Seafarers Cup-GOLD

HostFidalgo Bay
Date04/23/2022
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	38	28	66
2	Bainbridge High School	Spartans	34	55	89
3	Ballard High School	Beavers	40	71	111
4	Olympia High School	Bears	44	71	115
5	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	48	79	127
6	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	85	83	168
7	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	109	100	209
8	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	131	106	237
9	Capital High School	Cougars	109	134 MRP	243 MRP
10	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	143	100	243
11	Sehome High School	Mariners	124	134	258
12	Kingston High School	Kraken	136	126	262
13	Anacortes High School	Seahawks	147	143	290
14	The Downtown School	Sockeye Salmon	125	169	294
15	Bellingham High School	Bayhawks	169	130	299
16	Hood River Valley High School	Eagles	163	137	300
17	Orcas High School	Vikings	220 MRP	214 MRP	434 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	4	2	3	2	6	2	5	5	2	1	1	1	34	Barrett Lhamon '22 [1-12] Ava Bergan '23 [1-10] Elliott Chalcraft '23 [11-12]
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	1	7	4	5	3	1	4	1	1	4	2	5	38	Jacob Posner '25 Levi Bailey '24
Ballard High School	Beavers	2	5	1	1	5	3	7	2	6	2	3	3	40	Dieter Creitz '25 Meimei Peterson '22
Olympia High School	Bears	6	1	5	4	1	4	1	4	5	7	4	2	44	Ella Hubbard '22 [1-6] Charlie Snyder '24 [7-12] Miles Kirkbride '22 [1-6]
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	5	3	2	3	2	8	3	3	4	6	5	4	48	Thomas Buys '22 Ej Boilek '22
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	7	8	12	8	4	5	2	6	7	5	12	9	85	Cormac Burke '22 Annella Lyon '24
Capital High School	Cougars	8	9	6	9	7	9	11	10	12	14	7	7	109	Robert Bloomfield '22 [1-12] Nick Heelan '22 [1-6] Ryan Solie '25 [7-12]
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	9	6	13	16	8	6	10	11	9	9	6	6	109	Nico Konyk '25 Matthew Embick '23
Sehome High School	Mariners	10	12	14	6	15	7	8	7	8	13	13	11	124	Mike Rogge '23 Cole Stebbens '24
The Downtown School	Sockeye Salmon	3	4	8	7	12	14	14	14	11	10	15	13	125	Isabelle Mcnabb '22 [1-4, 9-10] Ryan Curtis '24 [5-8, 11-12] Kermit Tonnes-Priddy '22 [1-4, 9-10]
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	12	11	7	17	13	10	13	8	10	12	8	10	131	Nolan Loverich '22 Maura Bascom '24
Kingston High School	Kraken	11	10	16	14	11	17	6	9	14	11	9	8	136	Victor Taylor '23 Leo Taylor '25
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	14	14	15	13	16	11	16	12	3	3	14	12	143	Willy Walden '24 Fiona Skidmore '24
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	13	16	10	12	14	12	9	13	15	8	11	14	147	Cassius Tossavainen '22 Hannah Mcreynolds '24
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles	16	15	11	15	10	13	12	15	13	DSQ	10	15	163	Fergie Waag '24 Fin Van Rutledge '25
Bellingham High School	Bayhawks	DNS	13	9	10	9	16	15	16	16	15	16	16	169	Maya Gray '22 Aili Vanyo '24
Orcas High School	Vikings	15	17	17	11	17	15	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	220 MRP	Moose Kinsey '24 Isaac Figueroa '25

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	RDG	6	1	2	1	2	4	1	2	1	1	1	28	Danny Juan '23 Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	4	1	4	1	3	9	15	4	4	4	3	3	55	Gianna Dewey '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12] Ben Stone '23 [3-4, 7-8] Jaya Wirth '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Elliott Chalcraft '23 [3-4, 7-8] Ben Stone '23 [11-12]
Olympia High School	Bears	5	2	7	4	2	12	8	9	7	11	2	2	71	Emy Kissick '25 [1-4] Peter Kelleher '22 [5-12] Evan Glasgow '22 [1-6] Sophia Hubbard '24 [7-12]
Ballard High School	Beavers	9	8	2	3	4	1	14	3	3	7	8	9	71	Catie Vandervort '22 [1-8] Sam Airhart '23 [9-12] Phoebe Howe '24 [1-6, 9-12] Sam Airhart '23 [7-8]
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	14	9	6	6	10	4	1	5	11	2	5	6	79	Ryan Metz '22 [1-12] Kaitlin Mann '23 [1-6] Allison Bailey '23 [7-12]
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	1	7	8	16	11	7	2	2	6	8	7	8	83	Jeffrey Scholfield '23 [1-12] Jessica Baugh '23 [1-6] Tanaya Justice '25 [7-12]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	10	14	5	8	9	8	6	7	1	12	9	11	100	Lhotse Rowell '24 Ava Butterfield '24
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	16	3	3	5	5	6	5	10	12	14	14	7	100	Finn Deprez '25 Kelsea Cowart '25
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	11	12	9	10	7	10	3	6	5	10	11	12	106	Owen Burnett '24 Sharkey Mckay '24
Kingston High School	Kraken	2	5	10	12	6	11	10	11	15	16	15	13	126	Shelby Chandler '25 Lena Bowen '23
Bellingham High School	Bayhawks	6	11	12	15	12	5	16	13	9	6	10	15	130	Ian Beatty '22 Evan Maudlin '23
Sehome High School	Mariners	3	4	17	14	15	17	13	12	8	3	12	16	134	Bailey Logan '23 Britton Sanford '23
Capital High School	Cougars	8	10	11	13	14	RDG	12	14	14	5	6	5	134 MRP	Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 Solomon Fitzgerald '22
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles	15	15	16	9	16	13	7	16	13	9	4	4	137	Kate Pauly '23 Ella Newton '22
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	13	13	14	7	8	16	11	15	10	13	13	10	143	Kayla Strandberg '23 Kirsha Khile '22
The Downtown School	Sockeye Salmon	17	16	15	11	17	15	9	8	16	15	16	14	169	Mira Shupe '22 [1-12] Mia Mcnabb '24 [1-10] Coleman Barnes '23 [11-12]
Orcas High School	Vikings	12	17	13	17	13	14	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	214 MRP	Dagny Kruger '25 Silas Kok '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A
Anacortes High School Seahawks	4	4	2	2	10	10	15	15	16	16	3	3
Bainbridge High School Spartans	7	7	14	14	17	17	6	6	8	8	9	9
Ballard High School Beavers	2	2	10	10	15	15	16	16	3	3	12	12
Bellingham High School Bayhawks	14	14	17	17	6	6	8	8	9	9	11	11
Capital High School Cougars	10	10	15	15	16	16	3	3	12	12	5	5
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	17	17	6	6	8	8	9	9	11	11	13	13
Gig Harbor High School Tides	15	15	16	16	3	3	12	12	5	5	1	1
Hood River Valley High School Eagles	6	6	8	8	9	9	11	11	13	13	4	4
Kingston High School Kraken	16	16	3	3	12	12	5	5	1	1	7	7
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	8	8	9	9	11	11	13	13	4	4	2	2
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	3	3	12	12	5	5	1	1	7	7	14	14
Olympia High School Bears	9	9	11	11	13	13	4	4	2	2	10	10
Orcas High School Vikings	12	12	5	5	1	1	7	7	14	14	17	17
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	11	11	13	13	4	4	2	2	10	10	15	15
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	5	5	1	1	7	7	14	14	17	17	6	6
Sehome High School Mariners	13	13	4	4	2	2	10	10	15	15	16	16
The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon	1	1	7	7	14	14	17	17	6	6	8	8

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B
Anacortes High School Seahawks	7	7	14	14	17	17	6	6	8	8	9	9
Bainbridge High School Spartans	2	2	10	10	15	15	16	16	3	3	12	12
Ballard High School Beavers	14	14	17	17	6	6	8	8	9	9	11	11
Bellingham High School Bayhawks	10	10	15	15	16	16	3	3	12	12	5	5
Capital High School Cougars	17	17	6	6	8	8	9	9	11	11	13	13
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	15	15	16	16	3	3	12	12	5	5	1	1
Gig Harbor High School Tides	6	6	8	8	9	9	11	11	13	13	4	4
Hood River Valley High School Eagles	16	16	3	3	12	12	5	5	1	1	7	7
Kingston High School Kraken	8	8	9	9	11	11	13	13	4	4	2	2
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	3	3	12	12	5	5	1	1	7	7	14	14
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	9	9	11	11	13	13	4	4	2	2	10	10
Olympia High School Bears	12	12	5	5	1	1	7	7	14	14	17	17
Orcas High School Vikings	11	11	13	13	4	4	2	2	10	10	15	15
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	5	5	1	1	7	7	14	14	17	17	6	6
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	13	13	4	4	2	2	10	10	15	15	16	16
Sehome High School Mariners	1	1	7	7	14	14	17	17	6	6	8	8
The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon	4	4	2	2	10	10	15	15	16	16	3	3

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Cassius Tossavainen '22	Hannah Mcreynolds '24
Seahawks	Kayla Strandberg '23	Kirsha Khile '22
Bainbridge High School	Barrett Lhamon '22 [1-12]	Ava Bergan '23 [1-10] Elliott Chalcraft '23 [11-12]
Spartans	Gianna Dewey '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12] Ben Stone '23 [3-4, 7-8]	Jaya Wirth '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Elliott Chalcraft '23 [3-4, 7-8] Ben Stone '23 [11-12]
Ballard High School	Dieter Creitz '25	Meimei Peterson '22
Beavers	Catie Vandervort '22 [1-8] Sam Airhart '23 [9-12]	Phoebe Howe '24 [1-6, 9-12] Sam Airhart '23 [7-8]
Bellingham High School	Maya Gray '22	Aili Vanyo '24
Bayhawks	Ian Beatty '22	Evan Maudlin '23
Capital High School	Robert Bloomfield '22 [1-12]	Nick Heelan '22 [1-6] Ryan Solie '25 [7-12]
Cougars	Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23	Solomon Fitzgerald '22
Central Kitsap High School	Cormac Burke '22	Annella Lyon '24
Cougars	Jeffrey Scholfield '23 [1-12]	Jessica Baugh '23 [1-6] Tanaya Justice '25 [7-12]
Gig Harbor High School	Nico Konyk '25	Matthew Embick '23
Tides	Finn Deprez '25	Kelsea Cowart '25
Hood River Valley High School	Fergie Waag '24	Fin Van Rutledge '25
Eagles	Kate Pauly '23	Ella Newton '22
Kingston High School	Victor Taylor '23	Leo Taylor '25
Kraken	Shelby Chandler '25	Lena Bowen '23
North Kitsap High School	Nolan Loverich '22	Maura Bascom '24
Dogfish	Owen Burnett '24	Sharkey Mckay '24
Oak Harbor High School	Thomas Buys '22	Ej Boilek '22
Wildcats	Ryan Metz '22 [1-12]	Kaitlin Mann '23 [1-6] Allison Bailey '23 [7-12]
Olympia High School	Ella Hubbard '22 [1-6] Charlie Snyder '24 [7-12]	Miles Kirkbride '22 [1-6]
Bears	Emy Kissick '25 [1-4] Peter Kelleher '22 [5-12]	Evan Glasgow '22 [1-6] Sophia Hubbard '24 [7-12]
Orcas High School	Moose Kinsey '24	Isaac Figueroa '25
Vikings	Dagny Kruger '25	Silas Kok '25
Port Townsend High School	Willy Walden '24	Fiona Skidmore '24
Redhawks	Lhotse Rowell '24	Ava Butterfield '24
Roosevelt High School	Jacob Posner '25	Levi Bailey '24
Rough Riders	Danny Juan '23	Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Sehome High School	Mike Rogge '23	Cole Stebbens '24
Mariners	Bailey Logan '23	Britton Sanford '23
The Downtown School	Isabelle Mcnabb '22 [1-4, 9-10] Ryan Curtis '24 [5-8, 11-12]	Kermit Tonnes-Priddy '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Sockeye Salmon	Mira Shupe '22 [1-12]	Mia Mcnabb '24 [1-10] Coleman Barnes '23 [11-12]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Seafarers Cup-GOLD

Division A

Division B

From the notes