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VISA CCS Fleet Regatta 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 12 8 20
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 16 15 31
3 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 13 24 37
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 47 36 83
5 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 27 59 86
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 48 40 88
7 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 33 57 90
8 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 53 41 94
9 York High School York High School Falcons 62 42 104
10 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 57 65 MRP 122 MRP
11 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 59 65 124
12 Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 68 72 140
13 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 70 73 143
14 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 73 78 151
15 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 102 83 185
16 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 114 MRP 113 MRP 227 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 12 Wylder Smith '27
Cameron Kinnear '24
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 2 4 1 3 1 2 13 Leila Pfrang '25
Josie Brindley '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 1 4 1 3 4 16 Jordan Viera '24
Laura Smitt '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 5 3 3 4 7 5 27 Pierce Brindley '24
Daphne Ambrosino '27
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 4 7 6 6 9 1 33 Chloe Anderson '24
Caleb Kyle '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 9 12 7 5 8 6 47 Kiana Beachy '24
Tucker Peltier '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 6 6 10 9 6 11 48 Duncan Hardy '27 [1-2]
Simone Moss '25 [3-6]
Chloe Shurr '25 [1-2]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 11 5 5 8 11 13 53 Gp Keating '27
Nicholas Cromartie '27
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 13 8 9 14 5 8 57 Ryan Stokes '28
Chase Young '28
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 12 9 11 10 10 7 59 Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-6]
Colin Moorhouse '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Rylie Bowen '27 [3-4]
York High School York High School Falcons 7 13 12 7 14 9 62 Liam Burke '27
Tyler Compton '29
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 10 11 13 11 13 10 68 Sophia Lopez '30
Rozlyn Theriault '29
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 14 14 14 12 4 12 70 Nathan Libby '26
Thomas Bloys '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 8 10 8 13 DNS DNS 73 Cam Brewer '24
Jackson Raymond '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 102 Caspian Collett '25 [1-2, 5]
Annika Fox '27 [3-4, 6]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [1-2, 5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS 12 14 114 MRP Cam Brewer '24
Jackson Raymond '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 8 Paul Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-6]
Laura Smitt '26 [1-2]
Adelaide Matzky '25 [3-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 15 Elliott Lipp '26
Bennett Moss '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 3 11 2 3 2 3 24 Sarah Moore '29
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 5 6 5 7 9 4 36 Alex Salzberg '25
Finian Bohan '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 4 3 6 4 6 OCS 40 Jackson Mcgrady '26 [1-6]
Jacob Carey '26 [1-4]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [5-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 10 4 4 8 10 5 41 Gian Bertozzi Castro '25 [1-6]
Millicent Branflick '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [3-4]
York High School York High School Falcons 8 8 7 6 7 6 42 Felix Susta '27
Nathan Shaw '27
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 6 10 11 12 1 RAF 57 Kieran Mason '26 [1-5]
Caleb Kyle '25 [6]
Tyler Slemp '25 [1-5]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 9 9 9 10 5 DSQ 59 Charlie Moore '27
Patrick Bielewicz '28
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 7 5 8 5 13 7 65 MRP Angelo Bellecci '25
Michael Wattenbarger '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 13 12 12 11 8 9 65 Lillian Rippel '25
Lenox Wakefield '27
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 12 13 10 15 11 11 72 Dylan Thomas '28 [1-2, 5]
Raquel Theriault '26 [3-4, 6]
Raquel Theriault '26 [1-2, 5]
Dylan Thomas '28 [3-4, 6]
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 11 14 13 13 14 8 73 Levi Stillman '25
Justina Reynolds '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 14 7 14 9 DNS DNS 78 Brett Clemmey '27
Riddick Walton '26
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 15 15 15 14 12 12 83 No Show
No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS 15 10 113 MRP Brett Clemmey '27
Riddick Walton '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1113355
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2224466
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3335577
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4446688
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1557799
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 266881010
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors77991111
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 18810101212
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2161616161616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks9911111313
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms101012121414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1111113131515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21212141411
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers1313151522
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons14141133
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons15152244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1224466
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2335577
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3446688
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4557799
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 166881010
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 277991111
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8810101212
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 19911111313
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2161616161616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks101012121414
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms111113131515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11212141411
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21313151522
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers14141133
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons15152244
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Wylder Smith '27 Cameron Kinnear '24
Seahorses 1 Paul Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-6] Laura Smitt '26 [1-2]
Adelaide Matzky '25 [3-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Jordan Viera '24 Laura Smitt '26
Seahorses 2 Elliott Lipp '26 Bennett Moss '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Duncan Hardy '27 [1-2]
Simone Moss '25 [3-6]		 Chloe Shurr '25 [1-2]
Seahorses 3 Jackson Mcgrady '26 [1-6] Jacob Carey '26 [1-4]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [5-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Gp Keating '27 Nicholas Cromartie '27
Seahorses 4 Gian Bertozzi Castro '25 [1-6] Millicent Branflick '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Leila Pfrang '25 Josie Brindley '26
Navigators 1 Sarah Moore '29 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Pierce Brindley '24 Daphne Ambrosino '27
Navigators 2 Charlie Moore '27 Patrick Bielewicz '28
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Chloe Anderson '24 Caleb Kyle '25
Warriors Kieran Mason '26 [1-5]
Caleb Kyle '25 [6]		 Tyler Slemp '25 [1-5]
Maury High School Maury High School Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-6] Colin Moorhouse '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Rylie Bowen '27 [3-4]
Commodores 1 Lillian Rippel '25 Lenox Wakefield '27
Maury High School Maury High School Caspian Collett '25 [1-2, 5]
Annika Fox '27 [3-4, 6]		 Charlotte Mccoy '24 [1-2, 5]
Commodores 2 No Show No Show
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Kiana Beachy '24 Tucker Peltier '26
Oaks Alex Salzberg '25 Finian Bohan '27
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Ryan Stokes '28 Chase Young '28
Phantoms Angelo Bellecci '25 Michael Wattenbarger '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cam Brewer '24 Jackson Raymond '27
Islanders 1 Brett Clemmey '27 Riddick Walton '26
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cam Brewer '24 Jackson Raymond '27
Islanders 2 Brett Clemmey '27 Riddick Walton '26
Tabb High School Tabb High School Sophia Lopez '30 Rozlyn Theriault '29
Tigers Dylan Thomas '28 [1-2, 5]
Raquel Theriault '26 [3-4, 6]		 Raquel Theriault '26 [1-2, 5]
Dylan Thomas '28 [3-4, 6]
The Hague School The Hague School Nathan Libby '26 Thomas Bloys '24
Tritons Levi Stillman '25 Justina Reynolds '24
York High School York High School Liam Burke '27 Tyler Compton '29
Falcons Felix Susta '27 Nathan Shaw '27

Conditions — 05/04/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From E (84°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.27 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Christchurch, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →