420A - 2023 Zimba MBL Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 11 11
2 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 15 15
3 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 15 15
4 Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 17 17
5 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 19 19
6 The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 21 21
7 Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers 30 30
8 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 4 32 32
9 Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids 39 39
10 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 40 40
11 Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 43 43
12 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 45 45
13 Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 51 51
14 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 52 52
15 Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity 54 54
16 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 58 58
17 Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 64 64
18 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 65 65
19 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 74 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 1 6 1 3 11 Carter Knight '23
Audra Murray '24
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 2 BYE 4 5 15 Derek Kirby '25
Kai Boudreau '24
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 4 1 8 2 15 Henry Do '23
Vidhur Busannagari '23
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 6 2 3 6 17 Stefan Rosenfeld '23
Mary Lee '25
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 5 3 7 4 19 Zach Bender '24
Summer Mills '23
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 10 4 6 1 21 Savanna Hurd '27
Deedee Ansari '24
Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers 11 9 2 8 30 Elinor Grant '27
Tobias Otting '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 4 8 8 9 7 32 Abe Lincoln '26
Unregcrew '26
Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids 3 7 13 16 39 Adara Trout '23
Anna Lu '26
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 9 12 10 9 40 Frances Sailor '24
Fred Sailor '23
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 16 5 11 11 43 Luna Valayannopoulos-Akrivou <Lvalayannopoulos-Akrivou '23
Emi Rodes '24
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 12 13 5 15 45 Ian Carlin '24
Cole Cote '25
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 7 14 18 12 51 Audrey Smith '26
Bran James '24
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 13 11 15 13 52 Max Boni '23
Caroline White '23
Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity 14 10 16 14 54 Adam Booth '24
Ari Zukerman '24
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 18 16 14 10 58 Sarah Lindgren '25
Ana Dimitrov '25
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 15 15 17 17 64 Sophie Moynihan '26
Jenny Chen '25
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 17 17 12 19 65 Ralph Snodsmith '23
Sally Clapsaddle '24
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 19 18 19 18 74 Cosette Fay '23
Noran Kennedy '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights18181818
Beaver Country Day SchoolBeaver Country Day School Beavers17171717
Boston Latin SchoolBoston Latin School Wolfpack16161616
Cambridge R&L SchoolCambridge R&L School Falcons15151515
Commonwealth SchoolCommonwealth School Mermaids14141414
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons13131313
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Hingham12121212
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors11111111
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks9999
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles6666
The Winsor SchoolThe Winsor School Winsor Wildcats2222
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 110101010
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 28888
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 37777
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 41111
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Wayland Varsity5555
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raiders4444
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems3333
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights Max Boni '23 Caroline White '23
Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers Elinor Grant '27 Tobias Otting '23
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack Stefan Rosenfeld '23 Mary Lee '25
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons Luna Valayannopoulos-Akrivou <Lvalayannopoulos-Akrivou '23 Emi Rodes '24
Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids Adara Trout '23 Anna Lu '26
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons Derek Kirby '25 Kai Boudreau '24
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham Audrey Smith '26 Bran James '24
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors Sophie Moynihan '26 Jenny Chen '25
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets Ian Carlin '24 Cole Cote '25
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks Sarah Lindgren '25 Ana Dimitrov '25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles Henry Do '23 Vidhur Busannagari '23
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats Savanna Hurd '27 Deedee Ansari '24
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 Frances Sailor '24 Fred Sailor '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 Cosette Fay '23 Noran Kennedy '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 Ralph Snodsmith '23 Sally Clapsaddle '24
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 4 Abe Lincoln '26 Unregcrew '26
Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity Adam Booth '24 Ari Zukerman '24
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders Zach Bender '24 Summer Mills '23
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems Carter Knight '23 Audra Murray '24

Conditions — 05/22/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From NE (54°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sharon: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.36 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Sharon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →