Navigate

VISA CCS Leukemia Cup Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 10 16 26
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 17 11 28
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 9 21 30
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 21 28 49
5 York High School York High School Varsity 34 20 54
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 25 34 59
7 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 30 33 63
8 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 49 33 82
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 52 42 94
10 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 45 49 94
11 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 45 56 101
12 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 60 53 113
13 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 58 60 118
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 2 1 1 3 2 9 Benton Amthor '19
Eric Demaro '18
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 4 2 2 1 10 Boyd Bragg '19
Sally Johnson '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 7 2 3 1 4 17 Daniel Vail '17
Chris Robertson '19
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 4 3 4 4 6 21 Nathan Smith '20
Thomas Walker '17
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 3 5 8 6 3 25 Sarah Smith '18 [1-2]
Hunter Kahler '17 [3-5]
Hunter Kahler '17 [1-2]
Sarah Smith '18 [3-5]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 5 6 7 5 7 30 Kaila Pfrang '17 [1-5]
Gustav Berner '17 [1-2, 5]
Elise Coberly '17 [3-4]
York High School York High School Varsity 6 9 6 8 5 34 Zane Morris '18
Kylee Hockaday '17
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 9 8 5 12 11 45 Brian Fox '19 [1-5]
Noah Navarrete '18 [1-2]
Kai Vylet '19 [3-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 10 7 11 7 10 45 Cole Handly '19
Grace Holloway '17
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 12 11 9 9 8 49 Blake Harrington '18
Regan Yacobi '19
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 8 12 10 13 9 52 Jack Mckenna '20
Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 13 10 12 11 12 58 Ryan Wright '17
Joshua Green '18
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 11 13 13 10 13 60 Avery Mcnight '20
William Thornton '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 2 1 3 3 2 11 Ellie Maus '18
Matt Wright '19
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 6 2 1 1 6 16 Marianna Guzman '19
Carson Rozell '19
York High School York High School Varsity 3 3 4 5 5 20 Daniel Hodges '18
Charlie Gibson '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 4 7 2 7 1 21 John Vail '20
Galt Oliver '18
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 5 5 8 2 8 28 Zoe Harding '18 [1-5]
Anna Flynn '20 [1-2]
Jefferson Elkin '20 [3-5]
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 1 8 6 9 9 33 Henry Waddill '18 [1-5]
David Michael Jennings '14 [1-2]
Morgan Handly '21 [3-5]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 7 4 7 11 4 33 Harrison Parker '18 [1-5]
Maddy Reynolds '21 [1-2]
Gustav Berner '17 [3-5]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 8 6 5 12 3 34 Parker Purrington '19
Ray Domena '19
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 9 10 9 4 10 42 Catherine Gilmore '17
Nicholas Rote '17
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 10 9 13 10 7 49 Sam Brady '19 [1-5]
Oliva Whitehouse '17 [1-2]
Mallory Soter '20 [3-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 12 12 11 6 12 53 Bryce Hoen '18 [1-5]
Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-2]
Ricky Cordner '19 [3-5]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 11 11 10 13 11 56 Haydon Gould '19
Jacqueline Lankford '18
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 DNS 13 12 8 13 60 Charlotte Patterson '20
Kalia Haupt '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 111335
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 222446
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 333557
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity55779
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 1668810
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 2779911
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints88101012
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 199111113
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21010121214
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms111113131
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1121214142
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21313113
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity1414224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 122446
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 233557
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 344668
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity668810
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 1779911
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 288101012
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints99111113
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11010121214
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2111113131
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms121214142
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11313113
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21414224
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Boyd Bragg '19 Sally Johnson '18
Seahorses 1 Marianna Guzman '19 Carson Rozell '19
Christchurch School Christchurch School Benton Amthor '19 Eric Demaro '18
Seahorses 2 John Vail '20 Galt Oliver '18
Christchurch School Christchurch School Nathan Smith '20 Thomas Walker '17
Seahorses 3 Zoe Harding '18 [1-5] Anna Flynn '20 [1-2]
Jefferson Elkin '20 [3-5]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Brian Fox '19 [1-5] Noah Navarrete '18 [1-2]
Kai Vylet '19 [3-5]
Varsity Haydon Gould '19 Jacqueline Lankford '18
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Cole Handly '19 Grace Holloway '17
Warriors 1 Sam Brady '19 [1-5] Oliva Whitehouse '17 [1-2]
Mallory Soter '20 [3-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Avery Mcnight '20 William Thornton '17
Warriors 2 Bryce Hoen '18 [1-5] Ryan Nguyen '20 [1-2]
Ricky Cordner '19 [3-5]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kaila Pfrang '17 [1-5] Gustav Berner '17 [1-2, 5]
Elise Coberly '17 [3-4]
Saints Harrison Parker '18 [1-5] Maddy Reynolds '21 [1-2]
Gustav Berner '17 [3-5]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Daniel Vail '17 Chris Robertson '19
Oaks 1 Ellie Maus '18 Matt Wright '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Sarah Smith '18 [1-2]
Hunter Kahler '17 [3-5]		 Hunter Kahler '17 [1-2]
Sarah Smith '18 [3-5]
Oaks 2 Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Blake Harrington '18 Regan Yacobi '19
Phantoms Henry Waddill '18 [1-5] David Michael Jennings '14 [1-2]
Morgan Handly '21 [3-5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Jack Mckenna '20 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Islanders 1 Catherine Gilmore '17 Nicholas Rote '17
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Ryan Wright '17 Joshua Green '18
Islanders 2 Charlotte Patterson '20 Kalia Haupt '19
York High School York High School Zane Morris '18 Kylee Hockaday '17
Varsity Daniel Hodges '18 Charlie Gibson '20

Conditions — 04/15/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1024.9 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1024.9 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christchurch School: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Christchurch School).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →