Connecticut State Championship

HostSail Black Rock
Date05/16/2021
TypeState Championship
BoatZ420
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Brunswick School	Bruins	49
2	Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	76
3	Greenwich Academy	Gator	94
4	Staples High School	The Wreckers	106
5	Greenwich High School	Cardinals	106
6	Fairfield Prep	Jesuits	120
7	Darien High School	Blue Wave	184 MRP
8	Greenwich Country Day School	Tigers	224 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
Brunswick School	Bruins B	BYE	1	BYE	1	BYE	3	BYE	4	BYE	1	BYE	1	23	William Michels '21 Alex Ohls '24
Brunswick School	Bruins A	1	BYE	1	BYE	1	BYE	5	BYE	5	BYE	1	BYE	26	Robert Ulmer '24 [1-10] Thomas Whidden '24 [11-12] Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-10] Greer Sconzo '23 [11-12]
Greenwich Academy	Gator A	2	BYE	2	BYE	3	BYE	2	BYE	4	BYE	2	BYE	33	Harned Ellie '22 [1-12] Atley Dimsey '27 [1-8, 10-12] Grayson Stengel '23 [9]
Greenwich High School	Cardinals B	BYE	2	BYE	3	BYE	1	BYE	5	BYE	3	BYE	2	34	Elle Sykes '23 [1-12] Gray Tella '22 [1-4] Lily Ornstein '22 [5-12]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons A	3	BYE	4	BYE	7	BYE	1	BYE	1	BYE	4	BYE	38	Cole Woodworth '23 Anabelle Woodworth '24
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons B	BYE	4	BYE	4	BYE	2	BYE	1	BYE	5	BYE	4	38	Tyler Nash '23 [1-12] Caitlin May '21 [1-2, 5-12] Anthony Demartino '24 [3-4]
Staples High School	The Wreckers A	4	BYE	3	BYE	4	BYE	3	BYE	3	BYE	5	BYE	46	Liam Gavin '21 Lucy Belknap '21
Fairfield Prep	Jesuits A	7	BYE	6	BYE	2	BYE	4	BYE	2	BYE	7	BYE	58	Will Donovan '21 Thomas Musser '23
Staples High School	The Wreckers B	BYE	3	BYE	5	BYE	4	BYE	7	BYE	4	BYE	7	60	Witt Lindau '23 Kate Coyne '21
Greenwich Academy	Gator B	BYE	6	BYE	6	BYE	5	BYE	2	BYE	6	BYE	6	61	Chang Tatum '23 [1-4, 12] Sofia Debs '24 [5-11] Grayson Stengel '23 [1-4, 12] Saanvi Gupta '25 [5-11]
Fairfield Prep	Jesuits B	BYE	7	BYE	2	BYE	6	BYE	6	BYE	8	BYE	3	62	Charlie Capporino '24 Robert Upton '23
Greenwich High School	Cardinals A	6	BYE	5	BYE	8	BYE	6	BYE	8	BYE	3	BYE	72	Chris Tella '21 [1-12] Lily Ornstein '22 [1-4] Gray Tella '22 [5-10] Jaden Nygaard '21 [11-12]
Darien High School	Blue Wave B	BYE	5	BYE	7	BYE	7	BYE	3	BYE	2	BYE	5	79 MRP	No Show No Show
Greenwich Country Day School	Tigers A	5	BYE	7	BYE	5	BYE	8	BYE	7	BYE	6	BYE	94 MRP	No Show No Show
Darien High School	Blue Wave A	8	BYE	8	BYE	6	BYE	7	BYE	6	BYE	8	BYE	105 MRP	No Show No Show
Greenwich Country Day School	Tigers B	BYE	8	BYE	8	BYE	8	BYE	8	BYE	7	BYE	DNS	130 MRP	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A
Brunswick School Bruins	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Darien High School Blue Wave	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Fairfield Prep Jesuits	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Greenwich High School Cardinals	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Greenwich Academy Gator	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Greenwich Country Day School Tigers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Staples High School The Wreckers	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B
Brunswick School Bruins	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Darien High School Blue Wave	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Fairfield Prep Jesuits	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Greenwich High School Cardinals	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Greenwich Academy Gator	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Greenwich Country Day School Tigers	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Staples High School The Wreckers	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Brunswick School	Robert Ulmer '24 [1-10] Thomas Whidden '24 [11-12]	Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-10] Greer Sconzo '23 [11-12]
Bruins	William Michels '21	Alex Ohls '24
Darien High School	No Show	No Show
Blue Wave	No Show	No Show
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Cole Woodworth '23	Anabelle Woodworth '24
Falcons	Tyler Nash '23 [1-12]	Caitlin May '21 [1-2, 5-12] Anthony Demartino '24 [3-4]
Fairfield Prep	Will Donovan '21	Thomas Musser '23
Jesuits	Charlie Capporino '24	Robert Upton '23
Greenwich Academy	Harned Ellie '22 [1-12]	Atley Dimsey '27 [1-8, 10-12] Grayson Stengel '23 [9]
Gator	Chang Tatum '23 [1-4, 12] Sofia Debs '24 [5-11]	Grayson Stengel '23 [1-4, 12] Saanvi Gupta '25 [5-11]
Greenwich Country Day School	No Show	No Show
Tigers	No Show	No Show
Greenwich High School	Chris Tella '21 [1-12]	Lily Ornstein '22 [1-4] Gray Tella '22 [5-10] Jaden Nygaard '21 [11-12]
Cardinals	Elle Sykes '23 [1-12]	Gray Tella '22 [1-4] Lily Ornstein '22 [5-12]
Staples High School	Liam Gavin '21	Lucy Belknap '21
The Wreckers	Witt Lindau '23	Kate Coyne '21

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Connecticut State Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes