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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 24 24 48
2 Varsity Varsity Varsity 43 17 60
3 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Rockland 1 47 39 86
4 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 42 47 89
5 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1 62 34 96
6 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Magicians 51 52 103
7 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Southern Maine 46 63 109
8 Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 64 54 118
9 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Rockland 2 90 73 163
10 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Varsity 96 84 180
11 Varsity Varsity Varsity 101 82 183
12 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy BBHCS 79 109 188
13 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2 108 86 194
14 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Northern Vermont 79 118 197
15 Seahorse Seahorse Seahorse 73 127 200
16 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 99 106 205
17 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy MDI/Camden 130 110 240
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 4 1 1 1 2 2 6 24 Jack Howard '19
Michael Collins '18
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 6 7 11 4 6 1 5 2 42 Ethan Merrill '16
Anna Parker '18
Varsity Varsity Varsity 2 1 9 2 4 6 1 DSQ 43
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Southern Maine 4 3 14 9 5 3 4 4 46
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Rockland 1 5 8 5 5 3 5 9 7 47
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Magicians 1 11 6 6 7 8 7 5 51 Nicole Torrie '16 [1-8]
Bella Barbera '17 [1-4]
Garrett Mckinnon '17 [5-8]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1 11 2 2 DNF 2 4 8 15 62 Christopher Booher '16
Chloe Vincenty '16
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 8 6 13 10 10 13 3 1 64 Morin Simon '18 [1-8]
Emmett Acosta '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Lyman Renassance '17 [5-6]
Seahorse Seahorse Seahorse 3 12 3 7 16 14 10 8 73
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy BBHCS 12 5 8 8 12 10 12 12 79
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Northern Vermont 16 DSQ 4 3 9 12 6 11 79
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Rockland 2 10 10 12 DNF 13 7 11 9 90
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Varsity 13 9 16 11 14 9 14 10 96 Yvonne Rogers '17
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 15 13 10 13 11 11 13 13 99
Varsity Varsity Varsity 9 14 17 14 8 DSQ DSQ 3 101
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2 14 16 7 12 15 15 15 14 108
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy MDI/Camden 17 15 15 DNF 17 16 16 16 130
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Varsity Varsity Varsity 1 4 1 3 3 1 1 3 17
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 9 24 Jack Corbett '19 [1-6]
Anthony Minder '19 [7-8]
Harper Mckerrow '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Anthony Minder '19 [5-6]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1 3 6 3 1 5 9 2 5 34 William Ratcliff '17 [1-8]
Kincaid Macculloch '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Kevin Elk '16 [5-6]
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Rockland 1 5 2 5 8 4 4 7 4 39
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 7 5 8 4 6 6 10 1 47 Ben Palmer '17 [1-8]
Isabella Pardales '17 [1-6]
Teo Scott '16 [7-8]
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Magicians 6 9 4 5 7 8 11 2 52 Kyle Aikman '17 [1-6]
Islay Van Dusen '18 [7-8]
Katie Rodger '16 [1-2]
Marika Van Dusen '16 [3-6]
Tucker Braun '18 [7-8]
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 9 16 6 7 1 2 6 7 54 Levitt Hugh '18
Dowd Erin '17
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Southern Maine 4 3 7 11 12 10 5 11 63
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Rockland 2 11 8 10 10 8 5 8 13 73
Varsity Varsity Varsity 17 12 9 9 9 7 13 6 82
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Varsity 13 7 13 15 10 12 4 10 84 Hattie Slayton '19
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2 8 10 12 6 13 13 9 15 86
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 14 15 15 13 11 11 15 12 106
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy BBHCS 10 14 11 16 15 15 14 14 109
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy MDI/Camden 16 17 17 12 14 14 12 8 110
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Northern Vermont 12 13 14 14 16 16 17 16 118
Seahorse Seahorse Seahorse 15 11 16 OCS 17 17 16 17 127
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
VarsityVarsity Varsity22446688
SeahorseSeahorse Seahorse33557799
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Varsity4466881010
VarsityVarsity Varsity5577991111
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy BBHCS779911111313
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy MDI/Camden1212141416161818
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Northern Vermont88101012121414
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Rockland 199111113131515
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Rockland 21010121214141616
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Southern Maine1111131315151717
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Varsity668810101212
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Magicians13131515171722
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 114141616181833
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2151517172244
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs161618183355
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves1717224466
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers1818335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
VarsityVarsity Varsity33557799
SeahorseSeahorse Seahorse4466881010
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Varsity5577991111
VarsityVarsity Varsity668810101212
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy BBHCS88101012121414
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy MDI/Camden13131515171722
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Northern Vermont99111113131515
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Rockland 11010121214141616
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Rockland 21111131315151717
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Southern Maine1212141416161818
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Varsity779911111313
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Magicians14141616181833
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1151517172244
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2161618183355
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs1717224466
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves1818335577
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers22446688
School / Team SkipperCrew
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Morin Simon '18 [1-8] Emmett Acosta '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Lyman Renassance '17 [5-6]
Varsity Levitt Hugh '18 Dowd Erin '17
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Yvonne Rogers '17
Varsity Hattie Slayton '19
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Nicole Torrie '16 [1-8] Bella Barbera '17 [1-4]
Garrett Mckinnon '17 [5-8]
Magicians Kyle Aikman '17 [1-6]
Islay Van Dusen '18 [7-8]		 Katie Rodger '16 [1-2]
Marika Van Dusen '16 [3-6]
Tucker Braun '18 [7-8]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Christopher Booher '16 Chloe Vincenty '16
Varsity 1 William Ratcliff '17 [1-8] Kincaid Macculloch '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Kevin Elk '16 [5-6]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Jack Howard '19 Michael Collins '18
Seawolves Jack Corbett '19 [1-6]
Anthony Minder '19 [7-8]		 Harper Mckerrow '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Anthony Minder '19 [5-6]
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Ethan Merrill '16 Anna Parker '18
Clippers Ben Palmer '17 [1-8] Isabella Pardales '17 [1-6]
Teo Scott '16 [7-8]

Conditions — 05/14/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1002.4 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From WSW (252°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1002.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn* · SW 9 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Maine Maritime Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →