New Trier HS '15
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.75 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 14 | Fall 2014 |
| Keelboat | 0.93 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 5 | Fall 2014 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 (fleet 2.26) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 22–20 (52%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 | 3 | 22–20 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (26 matches) the record is 12–14 against 16.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 8 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-23 | NIT Regatta "Founders Trophy" | skipper | 1.94 | -1.75 | 1–9 | 5.5 | −3.69 | 7.8 | >99% |
| 2015-05-16 | Baker Qualifier | skipper | 1.87 | 2.06 | 11–5 | 10.5 | +0.19 | 0.0 | 52% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| NIT Regatta "Founders Trophy" | Skipper | TR | 14 | 14% | — |
| MISSA Mallory Central Qualifier | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.1 | 2.69 |
| HS Invite - Baker Central Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 16 | 62% | — |
| Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 16 | 69% | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| MISSA Keel Boat Qualifier Keelboat | Skipper | A | 5 | 2.4 | 1.81 |
| MISSA Halloween Spectacular - V | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.9 | 1.64 |
| MISSA Cressy Trophy QualifierRadial Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 12.4 | 1.00 |
| Kick Off Classic (Radials) 2014 Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 5 | 13.4 | -1.56 |
| Great Lakes Championships | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.2 | 1.33 |
| Autumn Classic | Skipper | A | 5 | 13.4 | 0.09 |
| 2014 Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.5 | 0.40 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| MISSA Mallory Qualifiers 2014 | Crew | A, B | 6 | 8.5 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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