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MISSA Halloween Spectacular - V

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 36 33 69
2 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 43 31 74
3 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 39 53 92
4 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 56 53 109
5 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 66 53 119
6 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 79 59 138
7 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 69 90 159
8 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 93 71 164
9 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity 103 68 171
10 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 61 112 173
11 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 98 103 201
12 Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 111 MRP 101 MRP 212 MRP
13 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity 109 106 215
14 Culver Academies Culver Academies White 109 123 232
15 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Varsity 137 123 260
16 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 131 129 260
17 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 126 145 MRP 271 MRP
18 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 124 MRP 150 MRP 274 MRP
19 Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity 170 171 341
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 9 8 3 1 1 4 6 1 3 36 Tom Groskopf '15 [1-9]
Megan Grosspietsch '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Gina Morris '16 [3-4, 7-9]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 5 2 4 6 5 9 3 2 39 R J Porter '15 [1-9]
Clare Perry '15 [1-4, 6-9]
Tom Griffin '15 [5]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 8 12 4 2 2 2 2 4 7 43 Jack Behrend '16
Maddie Crucius '20
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 2 7 9 8 11 3 3 5 8 56 Jack Schweda '20 [1-9]
Hayden Frentzel '16 [1-6]
Katie Carlson '18 [7-9]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 6 1 13 7 8 7 5 10 4 61 Dirk Phelps '15
Emma Hawley '16
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 11 1 3 12 6 12 7 9 66 Bailey Cornog '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Colin Richards '15 [5-6, 9]
Katie Lowenbaum '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Caroline O'Malley '17 [5-6, 9]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 7 3 12 11 17 11 1 2 5 69 William Curtiss '16 [1-4, 7-9]
Skye Shepherd '16 [5-6]
Matt Hall '16 [1-2]
Johnmichael Eckert '17 [3-4, 7-9]
Su Yardimci '18 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 14 6 15 10 3 1 8 6 16 79 Lily Loosbrock '17 [1-9]
Ally Frank '16 [1-8]
Berette Mcnaught '16 [9]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 11 10 14 6 5 13 18 15 1 93 Allie Cahn '16
Emma Hyer '18
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 10 16 11 5 4 10 14 17 11 98 Kate O'Donnell '15 [1-9]
Anna Cole '16 [1-6]
Bridget Groble '17 [7-9]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity 17 13 8 15 14 15 4 11 6 103 Phoebe Lincoln '16 [1-9]
Michael Hellie '18 [1-6]
Sam Morin '18 [7-9]
Culver Academies Culver Academies White 4 15 16 12 16 9 11 12 14 109 Wyatt Clark '15
Elaina Lambright '15
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity 16 9 10 9 7 DNF 10 18 10 109 Justin Lovell '17
Kate Robertson '17
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 1 14 6 13 13 12 7 13 12 111 MRP No Show
No Show
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 13 4 5 14 15 8 16 14 15 124 MRP Gloria Kevliciute '17 [1-9]
Caroline Bernet '17 [1-4, 9]
Lucie Mcknight '17 [5-8]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 19 19 7 18 9 DNF 13 8 13 126 Logan Pearlman '16 [1]
Gavin Adams '15 [2-9]
Cole Schilling '15 [1]
Irene Dobbs '15 [2-4, 7, 9]
Logan Pearlman '16 [5-6]
Emma Zastrow '16 [8]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 15 2 17 16 18 14 15 16 18 131 Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16
Cj Enright '17
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Varsity 12 17 18 17 10 DNF 17 9 17 137 Maya Stephani '16
Diego Serrano '16
Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity 18 18 19 19 19 DNF 19 19 19 170 Matt Sheerin '16
Ian Reed '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 1 6 3 3 4 4 1 1 8 31 Alex Keck '17 [1-2, 5-9]
Christian Spencer '18 [3-4]
Myles Murphy '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Jp Munich '17 [3-4, 7-9]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 2 4 2 1 3 1 8 9 3 33 Carolyn Keck '15 [1-9]
Pauline Brown '15 [1-8]
Megan Grosspietsch '16 [9]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 3 1 9 2 3 10 10 11 53 Christian Koules '15 [1-9]
Sarah Wright '15 [1-4, 7-9]
Alex Fowkes '16 [5-6]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 5 9 7 11 5 7 5 2 2 53 Jonathan Bailey '18
Chloe Frentzel '17
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 9 10 4 4 1 2 6 5 12 53 Griffin Elliott '15 [1-9]
Tom Griffin '15 [1]
Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [2, 7-9]
Owen Hall '16 [3-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 10 14 5 2 6 10 2 4 6 59 Conrad (Cort) Vandlik '17 [1-9]
Ashley Huynh '15 [1-2, 5-6, 8-9]
Berette Mcnaught '16 [3-4, 7]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity 7 1 9 6 8 14 3 15 5 68 Colleen Baumann '17 [1-9]
Lillian Nemeth '18 [1-4, 7-9]
Sam Morin '18 [5-6]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 6 12 10 7 7 6 9 13 1 71 Will Davies '18 [1-6]
Zach Schenkman '15 [7-9]
Leah Peluchiwski '16 [1-6]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 12 2 18 12 13 9 13 7 4 90 Joey Manning '17 [1-2, 7-9]
Chris Guido '16 [3-6]
Riley Mcdonnell '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Skye Shepherd '16 [3-4]
Su Yardimci '18 [7-9]
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School Varsity 3 5 6 5 OCS 8 11 16 7 101 MRP No Show
No Show
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 8 11 17 18 11 5 7 12 14 103 Abby Mcfadyen '16 [1-2, 5-9]
Ray Groble '17 [3-4]
Bridget Groble '17 [1-4]
Isabella Lorenz '16 [5-9]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity 17 16 14 13 10 16 4 3 13 106 Connor Goulet '17
Sarah Reid '16
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 11 18 11 8 12 15 14 14 9 112 Jack Shields '15 [1-9]
Jackson Mckay '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Celeste Anderson '17 [3-4, 7-9]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Varsity 13 7 16 15 17 18 12 8 17 123 Delaney Hybl '18
Trevor Hughes '17
Culver Academies Culver Academies White 14 8 8 10 16 17 15 17 18 123 James Jamieson '15 [1-9]
Ruohan "Claire" Xiao '15 [1-6]
Jiaying "Jenny" Wang '15 [7-9]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 15 17 15 17 14 13 17 6 15 129 Amanda Bronson '16
Cal Bronson '17
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity DNS 15 12 14 15 12 16 11 10 145 MRP No Show [1]
James Zampa '16 [2-9]
No Show [1]
Rowan Henke '17 [2, 7-9]
Emma Zastrow '16 [3-4]
Cole Schilling '15 [5-6]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 16 13 13 16 9 11 18 18 16 150 MRP Peter Odom '17 [1-9]
Natalie Gastevich '16 [1-4, 9]
Caroline Fairbanks '17 [5-8]
Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity DNF 19 19 19 18 19 19 19 19 171 Blake Weglarz '16 [1-6]
Chris Murphy '15 [7-9]
Chris Murphy '15 [1-6]
Blake Weglarz '16 [7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks113355779
Brother Rice High School - ILBrother Rice High School - IL Varsity2244668810
Catholic Memorial High SchoolCatholic Memorial High School Varsity3355779911
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity18181133557
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies White446688101012
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Varsity557799111113
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity66881010121214
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity77991111131315
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Varsity8810101212141416
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity9911111313151517
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts101012121414161618
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity111113131515171719
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers12121414161618181
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers13131515171719192
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian141416161818113
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons151517171919224
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1616181811335
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Varsity1717191922446
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity19192244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks2244668810
Brother Rice High School - ILBrother Rice High School - IL Varsity3355779911
Catholic Memorial High SchoolCatholic Memorial High School Varsity446688101012
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity19192244668
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies White557799111113
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Varsity66881010121214
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity77991111131315
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity8810101212141416
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Varsity9911111313151517
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity101012121414161618
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts111113131515171719
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity12121414161618181
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers13131515171719192
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers141416161818113
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian151517171919224
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons1616181811335
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1717191922446
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Varsity18181133557
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity113355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Jack Schweda '20 [1-9] Hayden Frentzel '16 [1-6]
Katie Carlson '18 [7-9]
Warhawks Jonathan Bailey '18 Chloe Frentzel '17
Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Matt Sheerin '16 Ian Reed '17
Varsity Blake Weglarz '16 [1-6]
Chris Murphy '15 [7-9]		 Chris Murphy '15 [1-6]
Blake Weglarz '16 [7-9]
Catholic Memorial High School Catholic Memorial High School No Show No Show
Varsity No Show No Show
Culver Academies Culver Academies Wyatt Clark '15 Elaina Lambright '15
White James Jamieson '15 [1-9] Ruohan "Claire" Xiao '15 [1-6]
Jiaying "Jenny" Wang '15 [7-9]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Justin Lovell '17 Kate Robertson '17
Varsity Connor Goulet '17 Sarah Reid '16
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Logan Pearlman '16 [1]
Gavin Adams '15 [2-9]		 Cole Schilling '15 [1]
Irene Dobbs '15 [2-4, 7, 9]
Logan Pearlman '16 [5-6]
Emma Zastrow '16 [8]
Varsity No Show [1]
James Zampa '16 [2-9]		 No Show [1]
Rowan Henke '17 [2, 7-9]
Emma Zastrow '16 [3-4]
Cole Schilling '15 [5-6]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16 Cj Enright '17
Varsity Amanda Bronson '16 Cal Bronson '17
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Maya Stephani '16 Diego Serrano '16
Varsity Delaney Hybl '18 Trevor Hughes '17
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Jack Behrend '16 Maddie Crucius '20
Varsity Alex Keck '17 [1-2, 5-9]
Christian Spencer '18 [3-4]		 Myles Murphy '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Jp Munich '17 [3-4, 7-9]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School William Curtiss '16 [1-4, 7-9]
Skye Shepherd '16 [5-6]		 Matt Hall '16 [1-2]
Johnmichael Eckert '17 [3-4, 7-9]
Su Yardimci '18 [5-6]
Scouts Joey Manning '17 [1-2, 7-9]
Chris Guido '16 [3-6]		 Riley Mcdonnell '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Skye Shepherd '16 [3-4]
Su Yardimci '18 [7-9]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Allie Cahn '16 Emma Hyer '18
Varsity Will Davies '18 [1-6]
Zach Schenkman '15 [7-9]		 Leah Peluchiwski '16 [1-6]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy R J Porter '15 [1-9] Clare Perry '15 [1-4, 6-9]
Tom Griffin '15 [5]
Ramblers Griffin Elliott '15 [1-9] Tom Griffin '15 [1]
Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [2, 7-9]
Owen Hall '16 [3-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lily Loosbrock '17 [1-9] Ally Frank '16 [1-8]
Berette Mcnaught '16 [9]
Skippers Conrad (Cort) Vandlik '17 [1-9] Ashley Huynh '15 [1-2, 5-6, 8-9]
Berette Mcnaught '16 [3-4, 7]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Bailey Cornog '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Colin Richards '15 [5-6, 9]		 Katie Lowenbaum '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Caroline O'Malley '17 [5-6, 9]
Trevian Christian Koules '15 [1-9] Sarah Wright '15 [1-4, 7-9]
Alex Fowkes '16 [5-6]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Tom Groskopf '15 [1-9] Megan Grosspietsch '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Gina Morris '16 [3-4, 7-9]
Raccoons Carolyn Keck '15 [1-9] Pauline Brown '15 [1-8]
Megan Grosspietsch '16 [9]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Kate O'Donnell '15 [1-9] Anna Cole '16 [1-6]
Bridget Groble '17 [7-9]
Wolfpack Abby Mcfadyen '16 [1-2, 5-9]
Ray Groble '17 [3-4]		 Bridget Groble '17 [1-4]
Isabella Lorenz '16 [5-9]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Dirk Phelps '15 Emma Hawley '16
Varsity Jack Shields '15 [1-9] Jackson Mckay '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Celeste Anderson '17 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Phoebe Lincoln '16 [1-9] Michael Hellie '18 [1-6]
Sam Morin '18 [7-9]
Varsity Colleen Baumann '17 [1-9] Lillian Nemeth '18 [1-4, 7-9]
Sam Morin '18 [5-6]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Gloria Kevliciute '17 [1-9] Caroline Bernet '17 [1-4, 9]
Lucie Mcknight '17 [5-8]
Varsity Peter Odom '17 [1-9] Natalie Gastevich '16 [1-4, 9]
Caroline Fairbanks '17 [5-8]

Conditions — 10/25/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1013.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn · E 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Lake Forest Sailing: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Forest Sailing by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Lake Forest Sailing, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →