2014 Atlantic Coast Championship

HostSSYC
Date11/08/2014
TypeNational Invitational
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	97	61	158
2	Severn School	Admirals	70	110	180
3	Minnetonka High School	Skippers	80	110	190
4	Christchurch School	Seahorses	154	48	202
5	Key School	Zags	83	122	205
6	Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	107	115	222
7	Annapolis High School	Panthers	119	115	234
8	North Kingstown High School	Varsity	101	136	237
9	Falmouth High School (ME)	Yachtsmen	119	123	242
10	Irondequoit High School	Eagles	116	142	258
11	Duxbury High School	Dragons	145	118	263
12	New Trier HS	Trevian	149	138	287
13	Wayzata High School	Blue	157	148	305
14	Antilles School	Hurricanes	156	161	317
15	Yarmouth High School	Clippers	171	169	340
16	Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	142	211	353
17	Arrowhead High School	Warhawks	196	158	354
18	Academic Magnet High School	Varsity	234	211	445

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Severn School	Admirals	8	3	10	5	4	2	3	4	1	1	3	12	3	11	70	Floyd Nick '15 Morgan Ian '15
Minnetonka High School	Skippers	1	8	2	9	10	12	1	1	4	6	6	4	10	6	80	Jack Bitney '15 Ashley Huynh '15
Key School	Zags	6	2	3	3	5	6	9	10	2	5	8	15	1	8	83	Christian Filter '16 [1-14] Declan Lombard '17 [1-2, 7-10] Katherine Gonzalez '18 [3-6, 11-14]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	9	6	6	10	3	5	13	8	9	2	2	13	6	5	97	Mack Fox '16 [1-14] Dae Kelly '17 [1-6, 9-14] John Monahan '16 [7-8]
North Kingstown High School	Varsity	5	12	1	1	8	14	10	6	5	7	4	2	13	13	101	Dakota Northrup '15 [1-14] Aliza Gomez '16 [1-2] Adeline Sutton '17 [3-14]
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	3	11	8	15	1	15	4	5	7	4	7	3	8	16	107	Gray Kiger '16 [1-14] Alek Sas '18 [1-4] Marshall Mccraw '16 [5-14]
Irondequoit High School	Eagles	10	7	5	8	12	4	6	16	10	13	10	6	7	2	116	Emma Mendenhall '15 Rhys Daunton '17
Annapolis High School	Panthers	2	5	7	7	7	16	5	7	11	17	14	5	2	14	119	Kyle Comerford '15 [1-8, 11-14] Remington King '17 [9-10] Kimberly Leonard '18 [1-8, 11-14]
Falmouth High School (ME)	Yachtsmen	12	1	18	11	2	3	16	3	13	10	5	10	5	10	119	Cameron Rousseau '16 [1-14] Reed Mcdermott '16 [1-2, 5-10] Grace Mooridian '17 [3-4, 11-14]
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	4	14	13	18	9	11	7	9	6	12	11	11	14	3	142	Kelly Milliken '16 Mackie Conner '16
Duxbury High School	Dragons	15	16	12	2	14	9	14	14	16	15	1	7	9	1	145	Jan Kite-Powell '15 [1-6, 11-14] Chris Colbeth '15 [7-10] Sarah Caso '15 [1-6, 11-14] Caitlyn Sarles '16 [7-10]
New Trier HS	Trevian	14	4	17	12	6	8	11	18	3	3	17	1	18	17	149	Bailey Cornog '15 Katie Lowenbaum '17
Christchurch School	Seahorses	13	9	11	14	13	1	8	2	15	8	16	14	15	15	154	Jack Elkin '15 [1-4, 13-14] Andy Burns '17 [5-12] Claire Rae '16 [1-4, 13-14]
Antilles School	Hurricanes	7	13	14	13	15	7	2	15	8	16	9	16	12	9	156	Sam Morrell '17 [1-12] Ryan Hunter '17 [13-14] Reid Mchenry '16 [1-12] Maggie Bartlett '16 [13-14]
Wayzata High School	Blue	16	17	9	4	16	DNF	12	12	12	11	12	9	4	4	157	Jackson Connell '17 [1-14] Mckenna Miller '16 [1-4, 9-14] Anna Brew '17 [5-8]
Yarmouth High School	Clippers	11	10	4	6	18	13	15	11	14	14	15	17	11	12	171	Ethan Merrill '16 [1-14] Dan Morse '15 [1-4, 7-14] Teo Scott '16 [5-6]
Arrowhead High School	Warhawks	17	15	16	16	11	10	17	17	18	9	18	8	17	7	196	Ethan Heinze '15 [1-14] Jonathan Bailey '18 [1-2, 5-12] Hayden Frentzel '16 [3-4, 13-14]
Academic Magnet High School	Varsity	DNF	18	15	17	17	17	18	13	17	18	13	18	16	18	234	Sam Cabiness '16 Connor Young '17

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Christchurch School	Seahorses	4	1	DNF	3	2	2	1	1	3	2	7	1	1	1	48	Hector Guzman '16 Annabel Carrington '15
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	9	2	1	1	6	14	2	7	1	5	3	2	2	6	61	Conner Correll '18 Max Gillette '16
Minnetonka High School	Skippers	1	9	3	9	10	18	5	2	9	3	10	5	11	15	110	Belle Loosbrock '15 Jacob Siegel '15
Severn School	Admirals	15	7	7	4	15	10	3	13	2	4	5	16	5	4	110	White Emma '15 [1-2, 5-6] Connor Bayless '17 [3-4, 7-14] Blair Reilly '18 [1-2, 5-6] Stephanie Houck '17 [3-4, 7-12] White Emma '15 [13-14]
Annapolis High School	Panthers	2	5	5	7	12	16	18	9	4	7	6	6	7	11	115	Porter Kavle '18 Lexi Pline '15
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	3	13	2	11	16	3	6	14	11	11	4	8	4	9	115	Jessica Williams '16 [1-10] James Whitmore '16 [11-14] Alexander Singh '15 [1-4, 11-12] James Whitmore '16 [5-10] Jessica Williams '16 [13-14]
Duxbury High School	Dragons	5	10	4	6	8	1	8	8	15	8	12	13	12	8	118	Gretchen Mccarthy '16 [1-14] Meg Sarles '15 [1-12] Sarah Caso '15 [13-14]
Key School	Zags	6	8	6	10	4	11	13	5	6	14	1	15	10	13	122	Bryan Bay '16 [1-12] Harrison Koller '17 [13-14] Kendall Schneider '17 [1-12] Declan Lombard '17 [13-14]
Falmouth High School (ME)	Yachtsmen	11	4	8	2	11	13	10	11	14	1	8	10	13	7	123	Caleb Robinson '18 [1-14] Anna Morin '15 [1-6, 9-12] Parker Wyatt '18 [7-8, 13-14]
North Kingstown High School	Varsity	14	15	16	12	9	8	11	10	13	9	2	9	3	5	136	Delaney Bamford '16 [1-2, 5-8] Marina Barzaghi '17 [3-4, 9-14] Mikey O'Flaherty '17 [1-4, 9-14] Zach Warner '15 [5-8]
New Trier HS	Trevian	7	12	11	5	14	4	9	6	8	10	17	4	15	16	138	Christian Koules '15 [1-6, 11-14] Colin Richards '15 [7-10] Sarah Wright '15 [1-10] Alex Fowkes '16 [11-14]
Irondequoit High School	Eagles	13	6	9	14	17	5	14	12	5	13	16	7	8	3	142	Peter Steo '15 Derek Olney '17
Wayzata High School	Blue	8	16	14	16	5	7	17	3	10	16	13	12	9	2	148	Charlie Hicks '16 Alex Honke '16
Arrowhead High School	Warhawks	12	11	17	15	7	6	4	4	16	12	11	11	18	14	158	Jack Schweda '20 Gavin Burkhart '16
Antilles School	Hurricanes	10	3	13	8	3	9	15	OCS	17	15	14	17	6	12	161	Ryan Hunter '17 [1-8] Kai Holmberg '17 [9-14] Maggie Bartlett '16 [1-8] Jewel Tayler '16 [9-10, 13-14] Alexa Percell '16 [11-12]
Yarmouth High School	Clippers	18	17	15	13	13	12	7	15	7	6	9	3	17	17	169	Ben Palmer '17 [1-12] Dan Morse '15 [13-14] Matt Bolles '16 [1-12] Teo Scott '16 [13-14]
Academic Magnet High School	Varsity	16	14	12	18	18	17	12	16	18	17	15	14	14	10	211	Chris Chaplin '16 Carly Duffy '15
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	17	18	10	17	1	15	16	17	12	18	18	18	16	18	211	Shaynah True '15 [1-10] Ben Newman '17 [11-14] Luke Volk '17 [1-4] Jason Perryman '17 [5-12] Shaynah True '15 [13-14]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A
Academic Magnet High School Varsity	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Annapolis High School Panthers	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Antilles School Hurricanes	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Arrowhead High School Warhawks	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Christchurch School Seahorses	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Duxbury High School Dragons	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1
Irondequoit High School Eagles	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2
Key School Zags	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3
Minnetonka High School Skippers	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4
New Trier HS Trevian	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6
North Kingstown High School Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Severn School Admirals	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Wayzata High School Blue	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Yarmouth High School Clippers	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B
Academic Magnet High School Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Annapolis High School Panthers	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Antilles School Hurricanes	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Arrowhead High School Warhawks	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Christchurch School Seahorses	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
Duxbury High School Dragons	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1
Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2
Irondequoit High School Eagles	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3
Key School Zags	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4
Minnetonka High School Skippers	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5
New Trier HS Trevian	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
North Kingstown High School Varsity	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Severn School Admirals	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Wayzata High School Blue	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Yarmouth High School Clippers	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Sam Cabiness '16	Connor Young '17
Varsity	Chris Chaplin '16	Carly Duffy '15
Annapolis High School	Kyle Comerford '15 [1-8, 11-14] Remington King '17 [9-10]	Kimberly Leonard '18 [1-8, 11-14]
Panthers	Porter Kavle '18	Lexi Pline '15
Antilles School	Sam Morrell '17 [1-12] Ryan Hunter '17 [13-14]	Reid Mchenry '16 [1-12] Maggie Bartlett '16 [13-14]
Hurricanes	Ryan Hunter '17 [1-8] Kai Holmberg '17 [9-14]	Maggie Bartlett '16 [1-8] Jewel Tayler '16 [9-10, 13-14] Alexa Percell '16 [11-12]
Arrowhead High School	Ethan Heinze '15 [1-14]	Jonathan Bailey '18 [1-2, 5-12] Hayden Frentzel '16 [3-4, 13-14]
Warhawks	Jack Schweda '20	Gavin Burkhart '16
Christchurch School	Jack Elkin '15 [1-4, 13-14] Andy Burns '17 [5-12]	Claire Rae '16 [1-4, 13-14]
Seahorses	Hector Guzman '16	Annabel Carrington '15
Duxbury High School	Jan Kite-Powell '15 [1-6, 11-14] Chris Colbeth '15 [7-10]	Sarah Caso '15 [1-6, 11-14] Caitlyn Sarles '16 [7-10]
Dragons	Gretchen Mccarthy '16 [1-14]	Meg Sarles '15 [1-12] Sarah Caso '15 [13-14]
Falmouth High School (ME)	Cameron Rousseau '16 [1-14]	Reed Mcdermott '16 [1-2, 5-10] Grace Mooridian '17 [3-4, 11-14]
Yachtsmen	Caleb Robinson '18 [1-14]	Anna Morin '15 [1-6, 9-12] Parker Wyatt '18 [7-8, 13-14]
Irondequoit High School	Emma Mendenhall '15	Rhys Daunton '17
Eagles	Peter Steo '15	Derek Olney '17
Key School	Christian Filter '16 [1-14]	Declan Lombard '17 [1-2, 7-10] Katherine Gonzalez '18 [3-6, 11-14]
Zags	Bryan Bay '16 [1-12] Harrison Koller '17 [13-14]	Kendall Schneider '17 [1-12] Declan Lombard '17 [13-14]
Minnetonka High School	Jack Bitney '15	Ashley Huynh '15
Skippers	Belle Loosbrock '15	Jacob Siegel '15
New Trier HS	Bailey Cornog '15	Katie Lowenbaum '17
Trevian	Christian Koules '15 [1-6, 11-14] Colin Richards '15 [7-10]	Sarah Wright '15 [1-10] Alex Fowkes '16 [11-14]
Norfolk Academy	Gray Kiger '16 [1-14]	Alek Sas '18 [1-4] Marshall Mccraw '16 [5-14]
Bulldogs	Jessica Williams '16 [1-10] James Whitmore '16 [11-14]	Alexander Singh '15 [1-4, 11-12] James Whitmore '16 [5-10] Jessica Williams '16 [13-14]
North Kingstown High School	Dakota Northrup '15 [1-14]	Aliza Gomez '16 [1-2] Adeline Sutton '17 [3-14]
Varsity	Delaney Bamford '16 [1-2, 5-8] Marina Barzaghi '17 [3-4, 9-14]	Mikey O'Flaherty '17 [1-4, 9-14] Zach Warner '15 [5-8]
Pine Lake Prep	Kelly Milliken '16	Mackie Conner '16
Varsity	Shaynah True '15 [1-10] Ben Newman '17 [11-14]	Luke Volk '17 [1-4] Jason Perryman '17 [5-12] Shaynah True '15 [13-14]
Severn School	Floyd Nick '15	Morgan Ian '15
Admirals	White Emma '15 [1-2, 5-6] Connor Bayless '17 [3-4, 7-14]	Blair Reilly '18 [1-2, 5-6] Stephanie Houck '17 [3-4, 7-12] White Emma '15 [13-14]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Mack Fox '16 [1-14]	Dae Kelly '17 [1-6, 9-14] John Monahan '16 [7-8]
Raiders	Conner Correll '18	Max Gillette '16
Wayzata High School	Jackson Connell '17 [1-14]	Mckenna Miller '16 [1-4, 9-14] Anna Brew '17 [5-8]
Blue	Charlie Hicks '16	Alex Honke '16
Yarmouth High School	Ethan Merrill '16 [1-14]	Dan Morse '15 [1-4, 7-14] Teo Scott '16 [5-6]
Clippers	Ben Palmer '17 [1-12] Dan Morse '15 [13-14]	Matt Bolles '16 [1-12] Teo Scott '16 [13-14]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2014 Atlantic Coast Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes