Navigate

NWISA North Regionals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 14 41 55
2 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 29 33 62
3 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 59 18 77
4 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 58 34 92
5 Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 42 53 95
6 Mariners Mariners Mariners 58 43 101
7 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 57 59 116
8 Islanders Islanders Islanders 63 54 117
9 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 58 70 128
10 Seattle Waldorf School Seattle Waldorf School Warriors 41 91 132
11 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 78 71 149
12 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 80 92 172
13 Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 95 90 185
14 Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 108 94 202
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 1 1 5 1 2 2 1 1 14 Dominick Wareham '19
Matia Schwartz '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 2 4 1 2 7 3 3 7 29 Axel Greening '17
Millie Kau '19
Seattle Waldorf School Seattle Waldorf School Warriors 3 5 6 5 4 4 9 5 41 Marijke Jorna '17 [1-8]
Van Senseney '19 [1-4]
Morgan Madison '20 [5-8]
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 7 8 2 4 6 5 8 2 42 Margot Watts '19
Jack Rovner '20
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 6 6 8 9 1 9 5 13 57 Heather Rolph '17
Julia Soes '17
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 4 3 12 7 5 1 12 14 58 Hannah Roy '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]
Peyton Nienaber '18 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4, 7-8]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 5 2 13 6 13 6 2 11 58 Jordan Wood-Pina '18 [1-8]
Lenika Aguilar '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Ella Langrock '20 [3-4]
Mariners Mariners Mariners 9 11 3 11 3 10 7 4 58
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 8 10 9 8 9 8 4 3 59 Max Kauffman '18 [1-8]
Elie Simsch '20 [1-6]
Tian Marchello '20 [7-8]
Islanders Islanders Islanders 10 9 4 3 10 7 11 9 63
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 12 7 7 12 11 13 10 6 78 Liam Patrick '18
Eliot Briefer '17
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 13 13 10 10 8 12 6 8 80 Matt Dixon '17
Ryan Vasileff '18
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 11 12 11 13 12 11 13 12 95
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 10 108
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 6 18 Maks Groom '20
Aragorn Crozier '20
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 2 3 2 2 4 3 12 5 33 Maggie Toombs '18
Sandy Rost '17
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 4 6 7 5 1 6 2 3 34 Austin Hauter '17 [1-8]
Willa Weinsheimer '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Ella Langrock '20 [5-6]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 6 7 6 3 3 1 8 7 41 Michael Chesher '17 [1-8]
Ronan Kau '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Levi Moss '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Mariners Mariners Mariners 3 4 4 10 10 9 1 2 43
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 8 1 9 6 6 4 10 9 53 Reilly Hearne '18
Abbie Chipps '21
Islanders Islanders Islanders 7 5 3 4 5 11 11 8 54
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 5 9 8 14 11 7 4 1 59 Christopher Warmuth '18
Satone Haratani '19
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 10 10 5 11 13 12 5 4 70 Jack Knowles '20 [1-8]
Kristoff Kogan '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Case '20 [3-4]
No Show [7-8]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 9 8 10 9 8 10 7 10 71 Anna Morrow '18
Anna Dobie '18
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 12 13 14 12 7 5 13 14 90
Seattle Waldorf School Seattle Waldorf School Warriors 11 14 13 8 9 8 DSQ 13 91 Luca Fallows '18 [1-8]
Tian Marchello '20 [1-2]
Alex Hubbard '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Van Senseney '19 [5-6]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 DSQ 11 11 13 12 13 6 11 92 Atlas Iverson '23
Piper Fisher '19
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 13 12 12 7 DSQ 14 9 12 94
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 1128128
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 2128128
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders12812811
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls12812811
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines1122
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams11224444
IslandersIslanders Islanders2244444545
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders22444445452424
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 14444454524242525
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 245452424252533
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 12424252533
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 2252533
Seattle Waldorf SchoolSeattle Waldorf School Warriors33

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 122444445452424
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 24444454524242525
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders45452424252533
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls2424252533
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines252533
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams33
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders128128
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 1128128
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 212812811
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 112812811
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 21122
Seattle Waldorf SchoolSeattle Waldorf School Warriors11224444
MarinersMariners Mariners2244444545
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Heather Rolph '17 Julia Soes '17
Seahawks 1 Christopher Warmuth '18 Satone Haratani '19
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Liam Patrick '18 Eliot Briefer '17
Seahawks 2 Anna Morrow '18 Anna Dobie '18
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Hannah Roy '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]		 Peyton Nienaber '18 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4, 7-8]
Raiders Jack Knowles '20 [1-8] Kristoff Kogan '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Case '20 [3-4]
No Show [7-8]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Max Kauffman '18 [1-8] Elie Simsch '20 [1-6]
Tian Marchello '20 [7-8]
Rams Maks Groom '20 Aragorn Crozier '20
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Margot Watts '19 Jack Rovner '20
Raiders Reilly Hearne '18 Abbie Chipps '21
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Jordan Wood-Pina '18 [1-8] Lenika Aguilar '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Ella Langrock '20 [3-4]
Wildcats 1 Austin Hauter '17 [1-8] Willa Weinsheimer '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Ella Langrock '20 [5-6]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Matt Dixon '17 Ryan Vasileff '18
Wildcats 2 Atlas Iverson '23 Piper Fisher '19
Orcas High School Orcas High School Axel Greening '17 Millie Kau '19
Vikings 1 Maggie Toombs '18 Sandy Rost '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dominick Wareham '19 Matia Schwartz '17
Vikings 2 Michael Chesher '17 [1-8] Ronan Kau '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Levi Moss '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Seattle Waldorf School Seattle Waldorf School Marijke Jorna '17 [1-8] Van Senseney '19 [1-4]
Morgan Madison '20 [5-8]
Warriors Luca Fallows '18 [1-8] Tian Marchello '20 [1-2]
Alex Hubbard '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Van Senseney '19 [5-6]

Conditions — 03/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1005.5 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From SE (128°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1005.5 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Anacortes: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Anacortes by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Anacortes, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →