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Islands Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 29 33 62
2 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 30 49 79
3 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 59 33 92
4 Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 43 75 118
5 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 53 73 126
6 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 72 78 150
7 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 72 89 161
8 The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 64 99 163
9 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 106 60 166
10 Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 101 75 176
11 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 99 102 201
12 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 96 107 203
13 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 118 99 217
14 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 134 98 232
15 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughrider 125 132 257
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 1 4 1 4 2 6 7 1 2 29 Ella Hubbard '22
Miles Kirkbride '22
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 4 3 8 2 3 1 1 2 5 1 30 Danny Juan '23
Levi Bailey '24
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 2 2 6 3 7 6 3 1 4 9 43 Colin Olson '22
Raymond Mcdavid '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 6 5 2 5 6 3 4 12 2 8 53 Thomas Buys '22
Shelby Lang '23
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 13 7 1 10 9 5 2 4 3 5 59 Zack Riccelli '23
Charlotte Yesser '23
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 5 9 5 7 5 8 10 3 6 6 64 Isabelle Mcnabb '22
Mira Shupe '22
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 3 4 7 9 1 14 11 6 14 3 72 Camryn Lee '24
Brent Hu '25
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 9 8 3 8 2 9 8 8 7 10 72 Cormac Burke '22
Annella Lyon '24
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 12 13 14 4 13 15 7 5 9 4 96 Max Hanson '25
Zev Fort '25
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 10 11 13 12 10 4 5 9 13 12 99 Mike Rogge '23
Cole Helms '24
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 14 6 11 6 8 7 13 15 10 11 101 Willy Walden '24
Charlotte Capel '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 7 10 9 11 14 12 14 10 12 7 106 Evan Yeung '22 [1-10]
Jaya Wirth '23 [1-2, 5]
Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [3-4, 6-10]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 11 14 12 13 11 11 9 14 8 15 118 Robert Mccarroll '22 [1-5]
Kai Grignon '23 [6-10]
Kirsha Khile '22 [1-5]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughrider 8 12 10 15 12 10 15 13 DSQ 14 125 Ozzy Minard '23
Elle Schulz '22
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 15 15 15 14 15 13 12 11 11 13 134 Mia Clarke '24 [1-10]
Luca Gillis '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Moore '25 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 1 11 7 1 1 2 4 3 1 33 Teddy Gao '23
Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 2 1 1 4 7 6 3 4 2 33 Peter Kelleher '22 [1-4, 7-10]
Sophia Hubbard '24 [5-6]
Sophia Hubbard '24 [1-4]
Yuri Berebitsky '24 [5-10]
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 6 4 5 5 10 10 3 1 2 3 49 Owen Thomas '23
Kirin Dhaka '23
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 9 11 3 4 6 3 5 8 6 5 60 Carter Anderson '23
Elliott Chalcraft '23
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 11 6 8 3 13 5 8 6 5 8 73 Ryan Metz '22
Ej Boilek '22
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 4 5 13 2 9 12 11 11 1 7 75 Lhotse Rowell '24
Ocean Smith '24
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs DSQ 7 2 10 11 2 1 7 10 9 75 Soren Althoff '22
Alice Curtis '22
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 7 8 10 8 7 6 9 9 8 6 78 Jaden Unruh '22
Reed Kregenow '22
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 8 9 6 14 12 9 DSQ 2 9 4 89 Stefan Anthony '22
Emily Guerin '25
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 10 3 12 11 2 13 10 13 11 13 98 Bryce Lutz '23
Evan Maudlin '23
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 15 9 6 14 14 7 14 7 12 99 Kayla Strandberg '23
Sofia Dunton '23
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 5 13 4 13 15 11 4 5 15 14 99 Francesca Dougherty '25
Mia Mcnabb '24
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 14 10 7 9 3 8 13 15 12 11 102 Bailey Logan '23
Keagan Carrigan '24
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 12 12 15 12 5 4 14 10 13 10 107 Iris Hochwalt '24
Esther Hulverstrom '23
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughrider 13 14 14 15 8 15 12 12 14 15 132 Elliot Dahlin '22
Jonathan Bridges '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks141411335577
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans9911111313151522
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks44668810101212
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars6688101012121414
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers7799111113131515
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs13131515224466
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams12121414113355
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals335577991111
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats1133557799
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears224466881010
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughrider151522446688
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks1010121214141133
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders1111131315152244
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners55779911111313
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon8810101212141411

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks151522446688
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1010121214141133
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks55779911111313
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars7799111113131515
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers8810101212141411
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs141411335577
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams13131515224466
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals44668810101212
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats224466881010
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears335577991111
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughrider1133557799
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks1111131315152244
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders12121414113355
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners6688101012121414
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon9911111313151522
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Robert Mccarroll '22 [1-5]
Kai Grignon '23 [6-10]		 Kirsha Khile '22 [1-5]
Seahawks Kayla Strandberg '23 Sofia Dunton '23
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Evan Yeung '22 [1-10] Jaya Wirth '23 [1-2, 5]
Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [3-4, 6-10]
Spartans Carter Anderson '23 Elliott Chalcraft '23
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Mia Clarke '24 [1-10] Luca Gillis '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Moore '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Bayhawks Bryce Lutz '23 Evan Maudlin '23
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cormac Burke '22 Annella Lyon '24
Cougars Stefan Anthony '22 Emily Guerin '25
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Camryn Lee '24 Brent Hu '25
Tarriers Jaden Unruh '22 Reed Kregenow '22
Garfield High School Garfield High School Colin Olson '22 Raymond Mcdavid '22
Bulldogs Soren Althoff '22 Alice Curtis '22
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Max Hanson '25 Zev Fort '25
Rams Iris Hochwalt '24 Esther Hulverstrom '23
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Zack Riccelli '23 Charlotte Yesser '23
Cardinals Teddy Gao '23 Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Thomas Buys '22 Shelby Lang '23
Wildcats Ryan Metz '22 Ej Boilek '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Ella Hubbard '22 Miles Kirkbride '22
Bears Peter Kelleher '22 [1-4, 7-10]
Sophia Hubbard '24 [5-6]		 Sophia Hubbard '24 [1-4]
Yuri Berebitsky '24 [5-10]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Ozzy Minard '23 Elle Schulz '22
Roughrider Elliot Dahlin '22 Jonathan Bridges '25
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Willy Walden '24 Charlotte Capel '24
Redhawks Lhotse Rowell '24 Ocean Smith '24
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Danny Juan '23 Levi Bailey '24
Rough Riders Owen Thomas '23 Kirin Dhaka '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mike Rogge '23 Cole Helms '24
Mariners Bailey Logan '23 Keagan Carrigan '24
The Downtown School The Downtown School Isabelle Mcnabb '22 Mira Shupe '22
Sockeye Salmon Francesca Dougherty '25 Mia Mcnabb '24

Conditions — 03/12/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1011.1 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 14.8 kn
Gusts to 29.9 kn
From SSE (148°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.4 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1011.1 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 14 kn · SE 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oak Harbor/South Whidbey: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oak Harbor/South Whidbey by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Oak Harbor/South Whidbey: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →