 38
5 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 19 21 40
6 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 20 20 40
7 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 28 12 40
8 The Potomac School The Potomac School Panthers 28 26 54
9 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 25 29 54
10 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 27 28 55
11 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 32 31 63
12 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 24 40 64
13 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 39 25 64
14 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 32 37 69
15 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 36 34 70
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers113
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins335
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets446
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers668
Key SchoolKey School Zags7711
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders8812
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors557
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres151517
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals111113
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons121214
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks131315
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints141416
The Potomac SchoolThe Potomac School Panthers16161
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings17172

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers224
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers335
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins446
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets557
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers7711
Key SchoolKey School Zags8812
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders111113
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors668
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres16161
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals121214
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons131315
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks141416
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints151517
The Potomac SchoolThe Potomac School Panthers17172
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Rylee Landry '27 Amelia Atkins '27
Panthers Catherine Kammeier '26 Ellie Katz '27
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Ann Martino '26 Sloane Fagiolo '27
Cavaliers Mary Hayes Cobbum '27 Dylan Cinque '27
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Charlie Mcgeady '29 Ella Chasse '27
Bruins Ryan Stebbins '28 Lucille Leigh '28
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Allie Clark '26 Owen Smith '26
Hornets Garrett Szymendera '28 Austin Brelage '30
Henderson High School Henderson High School Drew Defonzo '26 Maggie Defonzo '26
Warriors Peter Mazzagatti '26 Jeff Porter '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School James Biles V '27 Claire Oehlerking '29
Buccaneers Samuel Wells '27 Lucia Zaklin '27
Key School Key School Casey Burman '28 Paige Asbill '31
Zags Ethan Purdon '29 Elizabeth Roesch '27
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Xander Moulds '29 Sam Glauner '27
Raiders Everett Moulds '26 Charlie Bates '26
Severn School Severn School Annie Sitzmann '26 Annabelle Ulak '26
Admirals Ashton Perkins '28 Brooke Perchinsky '27
Severna Park Severna Park William Albert '28 Issac Heffes '29
Falcons Logan Nield '30 Isabel Albert '29
South River High School South River High School Hayden Medick '26 Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
Seahawks Fiona O'Rourke '28 Maize ... '26
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Halsey Carter '26 Aurelea Cerny '30
Saints James Chapman '27 Delaney Carter '28
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Gene Williams '29 Abby Tucker '28
Sabres Justin Callahan '29 Ian Cox '29
The Potomac School The Potomac School Thomas Christiansen '27 Min Chi Chao '27
Panthers Eleanore Sieving '27 Luke Petry '27
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Amelia Wire '27 Abigail Dickey '26
Vikings James Stahl '27 Owen Garland '27

Conditions — 09/14/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 3.4 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From ENE (68°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1016.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Annapolis/Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Annapolis/Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Annapolis/Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →