MDISA Fleet Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 26 26 52
2 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 90 30 120
3 Key School Key School Zags 63 72 135
4 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 92 91 183
5 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 74 139 213
6 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 130 107 237
7 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 107 139 246
8 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 93 157 250
9 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 179 111 290
10 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 184 131 315
11 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 203 168 371
12 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 189 190 379
13 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 205 204 409
14 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 189 220 409
15 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 231 183 414
16 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 198 228 426
17 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 198 251 449
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 1 1 4 26 Sam Bruce '20 [1-8]
Mariner Fagan '20 [9-16]
Addi Harris '20 [1-8]
Ryan Wahba '20 [9-16]
Key School Key School Zags 4 8 1 4 4 4 2 4 4 3 6 3 6 2 5 3 63 Charles Anderson '21
Emma Kissel '22
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 11 3 5 5 3 3 6 3 9 1 4 4 5 3 8 1 74 Peter Lobaugh '20
Hannah Leggett '20
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 5 2 7 3 12 6 4 2 7 4 2 9 2 8 3 14 90 James Golden '20 [1-16]
Amelia Johnson '21 [1-15]
Juliette Troxell '21 [16]
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 2 5 2 2 1 8 11 5 6 6 9 10 11 5 2 7 92 Nick Budington '21
Liam Gronda '21
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 7 4 8 DSQ 7 3 7 3 2 5 2 3 4 6 11 93 Daniel Unangst '20
Emily Williams '20
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 4 12 6 8 5 8 9 2 8 10 7 4 6 9 2 107 Emma Snead '19
Lucien Parker '20
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 14 10 6 7 13 2 7 10 8 9 3 6 8 10 12 5 130 Olivia Sowa '20
Braedon Myers '20
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 16 11 14 13 6 10 16 12 12 15 8 11 14 7 4 10 179 Anna Groszkowski '22
Ty Ryan '22
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 10 15 9 11 9 16 12 6 13 11 11 12 15 12 13 9 184 Henry Haddon '20
Jackson Barlow '20
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 9 14 16 16 10 11 9 16 15 14 14 5 10 15 7 8 189 Will Dryer '20
Izzy Wu '22
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 15 16 15 15 15 13 10 15 5 13 12 8 12 9 10 6 189 Jennifer Tennant '19 [1-16]
Olivia Taylor '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Carolina Lopes '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Catherine Nguyen '19 [9-16]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 12 9 8 10 7 12 17 11 11 7 7 17 17 17 DNF DNS 198 Bryce Ricewoolf '20
Rachel O'Neil '20
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 17 17 10 14 5 9 5 8 14 16 16 16 9 14 15 13 198 Connor Vogel '20 [1-4]
Blake Vogel '22 [5-16]
Blake Vogel '22 [1-2]
Mike Buscemi '20 [3-16]
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 13 6 11 9 11 14 13 13 16 17 13 14 16 11 14 12 203 Ally Snead '19 [1-16]
Ted Ginsburg '19 [1-6, 9-12]
Will Morrissey '19 [7-8, 13-16]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 6 12 13 12 16 17 15 14 10 10 15 13 7 13 16 16 205 Camden Ward '20 [1-16]
Janie Powell '21 [1-8]
Sophie Eitel '21 [9-16]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 8 13 17 17 14 15 14 17 17 12 17 15 13 16 11 15 231 Sunny Sturmer '19 [1-16]
Sarah Rosa '20 [1-8, 11-14]
Ryleigh Kealy '21 [9-10, 15-16]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 5 26 Madeline Hawkins '20 [1-8]
Jordan Bruce '20 [9-16]
Abby Tindall '19 [1-4]
Marcus Adam '19 [5-8]
Andrea Riefkohl '20 [9-10, 13-14]
Caroline Bayless '19 [11-12, 15-16]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 2 1 3 2 1 2 5 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 30 Trevor Davis '20 [1-16]
Jessica Groblewski '21 [1-6]
Chase Conway '22 [7-15]
William Cornell '21 [16]
Key School Key School Zags 4 10 5 4 3 4 3 4 3 5 3 4 5 4 8 3 72 Luke Koerschner '20
Molly Roden '22
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 3 7 2 5 6 11 4 6 13 3 6 3 7 10 4 1 91 Matt Budington '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Friso Grolleman '20 [5-6, 11-16]
Anna Grolleman '22 [1-8]
Friso Grolleman '20 [9-10]
Matt Budington '21 [11-16]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 6 5 14 8 9 9 2 7 5 7 4 5 6 5 11 4 107 Lucy Paskoff '20 [1-16]
Joseph Mcgraw '19 [1-4]
Hannah Carlsen '19 [5-16]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 7 4 8 7 7 5 9 5 6 6 8 7 3 8 10 11 111 Ava Farley '22
Caroline Kelly '19
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 10 9 7 10 4 6 6 3 9 DSQ 12 6 DSQ 3 3 7 131 Arin Bekem '22
C. Augie Spendley '19
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 11 4 11 5 8 8 12 7 10 10 8 10 6 15 9 139 Morgan Carew '21
Josh Becker '20
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 11 8 11 12 10 3 7 BYE 4 4 11 DNF 8 12 5 6 139 Gabe Paier '21 [1-16]
Nick Bus '21 [1-8, 13-16]
Thomas Leggett '21 [9-12]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 8 3 6 6 12 15 BYE 11 8 8 16 13 9 11 9 12 157 Audrey Commerford '21
Makenna Labor '21
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 12 12 9 3 11 7 12 10 15 9 7 10 15 14 12 10 168 James Corckran '19 [1-16]
Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Liam Lonergan '19 [5-8, 11-16]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 9 6 16 13 14 10 10 8 12 12 5 11 12 9 DNF DNS 183 Matthew Collinson '20 [1-16]
Mary Nolan '21 [1-4, 7-16]
Ryleigh Kealy '21 [5-6]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 13 13 10 9 13 14 13 9 14 13 9 14 13 13 6 14 190 Reese Meyers '23
Finn Parkinson '21
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 17 15 17 15 17 17 15 14 10 11 14 9 11 7 7 8 204 Carson Kraycik '19 [1-8]
Connor Killeen '21 [9-16]
No Show [1-8]
Carson Kraycik '19 [9-16]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 14 14 12 14 16 16 11 13 16 14 15 DNS 4 15 13 15 220 Christopher Callaghan '20 [1-16]
Timothy Dixon '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Alexandra Mullery '22 [3-4]
Abigail Hupp '22 [13-16]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 16 17 13 16 8 13 DNS DNS 11 16 13 12 14 16 14 13 228 Marina Dryer '22
Conner Scuillo '22
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 15 16 15 17 15 12 14 15 BYE 15 17 15 16 17 DNF DNS 251 Hunter Ward '20
Vaughan Hood '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1133557799111113131515
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron224466881010121214141616
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights335577991111131315151717
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins446688101012121414161611
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds557799111113131515171722
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets668810101212141416161133
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles779911111313151517172244
Key SchoolKey School Zags881010121214141616113355
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders991111131315151717224466
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres151517172244668810101212
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals101012121414161611335577
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons111113131515171722446688
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks1212141416161133557799
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1414161611335577991111
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints131315151717224466881010
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1616113355779911111313
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity171722446688101012121414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224466881010121214141616
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron335577991111131315151717
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights446688101012121414161611
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins557799111113131515171722
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds668810101212141416161133
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets779911111313151517172244
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles881010121214141616113355
Key SchoolKey School Zags991111131315151717224466
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders101012121414161611335577
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1616113355779911111313
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals111113131515171722446688
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1212141416161133557799
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks131315151717224466881010
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights151517172244668810101212
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1414161611335577991111
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals171722446688101012121414
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity1133557799111113131515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Anna Groszkowski '22 Ty Ryan '22
Cavaliers Ava Farley '22 Caroline Kelly '19
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Nick Budington '21 Liam Gronda '21
Battlin' Baron Matt Budington '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Friso Grolleman '20 [5-6, 11-16]
Anna Grolleman '22 [1-8]
Friso Grolleman '20 [9-10]
Matt Budington '21 [11-16]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Peter Lobaugh '20 Hannah Leggett '20
Knights Gabe Paier '21 [1-16] Nick Bus '21 [1-8, 13-16]
Thomas Leggett '21 [9-12]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Emma Snead '19 Lucien Parker '20
Bruins Morgan Carew '21 Josh Becker '20
Gilman School Gilman School Connor Vogel '20 [1-4]
Blake Vogel '22 [5-16]
Blake Vogel '22 [1-2]
Mike Buscemi '20 [3-16]
Greyhounds Marina Dryer '22 Conner Scuillo '22
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Olivia Sowa '20 Braedon Myers '20
Hornets Lucy Paskoff '20 [1-16] Joseph Mcgraw '19 [1-4]
Hannah Carlsen '19 [5-16]
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Ally Snead '19 [1-16] Ted Ginsburg '19 [1-6, 9-12]
Will Morrissey '19 [7-8, 13-16]
Eagles James Corckran '19 [1-16] Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Liam Lonergan '19 [5-8, 11-16]
Key School Key School Charles Anderson '21 Emma Kissel '22
Zags Luke Koerschner '20 Molly Roden '22
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Daniel Unangst '20 Emily Williams '20
Raiders Audrey Commerford '21 Makenna Labor '21
Severn School Severn School Sam Bruce '20 [1-8]
Mariner Fagan '20 [9-16]
Addi Harris '20 [1-8]
Ryan Wahba '20 [9-16]
Admirals Madeline Hawkins '20 [1-8]
Jordan Bruce '20 [9-16]
Abby Tindall '19 [1-4]
Marcus Adam '19 [5-8]
Andrea Riefkohl '20 [9-10, 13-14]
Caroline Bayless '19 [11-12, 15-16]
Severna Park Severna Park Camden Ward '20 [1-16] Janie Powell '21 [1-8]
Sophie Eitel '21 [9-16]
Falcons Carson Kraycik '19 [1-8]
Connor Killeen '21 [9-16]
No Show [1-8]
Carson Kraycik '19 [9-16]
South River High School South River High School Bryce Ricewoolf '20 Rachel O'Neil '20
Seahawks Hunter Ward '20 Vaughan Hood '20
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) James Golden '20 [1-16] Amelia Johnson '21 [1-15]
Juliette Troxell '21 [16]
Saints Trevor Davis '20 [1-16] Jessica Groblewski '21 [1-6]
Chase Conway '22 [7-15]
William Cornell '21 [16]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Jennifer Tennant '19 [1-16] Olivia Taylor '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Carolina Lopes '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Catherine Nguyen '19 [9-16]
Knights Christopher Callaghan '20 [1-16] Timothy Dixon '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Alexandra Mullery '22 [3-4]
Abigail Hupp '22 [13-16]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sunny Sturmer '19 [1-16] Sarah Rosa '20 [1-8, 11-14]
Ryleigh Kealy '21 [9-10, 15-16]
Sabres Matthew Collinson '20 [1-16] Mary Nolan '21 [1-4, 7-16]
Ryleigh Kealy '21 [5-6]
Towson High School Towson High School Will Dryer '20 Izzy Wu '22
Generals Reese Meyers '23 Finn Parkinson '21
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Henry Haddon '20 Jackson Barlow '20
Varsity Arin Bekem '22 C. Augie Spendley '19

Conditions — 03/30/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1015.4 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 21.4 kn
From S (187°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1015.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · NW 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →