NWISA Olympia Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 12 9 21
2 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 10 19 29
3 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blue 10 31 41
4 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 20 22 42
5 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 20 23 43
6 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 14 37 51
7 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 42 20 62
8 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 35 27 62
9 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 39 29 68
10 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 3 18 61 79
11 Olympia High School Olympia High School Varsity 47 32 79
12 North Thurston North Thurston North Thurston 32 54 86
13 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 37 49 86
14 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 28 62 90
15 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 72 18 90
16 Capital Capital Capital 90 11 101
17 Raiders Raiders Raiders 68 43 111
18 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 71 42 113
19 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 51 65 116
20 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 49 74 123
21 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 56 67 123
22 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 67 56 123
23 Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 42 83 125
24 Olympia High School Olympia High School JV 73 54 127
25 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gold 53 75 128
26 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 64 71 135
27 Storm Storm Storm 75 63 138
28 Mariners V 3 Mariners V 3 Mariners V 3 84 55 139
29 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 56 92 148
30 Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 97 69 166
31 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 75 105 180
32 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 96 84 180
33 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 91 105 196
34 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 93 105 198
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blue 2 4 4 10 Caelan Juckniess '16
Elizabeth Rolfes '17
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 2 5 10 Matthew Reynolds '16
Spencer Daigle '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 5 6 1 12 Wylie Kau '16
No Show
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 6 1 7 14 Dominick Wareham '19
Haley Moss '18
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 3 1 5 12 18 Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17
Isaiah Stout '17
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 4 13 3 20 Erik Skeel '16
Tim Player '16
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 7 3 10 20 Blake Bentzen '16
Nicole Sanford '16
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 10 7 11 28 Liam Sherry '16
Anna Sherry '19
North Thurston North Thurston North Thurston 18 12 2 32
Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 9 11 15 35
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 22 9 6 37 Niko Twilla '18
Tyler Nolasco '19
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 11 14 14 39 Chloe Dawson '16
Jackson Wilke '21
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 8 18 16 42 Maggie Toombs '18
Emma Freedman '19
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 12 21 9 42 Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [1-2]
Nate Radeke '20 [3]
Nate Radeke '20 [1-2]
Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [3]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Varsity 16 23 8 47 Elena Gonick '16
Konrad Brine '16
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 14 10 25 49 Anda Yoshina '16 [1-3]
Jack Gibbons '20 [1-2]
Sam Justis '18 [3]
Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 13 19 19 51
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gold 23 17 13 53 Sophie Lewis '18 [1-3]
Daniel Rentz '18 [1-2]
Will Price '19 [3]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 17 15 24 56 Margot Watts '19
Marijke Jorna '16
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 21 8 27 56
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 19 16 29 64 Max Van Dam '16
Austin Hauter '17
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 24 26 17 67 Axel Stordahl '20
Joshua Jensen '20
Raiders Raiders Raiders 27 20 21 68
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 28 25 18 71 Kian Patrick '16
Devanne Jager '17
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 25 24 23 72 Connor Hoeksma '16
Jack Frazier '17
Olympia High School Olympia High School JV 31 22 20 73 No Show
Evan Krug '19
Storm Storm Storm 15 30 30 75
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 20 29 26 75 Grant Barton '16 [1-3]
Van Senseney '19 [1-2]
Will Mueller '20 [3]
Mariners V 3 Mariners V 3 Mariners V 3 29 27 28 84
Capital Capital Capital DNF 33 22 90
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 26 32 33 91 Max Kauffman '18
Haru Yokota '16
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 30 28 DNS 93 No Show
No Show
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 33 31 32 96 Nathan Grundmeier '19
Morgan Chapman '19
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 32 34 31 97 Isabelle Wheeler '17
Collin Bloomer '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 2 3 4 9 Axel Greening '17
Millie Kau '19
Capital Capital Capital 1 9 1 11
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 4 4 10 18 Zeke Ward '16
Nicholas Lee '20
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 13 3 19 Ian Stewart '17
Rebecca Reynolds '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 5 1 14 20 Kajetan Bullock '18
Aristotle Luna '20
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 9 5 8 22 Arianna Fiore '21
Sophia Kasper '18
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 7 11 5 23 Karl Skeel '16
Henry Barrow '16
Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 8 10 9 27
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 11 2 16 29 Mckenzie Ginther '16
Alejandro Montanez '17
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blue 13 16 2 31 Karl Anderson '16
Kathryn Smith '17
Olympia High School Olympia High School Varsity 6 14 12 32 Max Miller '18
Leo Brine '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 12 6 19 37 Michael Chesher '17
Jadyn Kopp '18
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 18 18 6 42 Heather Rolph '17
Julia Soes '17
Raiders Raiders Raiders 16 7 20 43
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 24 12 13 49 Lina Fowler '18
Josie Alvarado '16
North Thurston North Thurston North Thurston 14 25 15 54
Olympia High School Olympia High School JV 15 17 22 54 Ciara Mcclanahan '19
Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '18
Mariners V 3 Mariners V 3 Mariners V 3 19 15 21 55
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 10 22 24 56 Ryan Squires '18
Hayden Flaskerud '20
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 3 22 21 18 61 Matt Thomas '16
Mason Spaun '19
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 25 30 7 62 Nicholas Jordan '16
Julia Sherry '19
Storm Storm Storm 17 29 17 63
Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 23 31 11 65
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 21 20 26 67 Yumi Shridhar '16
Kristan Lund '16
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 26 8 DNF 69 Rebekah Arvila '18
Claire Jablonski '19
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 20 26 25 71 Jordan Wood-Pina '18
Piper Fisher '19
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 28 23 23 74 Sean Westlund '16
Elijah Johnson '16
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gold 29 19 27 75 Sophie Crandell '18 [1-3]
Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Daniel Rentz '18 [3]
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 31 24 28 83 Stefan Anthony '22
Malia Hughes '18
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 27 28 29 84 Cody Cline '17
Isabelle Loverich '19
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 30 27 DNF 92
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers DNF DNF DNF 105 Grant Barton '16 [1-3]
Van Senseney '19 [1-2]
Will Mueller '20 [3]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams DNF DNF DNS 105 Avery Fulford '17
Kendall Butler '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 DNF DNF DNF 105 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 233
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Blue333334
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Gold343444
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans444411
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers1111
RaidersRaiders Raiders14
CapitalCapital Capital1414151
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars1511512
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 1223
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 23312
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams1212121
Klahowya Secondary SchoolKlahowya Secondary School Eagles12112113
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals131335
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1101101111
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2111111
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 1353536
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 2363637
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 3373738
North ThurstonNorth Thurston North Thurston383845
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 1454543
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 24343131
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School JV1515141
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Varsity13113115
Olympic High School (WA)Olympic High School (WA) Trojans14114132
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 1323231
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 2313130
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 33030101
StormStorm Storm10
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 1101016
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 21616

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 1383845
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 2454543
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Blue4343131
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Gold13113115
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1515141
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers14114132
RaidersRaiders Raiders323231
CapitalCapital Capital313130
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars3030101
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 1101101111
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 2111111
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1223
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 23312
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 110
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 2101016
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 31616
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 133
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 2333334
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School JV444411
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Varsity343444
Olympic High School (WA)Olympic High School (WA) Trojans1111
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 114
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 21414151
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 31511512
Mariners V 1Mariners V 1 Mariners V 11212121
Mariners V 2Mariners V 2 Mariners V 212112113
Mariners V 3Mariners V 3 Mariners V 3131335
StormStorm Storm353536
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 1363637
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 2373738
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Kian Patrick '16 Devanne Jager '17
Seahawks 1 Heather Rolph '17 Julia Soes '17
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Caelan Juckniess '16 Elizabeth Rolfes '17
Blue Karl Anderson '16 Kathryn Smith '17
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Sophie Lewis '18 [1-3] Daniel Rentz '18 [1-2]
Will Price '19 [3]
Gold Sophie Crandell '18 [1-3] Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Daniel Rentz '18 [3]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blake Bentzen '16 Nicole Sanford '16
Spartans Arianna Fiore '21 Sophia Kasper '18
Ballard High School Ballard High School Grant Barton '16 [1-3] Van Senseney '19 [1-2]
Will Mueller '20 [3]
Beavers Grant Barton '16 [1-3] Van Senseney '19 [1-2]
Will Mueller '20 [3]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Niko Twilla '18 Tyler Nolasco '19
Cougars Lina Fowler '18 Josie Alvarado '16
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Connor Hoeksma '16 Jack Frazier '17
Tides 1 Zeke Ward '16 Nicholas Lee '20
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Axel Stordahl '20 Joshua Jensen '20
Tides 2 Ryan Squires '18 Hayden Flaskerud '20
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Max Kauffman '18 Haru Yokota '16
Rams Avery Fulford '17 Kendall Butler '18
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Isabelle Wheeler '17 Collin Bloomer '18
Eagles Rebekah Arvila '18 Claire Jablonski '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Matthew Reynolds '16 Spencer Daigle '17
Cardinals Ian Stewart '17 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Chloe Dawson '16 Jackson Wilke '21
Red Hawks 1 Mckenzie Ginther '16 Alejandro Montanez '17
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Anda Yoshina '16 [1-3] Jack Gibbons '20 [1-2]
Sam Justis '18 [3]
Red Hawks 2 Sean Westlund '16 Elijah Johnson '16
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Liam Sherry '16 Anna Sherry '19
Dogfish 1 Nicholas Jordan '16 Julia Sherry '19
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Nathan Grundmeier '19 Morgan Chapman '19
Dogfish 2 Cody Cline '17 Isabelle Loverich '19
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17 Isaiah Stout '17
Dogfish 3 Matt Thomas '16 Mason Spaun '19
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Max Van Dam '16 Austin Hauter '17
Wildcats 1 Jordan Wood-Pina '18 Piper Fisher '19
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School No Show No Show
Wildcats 2 No Show No Show
Olympia High School Olympia High School No Show Evan Krug '19
JV Ciara Mcclanahan '19 Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '18
Olympia High School Olympia High School Elena Gonick '16 Konrad Brine '16
Varsity Max Miller '18 Leo Brine '16
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [1-2]
Nate Radeke '20 [3]
Nate Radeke '20 [1-2]
Kimberly Hutchinson '16 [3]
Trojans Stefan Anthony '22 Malia Hughes '18
Orcas High School Orcas High School Wylie Kau '16 No Show
Vikings 1 Axel Greening '17 Millie Kau '19
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dominick Wareham '19 Haley Moss '18
Vikings 2 Michael Chesher '17 Jadyn Kopp '18
Orcas High School Orcas High School Maggie Toombs '18 Emma Freedman '19
Vikings 3 Kajetan Bullock '18 Aristotle Luna '20
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Erik Skeel '16 Tim Player '16
Falcons 1 Karl Skeel '16 Henry Barrow '16
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Margot Watts '19 Marijke Jorna '16
Falcons 2 Yumi Shridhar '16 Kristan Lund '16

Conditions — 03/19/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 3.5 kn
Gusts to 8.2 kn
From ENE (60°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1016.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 5 kn · E 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Olympia Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.31 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Olympia Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Olympia Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →