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Downeast Invitational/Maine State Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 55 26 81
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 40 46 86
3 Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 54 37 91
4 Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 71 33 104
5 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 55 63 118
6 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Trojans 84 105 189
7 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Northern VT 100 103 203
8 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 109 101 210
9 Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles 106 115 221
10 Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 150 77 227
11 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 116 147 263
12 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 155 120 275
13 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Rockland 126 164 290
14 Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Clippers 149 142 291
15 Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Chills 149 142 291
16 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 148 148 296
17 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 152 149 301
18 George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Eagles 140 179 319
19 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 140 197 337
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 3 2 3 1 5 3 9 3 2 6 40 Thad Lettsome '20
Jake Carlson '21
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 2 7 1 2 3 2 2 5 6 4 DSQ 54 Jack Murphy '18 [1-11]
Peter Wade '19 [1-2]
Ryan Goldstein '18 [3-6]
Michael Wade '19 [7-11]
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 4 2 3 8 2 1 4 7 1 OCS 3 55 Grant Adam '19
Sam Bradley '19
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 6 1 OCS 1 4 3 8 8 2 1 1 55 Peter Morrissette '18
Catherine Carpenter '19
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 9 4 4 4 7 8 5 14 4 7 5 71 Levitt Hugh '18 [1-11]
Mccellan Amelia '20 [1-2, 7-10]
King Courtney '19 [3-4]
Mann Jessica '19 [5-6, 11]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Trojans 16 11 5 5 5 4 16 10 5 3 4 84 Alec Fisichella '19
Jacob Peabody '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Northern VT 8 14 7 7 10 7 15 3 11 6 12 100 Issac Goldman '20
Ulrich Meyer '21
Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles 15 19 8 6 8 11 1 1 7 14 16 106 Emily Lau '19
Rylee Sienkiewicz '20
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 5 18 11 9 6 10 14 4 10 9 13 109 Hal Clews '19
Lucy Kilbreth '20
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 7 5 6 14 15 12 11 13 DSQ 5 8 116 Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19
Anna Parker '18
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Rockland 17 17 12 12 17 17 7 6 8 11 2 126 Elliot Spear '18 [1-11]
Spencer Dorr '20 [1-6]
Caludia Fox '20 [7-11]
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Eagles 1 10 16 15 DNF 18 6 12 13 15 14 140 Sylvia Burns '21
Silas Murnik '20
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 10 12 OCS 11 12 6 17 11 9 17 15 140 Nate Philbrook '20
Sofie Dowling '20
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 12 8 13 18 14 19 9 15 14 8 18 148 Charlie Metcalfe '19
Harrison Fream '21
Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Clippers 13 9 10 17 13 9 13 17 15 16 17 149 Jake Macdonald '19
Charlie Wheeler '19
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Chills 19 6 9 10 11 15 19 19 18 13 10 149 Calvin James '18 [1-11]
Brott Emerson '21 [1-2]
Jesse Mann '19 [3-4, 9-11]
Courtney King '19 [5-8]
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 18 16 14 13 RAF 14 10 16 12 10 7 150 Nolan Conlin '18
Ella Beauregard '21
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 11 15 17 19 9 13 12 18 17 12 9 152 Elizabeth Thompson '18
Eamon Browne '18
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 14 13 15 16 16 16 18 2 16 18 11 155 William Keith '22 [1-8]
Christopher Hoffman '21 [9-11]
Matthew Scanlon '22 [1-8]
Hansen Li '18 [9-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 1 1 2 3 2 5 1 1 4 3 3 26 Eric O'Connor '19
Ryan Hamilton '19
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Varsity 5 3 1 2 8 2 2 4 2 2 2 33 Morin Simon '18 [1-11]
Acosta Emmett '18 [1-6]
Brott Emerson '21 [7-11]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 3 2 4 4 1 3 3 2 3 7 5 37 Francis Selldorff '19 [1-11]
Michael Wade '19 [1-4]
Peter Wade '19 [5-8]
Ryan Goldstein '18 [9-11]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 4 3 1 5 1 9 5 6 6 4 46 Connor Macken '20 [1-11]
Henry Worden '20 [1-2, 5-11]
Peter Eberley '21 [3-4]
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 4 5 11 5 7 4 7 10 1 8 1 63 Catherine Morrissette '20
Ava Brimicombe '21
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 7 6 8 9 3 9 4 7 5 5 14 77 Nate Rideout '21
Andrea Gutierrez '20
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 9 7 10 6 9 6 6 18 9 10 11 101 John Holt '18
Jondall Norris '20
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Northern VT 17 12 9 12 10 7 8 6 7 9 6 103 Julia Grillo '20 [1-2, 7-10]
Cam Ritchie '20 [3-6, 11]
Marvra Duval '20 [1-2, 7-10]
Lulu Loucheim '21 [3-6, 11]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Trojans 11 15 5 8 4 OCS 12 9 10 4 7 105 Lucas Ingebritson '19
Nate Ingebritson '21
Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles 12 11 6 10 11 11 10 3 OCS 1 OCS 115 Annika Rogers '18
Pia Gibson '21
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 13 8 13 13 6 8 11 11 13 11 13 120 Alex Drago '19 [1-6]
Robert Bossong '18 [7-11]
Hansen Li '18 [1-6]
Clay Hatch '22 [7-11]
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Chills 8 13 7 11 12 10 18 19 16 12 16 142 Mcclennan Thomas '18 [1-8]
O'Farrell Connor '19 [9-11]
O'Farrell Connor '19 [1-8]
Mcclennan Thomas '18 [9-11]
Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Clippers 15 10 12 14 15 16 15 16 8 13 8 142 Connor Durkin '19
Thomas Katerakis '20
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers RAF 17 14 16 17 12 5 8 12 16 10 147 Sophia Skinner '18 [1-2, 11]
Sandy Yale '21 [3-10]
Emi Ruth '18 [1-10]
Mackenzie Peloquin '19 [11]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 6 9 16 15 14 14 17 14 14 14 15 148 Alden Coldrock '20
Peter Jordan '18
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 10 14 15 17 16 15 14 13 11 15 9 149 Adam Wendell-Pearson '20
Daisy Furber '19
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Rockland 14 18 17 7 13 13 19 17 17 17 12 164 Hallie Macdougall '18 [1-11]
Claudia Fox '19 [1-6]
Spencer Dorr '20 [7-11]
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Eagles 16 16 18 18 18 17 13 12 15 18 18 179 Joe Chiampg '20
Ryan Mitchell '21
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 18 19 19 19 19 18 16 15 18 19 17 197 Axel Eschholz '20
Grace Higgins '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity113355779911
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold22446688101012
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Chills4466881010121214
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Varsity33557799111113
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity5577991111131315
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen668810101212141416
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Eagles779911111313151517
Islesboro Central SchoolIslesboro Central School Eagles88101012121414161618
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons99111113131515171719
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Trojans101012121414161618181
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity111113131515171719192
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 11212141416161818113
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 21313151517171919224
Portsmouth High School - NHPortsmouth High School - NH Clippers14141616181811335
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves15151717191922446
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Northern VT1818113355779
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Rockland171719192244668
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine161618181133557
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers19192244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity22446688101012
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold33557799111113
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Chills5577991111131315
Camden Hills RHSCamden Hills RHS Varsity4466881010121214
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity668810101212141416
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen779911111313151517
George Stevens AcademyGeorge Stevens Academy Eagles88101012121414161618
Islesboro Central SchoolIslesboro Central School Eagles99111113131515171719
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons101012121414161618181
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Trojans111113131515171719192
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity1212141416161818113
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 11313151517171919224
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 214141616181811335
Portsmouth High School - NHPortsmouth High School - NH Clippers15151717191922446
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves161618181133557
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Northern VT19192244668810
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Rockland1818113355779
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine171719192244668
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers113355779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Jack Murphy '18 [1-11] Peter Wade '19 [1-2]
Ryan Goldstein '18 [3-6]
Michael Wade '19 [7-11]
Varsity Francis Selldorff '19 [1-11] Michael Wade '19 [1-4]
Peter Wade '19 [5-8]
Ryan Goldstein '18 [9-11]
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS Nolan Conlin '18 Ella Beauregard '21
SeaHawks Gold Nate Rideout '21 Andrea Gutierrez '20
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Calvin James '18 [1-11] Brott Emerson '21 [1-2]
Jesse Mann '19 [3-4, 9-11]
Courtney King '19 [5-8]
Chills Mcclennan Thomas '18 [1-8]
O'Farrell Connor '19 [9-11]		 O'Farrell Connor '19 [1-8]
Mcclennan Thomas '18 [9-11]
Camden Hills RHS Camden Hills RHS Levitt Hugh '18 [1-11] Mccellan Amelia '20 [1-2, 7-10]
King Courtney '19 [3-4]
Mann Jessica '19 [5-6, 11]
Varsity Morin Simon '18 [1-11] Acosta Emmett '18 [1-6]
Brott Emerson '21 [7-11]
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School William Keith '22 [1-8]
Christopher Hoffman '21 [9-11]		 Matthew Scanlon '22 [1-8]
Hansen Li '18 [9-11]
Varsity Alex Drago '19 [1-6]
Robert Bossong '18 [7-11]		 Hansen Li '18 [1-6]
Clay Hatch '22 [7-11]
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Peter Morrissette '18 Catherine Carpenter '19
Yachtsmen Catherine Morrissette '20 Ava Brimicombe '21
George Stevens Academy George Stevens Academy Sylvia Burns '21 Silas Murnik '20
Eagles Joe Chiampg '20 Ryan Mitchell '21
Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Emily Lau '19 Rylee Sienkiewicz '20
Eagles Annika Rogers '18 Pia Gibson '21
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Grant Adam '19 Sam Bradley '19
Fishwagons Eric O'Connor '19 Ryan Hamilton '19
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Alec Fisichella '19 Jacob Peabody '21
Trojans Lucas Ingebritson '19 Nate Ingebritson '21
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Nate Philbrook '20 Sofie Dowling '20
Varsity Axel Eschholz '20 Grace Higgins '17
Portland High School Portland High School Hal Clews '19 Lucy Kilbreth '20
Bulldogs 1 John Holt '18 Jondall Norris '20
Portland High School Portland High School Elizabeth Thompson '18 Eamon Browne '18
Bulldogs 2 Adam Wendell-Pearson '20 Daisy Furber '19
Portsmouth High School - NH Portsmouth High School - NH Jake Macdonald '19 Charlie Wheeler '19
Clippers Connor Durkin '19 Thomas Katerakis '20
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Thad Lettsome '20 Jake Carlson '21
Seawolves Connor Macken '20 [1-11] Henry Worden '20 [1-2, 5-11]
Peter Eberley '21 [3-4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Issac Goldman '20 Ulrich Meyer '21
Northern VT Julia Grillo '20 [1-2, 7-10]
Cam Ritchie '20 [3-6, 11]		 Marvra Duval '20 [1-2, 7-10]
Lulu Loucheim '21 [3-6, 11]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Elliot Spear '18 [1-11] Spencer Dorr '20 [1-6]
Caludia Fox '20 [7-11]
Rockland Hallie Macdougall '18 [1-11] Claudia Fox '19 [1-6]
Spencer Dorr '20 [7-11]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Charlie Metcalfe '19 Harrison Fream '21
Southern Maine Alden Coldrock '20 Peter Jordan '18
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19 Anna Parker '18
Clippers Sophia Skinner '18 [1-2, 11]
Sandy Yale '21 [3-10]		 Emi Ruth '18 [1-10]
Mackenzie Peloquin '19 [11]

Conditions — 05/12/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1022.3 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 28.8 kn
From S (182°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1022.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 16 kn · S 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Maine Maritime Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →