Autumn Classic

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 7 23 30
2 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 29 14 43
3 New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 1 28 21 49
4 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 35 17 52
5 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 37 21 58
6 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 22 40 62
7 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 28 66 94
8 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 29 69 98
9 New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 2 67 33 100
10 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 52 53 105
11 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 1 63 42 105
12 Culver Academies Culver Academies White 72 42 114
13 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 2 61 55 116
14 Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 53 69 122
15 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity 69 55 124
16 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 61 84 145
17 Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 74 78 152
18 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 82 88 170
19 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 81 94 175
20 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 96 86 182
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 1 2 1 1 7 Jack Bitney '15
Jacob Siegel '15
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 3 7 8 2 2 22 Carolyn Keck '15
Margaret Finco '15
New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 1 5 2 13 3 5 28 Bailey Cornog '15
Katie Lowenbaum '17
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 6 5 5 5 7 28 William Curtiss '16
Johnmichael Eckert '17
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 4 11 9 4 29 Jack Schweda '20 [1-5]
Gavin Burkhart '16 [1-4]
Hayden Frentzel '16 [5]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 9 RDG 1 4 9 29 Jack Behrend '16
Maddie Crucius '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 7 16 3 6 3 35 R J Porter '15 [1-5]
Kelsey Donahue '16 [1-4]
Tom Griffin '15 [5]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 4 6 6 10 11 37 Mark Davies '16
Leah Peluchiwski '16
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 10 9 14 7 12 52 Dirk Phelps '15
Emma Hawley '16
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 8 3 17 11 14 53 Lizzie Easter '15
Jack Erickson '17
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 11 14 4 15 17 61 Sabina Van Mel '15
Yusuf Mallick '15
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 2 18 17 12 8 6 61 Abby Mcfadyen '16
Molly Mccarthy '15
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 1 15 20 7 13 8 63 Siri Anderson '15
Ray Groble '17
New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 2 14 8 16 16 13 67 Christian Koules '15
Alex Fowkes '16
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity 12 10 19 12 16 69 Phoebe Lincoln '16
Michael Hellie '18
Culver Academies Culver Academies White 13 12 9 19 19 72 Wyatt Clark '15
Elaina Lambright '15
Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 16 19 10 14 15 74 Mitchell Clark '16
Brooke Ostrowski '18
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 20 15 18 18 10 81 Colleen Wiechart '15 [1-5]
Irene Dobbs '15 [1-4]
Cole Schilling '15 [5]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 17 13 15 17 20 82 Jason Davis '17
Henry Johnson '18
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 19 18 DNF 20 18 96 Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16
Cj Enright '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 4 7 1 1 14 Ethan Heinze '15
Jonathan Bailey '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 6 1 4 2 4 17 Griffin Elliott '15 [1-5]
Clare Perry '15 [1-4]
Owen Hall '16 [5]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 3 3 1 3 11 21 Zach Schenkman '15
Emma Hyer '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 1 4 6 2 4 5 21 Colin Richards '15
Sarah Wright '15
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 5 5 5 5 3 23 Belle Loosbrock '15
Ashley Huynh '15
New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 2 2 7 11 6 7 33 Eamonn Austin '15
Caroline O'Malley '17
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 10 11 9 8 2 40 Tom Groskopf '15 [1-4]
Brady Carlson '17 [5]
Megan Grosspietsch '16 [1-4]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 1 8 2 6 12 14 42 Kate O'Donnell '15
Bridget Groble '17
Culver Academies Culver Academies White 14 10 3 9 6 42 Boyao "Bobby" Yu '15
Wenjin "Wendy" Zhu '16
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 17 8 13 7 8 53 Alex Anderson '15
Amelia Burke '18
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 2 9 14 12 11 9 55 Logan O'Connor '17
Aisling Sullivan '18
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity 12 9 8 14 12 55 Colleen Baumann '17
Lillian Nemeth '18
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 11 15 10 15 15 66 Joey Manning '17
Chris Guido '16
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 7 13 17 16 16 69 Maddison Mott '17
Jack Erickson '17
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Varsity 15 12 16 13 13 69 Christian Spencer '18 [1-2, 5]
Jack Tegeder '17 [3-4]
Parker Girard '16 [1-2, 5]
Paul Mclean '17 [3-4]
Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 13 17 20 18 10 78 Sara Gustafson '17
Katherine Crewes '17
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 19 18 19 10 18 84 James Wagner '17
Lucie Mcknight '17
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 18 16 15 17 20 86 Amanda Bronson '16
Michael Phlamm '16
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 16 19 14 20 19 88 Kaj Anders-Macleod '15
Stephanie Daub '16
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 20 20 18 19 17 94 James Zampa '16 [1-5]
Emma Zastrow '16 [1-4]
Logan Pearlman '16 [5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks11335
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity181820202
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies White22446
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity33557
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity44668
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity55779
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts668810
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity779911
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers88101012
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers99111113
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Varsity 11010121214
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Varsity 21111131315
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons1212141416
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity1313151517
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 11414161618
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 21515171719
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Varsity1616181820
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Varsity171719191
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity1919113
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity2020224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks22446
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Varsity1919113
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies White33557
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity44668
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity55779
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School Varsity668810
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts779911
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity88101012
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers99111113
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers1010121214
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Varsity 11111131315
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Varsity 21212141416
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons1313151517
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity1414161618
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 11515171719
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Varsity 21616181820
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Varsity171719191
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Varsity181820202
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity2020224
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Jack Schweda '20 [1-5] Gavin Burkhart '16 [1-4]
Hayden Frentzel '16 [5]
Warhawks Ethan Heinze '15 Jonathan Bailey '18
Culver Academies Culver Academies Wyatt Clark '15 Elaina Lambright '15
White Boyao "Bobby" Yu '15 Wenjin "Wendy" Zhu '16
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Colleen Wiechart '15 [1-5] Irene Dobbs '15 [1-4]
Cole Schilling '15 [5]
Varsity James Zampa '16 [1-5] Emma Zastrow '16 [1-4]
Logan Pearlman '16 [5]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '16 Cj Enright '17
Varsity Amanda Bronson '16 Michael Phlamm '16
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Jack Behrend '16 Maddie Crucius '20
Varsity Christian Spencer '18 [1-2, 5]
Jack Tegeder '17 [3-4]
Parker Girard '16 [1-2, 5]
Paul Mclean '17 [3-4]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School William Curtiss '16 Johnmichael Eckert '17
Scouts Joey Manning '17 Chris Guido '16
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Mark Davies '16 Leah Peluchiwski '16
Varsity Zach Schenkman '15 Emma Hyer '18
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy R J Porter '15 [1-5] Kelsey Donahue '16 [1-4]
Tom Griffin '15 [5]
Ramblers Griffin Elliott '15 [1-5] Clare Perry '15 [1-4]
Owen Hall '16 [5]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Bitney '15 Jacob Siegel '15
Skippers Belle Loosbrock '15 Ashley Huynh '15
New Trier HS New Trier HS Bailey Cornog '15 Katie Lowenbaum '17
Varsity 1 Colin Richards '15 Sarah Wright '15
New Trier HS New Trier HS Christian Koules '15 Alex Fowkes '16
Varsity 2 Eamonn Austin '15 Caroline O'Malley '17
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Carolyn Keck '15 Margaret Finco '15
Raccoons Tom Groskopf '15 [1-4]
Brady Carlson '17 [5]
Megan Grosspietsch '16 [1-4]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Jason Davis '17 Henry Johnson '18
Varsity Kaj Anders-Macleod '15 Stephanie Daub '16
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Siri Anderson '15 Ray Groble '17
Varsity 1 Kate O'Donnell '15 Bridget Groble '17
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Abby Mcfadyen '16 Molly Mccarthy '15
Varsity 2 Logan O'Connor '17 Aisling Sullivan '18
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Dirk Phelps '15 Emma Hawley '16
Varsity Alex Anderson '15 Amelia Burke '18
Traverse City West Traverse City West Mitchell Clark '16 Brooke Ostrowski '18
Varsity Sara Gustafson '17 Katherine Crewes '17
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Phoebe Lincoln '16 Michael Hellie '18
Varsity Colleen Baumann '17 Lillian Nemeth '18
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Sabina Van Mel '15 Yusuf Mallick '15
Varsity James Wagner '17 Lucie Mcknight '17
Washburn High School Washburn High School Lizzie Easter '15 Jack Erickson '17
Varsity Maddison Mott '17 Jack Erickson '17

Conditions — 09/27/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1023.4 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From E (90°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1023.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 4 kn · NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Chicago Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.20)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 18% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Chicago Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Chicago Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →