MDISA Spring 2024 Varsity Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 25 10 35
2 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 24 25 49
3 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 34 25 59
4 Key School Key School Zags 15 59 74
5 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 25 49 74
6 Gunston Gunston Herons 45 36 81
7 Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 53 32 85
8 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 37 51 88
9 Montgomery Blair High School Montgomery Blair High School Blazers 52 49 101
10 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 53 57 110
11 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 61 56 117
12 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 64 56 120
13 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 75 55 130
14 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 69 70 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Key School Key School Zags 2 1 2 2 1 7 15 Mason Cook '25
Maya Kirshtein '26
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 12 5 1 1 2 3 24 Beatrice De Santo '24
Eliza Szymendera '25
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 3 2 6 4 4 6 25 Will Clay '25
James Lilyquist '24
Severn School Severn School Admirals 8 3 5 3 5 1 25 Sam De Los Reyes '26
Kate Castleberry '24
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 6 4 3 5 8 8 34 Scott Opert '24
Molly Dowling '25
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 1 8 7 9 3 9 37 Halsey Carter '26
Aurelea Cerny '30
Gunston Gunston Herons 11 6 8 8 7 5 45 Matthew Periconi '24
Preston Allen '27
Montgomery Blair High School Montgomery Blair High School Blazers 5 13 9 11 10 4 52 Jack Sieg '24
Min Chi Chao '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 7 9 4 6 DSQ 12 53 James Biles V '27
Teagan Leigh '28
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 10 10 10 7 6 10 53 Luke Petry '27 [1-6]
Leif Carney '25 [1-2]
Kara Panjrath '26 [3-6]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 12 14 DSQ 9 2 61 Ann Martino '26
Sarina Muto '27
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 4 11 11 12 13 13 64 Clara Neeland '26
Lily Moss '25
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 14 7 13 10 11 14 69 Shane Churilla '25 [1-6]
Ricardo Shayer '25 [1-4]
Grace Shields '25 [5-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 13 14 12 13 12 11 75 Abigail Burritt '25
Tanner Dalton '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 2 3 2 10 Nathan Long '24
Jack Lefever-Farino '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 3 6 3 8 2 3 25 Adam Nilsson '25
Mac Fitzgerald '24
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 9 3 2 3 4 4 25 Sophie Griggs '24
Maggie Dowling '27
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 10 5 4 7 1 5 32 William Lindsley '24 [1-6]
Jonah Molinoff '25 [1-2]
Caitlin Costello '24 [3-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 4 7 13 4 7 1 36 Tommy Mcgeady '25
Justin Mccubbin '25
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 4 10 9 13 11 49 Giovanni Grandi '25
Jared Werner '25
Montgomery Blair High School Montgomery Blair High School Blazers 8 13 6 6 10 6 49 Eleanore Sieving '27 [1-6]
Georgia Neaderland '26 [1-2]
Morgan Rathjen '24 [3-6]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 5 8 14 11 5 8 51 Charlotte Hugo '26
James Chapman '27
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 9 11 10 11 7 55 Erin Lawlor '26 [1-4]
Rosie Benson '27 [5-6]
Felicia Gomoljak '26 [1-4]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 11 10 9 1 12 13 56 Fiona O'Rourke '28
Cameron Love '27
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 13 2 8 13 6 14 56 Charles Geraghty '26 [1-6]
Charlotte Ryan '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Groszkowski '26 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 6 11 12 5 14 9 57 Zachary Wells '25
Adalyn Biles '27
Key School Key School Zags 12 12 5 12 8 10 59 Mary Hayes Cobbum '27
Ben Coster '31
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 14 14 7 14 9 12 70 Phoebe Milhollin '24 [1-2]
Marco Gessner Pilotto '25 [3-6]
Sara Corbett '25 [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers113355
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins224466
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets335577
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers557799
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers66881010
Key SchoolKey School Zags77991111
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders8810101212
Montgomery Blair High SchoolMontgomery Blair High School Blazers9911111313
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals101012121414
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks1111131311
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs1212141422
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints13131133
GunstonGunston Herons446688
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings14142244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224466
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins335577
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets446688
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers66881010
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers77991111
Key SchoolKey School Zags8810101212
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders9911111313
Montgomery Blair High SchoolMontgomery Blair High School Blazers101012121414
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1111131311
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks1212141422
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs13131133
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints14142244
GunstonGunston Herons557799
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Ann Martino '26 Sarina Muto '27
Cavaliers Charles Geraghty '26 [1-6] Charlotte Ryan '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Groszkowski '26 [3-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Abigail Burritt '25 Tanner Dalton '25
Bruins Erin Lawlor '26 [1-4]
Rosie Benson '27 [5-6]
Felicia Gomoljak '26 [1-4]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Beatrice De Santo '24 Eliza Szymendera '25
Hornets Adam Nilsson '25 Mac Fitzgerald '24
Gunston Gunston Matthew Periconi '24 Preston Allen '27
Herons Tommy Mcgeady '25 Justin Mccubbin '25
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Luke Petry '27 [1-6] Leif Carney '25 [1-2]
Kara Panjrath '26 [3-6]
Tigers William Lindsley '24 [1-6] Jonah Molinoff '25 [1-2]
Caitlin Costello '24 [3-6]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School James Biles V '27 Teagan Leigh '28
Buccaneers Zachary Wells '25 Adalyn Biles '27
Key School Key School Mason Cook '25 Maya Kirshtein '26
Zags Mary Hayes Cobbum '27 Ben Coster '31
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Will Clay '25 James Lilyquist '24
Raiders Giovanni Grandi '25 Jared Werner '25
Montgomery Blair High School Montgomery Blair High School Jack Sieg '24 Min Chi Chao '27
Blazers Eleanore Sieving '27 [1-6] Georgia Neaderland '26 [1-2]
Morgan Rathjen '24 [3-6]
Severn School Severn School Sam De Los Reyes '26 Kate Castleberry '24
Admirals Nathan Long '24 Jack Lefever-Farino '24
South River High School South River High School Clara Neeland '26 Lily Moss '25
Seahawks Fiona O'Rourke '28 Cameron Love '27
Southern High School Southern High School Scott Opert '24 Molly Dowling '25
Bulldogs Sophie Griggs '24 Maggie Dowling '27
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Halsey Carter '26 Aurelea Cerny '30
Saints Charlotte Hugo '26 James Chapman '27
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Shane Churilla '25 [1-6] Ricardo Shayer '25 [1-4]
Grace Shields '25 [5-6]
Vikings Phoebe Milhollin '24 [1-2]
Marco Gessner Pilotto '25 [3-6]
Sara Corbett '25 [1-2]

Conditions — 05/19/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1015.4 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From NE (34°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1015.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →