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NWISA Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 49 60 109
2 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 38 83 121
3 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 76 48 124
4 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 90 67 157
5 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 75 107 182
6 Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 119 77 196
7 Riverdale High School Riverdale High School Mavericks 57 163 220
8 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 138 91 229
9 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 138 118 256
10 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 142 128 270
11 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 156 132 288
12 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 158 138 296
13 Hawks Hawks Hawks 155 149 304
14 Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 129 183 312
15 Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 189 164 353
16 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 196 199 395
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 2 2 1 3 5 5 4 1 1 1 2 9 1 38 Eliza Dawson '14
Mckenzie Ginther '16
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 7 3 1 7 1 1 1 5 10 4 2 3 1 3 49 Miles Johannessen '14 [1-14]
Elise Chambers '14 [1-2, 13-14]
Riley Allsop '16 [3-12]
Riverdale High School Riverdale High School Mavericks 5 6 3 5 5 2 3 3 5 2 3 4 7 4 57 Ramon Calvino '15
Ingrid Myers '15
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 4 6 3 2 4 6 1 11 10 7 7 10 2 75 Adam Didomizio '15
Nathan Finger '15
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 8 9 7 2 6 6 8 2 8 3 4 1 4 8 76 Drew Bennett '15
Michael Pauleen '14
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 1 5 DSQ 10 7 2 9 3 5 10 5 6 7 90 Stasi Burzycki '15 [1-14]
Carissa Block '14 [1-4, 9-14]
Geoff Brelsford '14 [5-8]
Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 10 7 8 4 7 10 10 14 7 9 6 9 3 15 119 Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [1-14]
Jude Venti '16 [1-8]
Raichel Dunkeld '16 [9-14]
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 4 14 12 6 8 3 7 11 14 7 8 13 13 9 129 John Ped '15
Sarah Winchester-Arlow '14
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 12 8 4 10 11 9 12 6 16 12 9 10 8 11 138 Courtney Stark '14
Benjamin Stark '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 14 12 11 11 4 8 11 10 9 13 11 8 11 5 138 Wylie Kau '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Quinn Freedman '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Matia Schwartz '17 [1-2, 7-14]
Halle Thompson '16 [3-6]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 13 16 9 9 15 16 9 7 6 6 5 11 14 6 142 Ezra Boyer '14 [1-14]
Leo Brine '16 [1-2, 7-14]
Abby Larsen '17 [3-6]
Hawks Hawks Hawks 6 5 15 15 12 13 15 16 4 14 16 12 2 10 155
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 9 11 16 8 9 12 4 12 13 16 13 14 5 14 156 Will Beckman '16
Jack Frazier '17
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 11 10 10 12 14 14 16 13 2 8 14 6 15 13 158 Alana Moutier '14 [1-14]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [1-2]
Evan Lund '15 [3-14]
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 15 13 13 14 13 15 13 15 15 11 12 16 12 12 189
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 16 15 14 13 16 11 14 8 12 15 15 15 16 16 196 Max Van Dam '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Shawn O'Connor '17 [3-4, 9-10, 13-14]
Austin Hauter '17 [5-6]
William Nickelson '17 [1-2]
Elizabeth Bouwens '17 [3-6]
Jared Hunt '16 [7-8, 11-12]
Lucas Nickelson '17 [9-10, 13-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 1 1 4 13 7 2 1 4 1 4 1 3 3 48 Matthew Reynolds '16
Kira Allen '14
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 2 5 1 1 6 1 7 13 3 1 4 11 1 60 Liam Hood '16 [1-14]
Shea Walker '16 [1-2, 9-14]
Jeffrey Werner '16 [3-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 7 8 6 3 2 1 DSQ 3 1 6 3 3 2 5 67 Connor Juckniess '14 [1-14]
Olivia Mitchell '18 [1-2]
Geoff Brelsford '14 [3-4]
Nels Challinor '14 [5-14]
Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 8 6 3 5 9 10 3 2 3 2 10 6 6 4 77 Kendall Kracke '15 [1-14]
Raichel Dunkeld '16 [1-8]
Jude Venti '16 [9-14]
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 5 8 7 5 3 9 10 2 11 8 2 1 11 83 Chloe Dawson '16 [1-14]
Alejandro Montenez '17 [1-2, 11-12]
Sean Westlund '16 [3-10, 13-14]
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 12 10 4 2 8 4 5 5 6 9 2 13 9 2 91 Sawyer Griffin '14
Ali Paskus '14
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 9 11 2 6 3 2 4 11 12 8 11 7 14 7 107 Connor Hughes '15 [1-14]
Erik Skeel '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Karl Skeel '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 4 13 15 12 5 12 15 9 4 6 8 7 6 118 Taj Howe '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Axel Greening '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Lilly Miller '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Kaya Osborne '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 14 7 15 9 6 11 7 6 8 10 5 16 4 10 128 Elena Gonick '16
Konrad Brine '17
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 6 12 10 13 4 8 6 8 10 15 7 14 5 14 132 Rebekah Ashpole '15
Kara Ashpole '17
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 16 14 7 8 15 9 10 4 7 5 14 10 10 9 138 Devon Royston '14 [1-14]
Helen Keith '16 [1-6, 9-14]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [7-8]
Hawks Hawks Hawks 15 9 9 10 7 12 11 12 5 14 15 5 13 12 149
Riverdale High School Riverdale High School Mavericks 10 16 12 12 11 14 15 9 11 13 12 12 8 8 163 Erik Holmgren '15
Arthur Jenkins '15
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 5 3 16 DNF 10 13 8 14 14 12 9 15 15 13 164
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 11 13 11 14 16 16 13 13 16 7 16 9 12 16 183 Sydney Stanion '15
Sydney Stanion '15
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 13 15 14 11 14 15 14 DNF 15 16 13 11 16 15 199 Austin Hauter '17 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Max Van Dam '16 [3-4]
Shawn O'Connor '17 [5-6]
Skyler Hovey '16 [9-10, 13-14]
Jared Hunt '16 [1-2]
Lucas Nickelson '17 [3-4, 7-8]
William Nickelson '17 [5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Elizabeth Bouwens '17 [11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
HawksHawks Hawks11223344556677
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans22334455667788
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars33445566778899
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines4455667788991010
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides556677889910101111
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals66778899101011111212
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks11111212131314141515161611
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats889910101111121213131414
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks7788991010111112121313
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears99101011111212131314141515
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings1010111112121313141415151616
Riverdale High SchoolRiverdale High School Mavericks121213131414151516161122
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners1313141415151616112233
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm14141515161611223344
Wilson High SchoolWilson High School Trojans151516161122334455
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons1616112233445566

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
HawksHawks Hawks99101011111212131314141515
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1010111112121313141415151616
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars11111212131314141515161611
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines121213131414151516161122
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides1313141415151616112233
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals14141515161611223344
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks33445566778899
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats1616112233445566
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks151516161122334455
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears11223344556677
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings22334455667788
Riverdale High SchoolRiverdale High School Mavericks4455667788991010
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners556677889910101111
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm66778899101011111212
Wilson High SchoolWilson High School Trojans7788991010111112121313
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons889910101111121213131414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Stasi Burzycki '15 [1-14] Carissa Block '14 [1-4, 9-14]
Geoff Brelsford '14 [5-8]
Spartans Connor Juckniess '14 [1-14] Olivia Mitchell '18 [1-2]
Geoff Brelsford '14 [3-4]
Nels Challinor '14 [5-14]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Alana Moutier '14 [1-14] Isabelle Wheeler '17 [1-2]
Evan Lund '15 [3-14]
Cougars Devon Royston '14 [1-14] Helen Keith '16 [1-6, 9-14]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [7-8]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Will Beckman '16 Jack Frazier '17
Tides Rebekah Ashpole '15 Kara Ashpole '17
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Drew Bennett '15 Michael Pauleen '14
Cardinals Matthew Reynolds '16 Kira Allen '14
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Eliza Dawson '14 Mckenzie Ginther '16
Red Hawks Chloe Dawson '16 [1-14] Alejandro Montenez '17 [1-2, 11-12]
Sean Westlund '16 [3-10, 13-14]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Max Van Dam '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Shawn O'Connor '17 [3-4, 9-10, 13-14]
Austin Hauter '17 [5-6]		 William Nickelson '17 [1-2]
Elizabeth Bouwens '17 [3-6]
Jared Hunt '16 [7-8, 11-12]
Lucas Nickelson '17 [9-10, 13-14]
Wildcats Austin Hauter '17 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Max Van Dam '16 [3-4]
Shawn O'Connor '17 [5-6]
Skyler Hovey '16 [9-10, 13-14]		 Jared Hunt '16 [1-2]
Lucas Nickelson '17 [3-4, 7-8]
William Nickelson '17 [5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Elizabeth Bouwens '17 [11-12]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Ezra Boyer '14 [1-14] Leo Brine '16 [1-2, 7-14]
Abby Larsen '17 [3-6]
Bears Elena Gonick '16 Konrad Brine '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Wylie Kau '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Quinn Freedman '15 [3-4, 7-8]		 Matia Schwartz '17 [1-2, 7-14]
Halle Thompson '16 [3-6]
Vikings Taj Howe '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Axel Greening '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Lilly Miller '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Kaya Osborne '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School John Ped '15 Sarah Winchester-Arlow '14
Aardvarks Sydney Stanion '15 Sydney Stanion '15
Riverdale High School Riverdale High School Ramon Calvino '15 Ingrid Myers '15
Mavericks Erik Holmgren '15 Arthur Jenkins '15
Sehome High School Sehome High School Miles Johannessen '14 [1-14] Elise Chambers '14 [1-2, 13-14]
Riley Allsop '16 [3-12]
Mariners Liam Hood '16 [1-14] Shea Walker '16 [1-2, 9-14]
Jeffrey Werner '16 [3-8]
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Courtney Stark '14 Benjamin Stark '16
Storm Sawyer Griffin '14 Ali Paskus '14
Wilson High School Wilson High School Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [1-14] Jude Venti '16 [1-8]
Raichel Dunkeld '16 [9-14]
Trojans Kendall Kracke '15 [1-14] Raichel Dunkeld '16 [1-8]
Jude Venti '16 [9-14]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Adam Didomizio '15 Nathan Finger '15
Falcons Connor Hughes '15 [1-14] Erik Skeel '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Karl Skeel '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]

Conditions — 04/26/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1007.5 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From SSE (164°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1007.5 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Anacortes: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Anacortes by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Anacortes, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →